1475 Green Acres Rd #157 · Eugene, OR
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$24,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1974 Golden West doublewide in a 55+ community offering 1,464 sq. ft. with 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. This home features a large living room plus a separate family room, giving you plenty of space to spread out. A mini-split heat pump provides efficient heating and cooling, and an 8' x 10' tool shed adds extra storage. The home is a fixer and is being sold in as-is condition, offering a solid opportunity for someone ready to make improvements. Park approval is required. Convenient location near shopping with quick highway access.
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1974
- Listed 58 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $24k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 77.0% vs local median 2.8% in Eugene — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#52 in OR, #1,587 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, cost of living C-, crime D-.
- Eugene SD 4J (urban): math 45% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #10 of 58 in OR (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $172 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $747 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 8.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 76.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 252.45%
- DSCR
- 12.23
- GRM
- 1.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $121,907
- List price
- $24,900
- Delta
- -79.57%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #157 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,464 (0%) | 0mo | $23,000 | $16 | 100 |
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #40 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-2%) | 11mo | $69,900 | $49 | 88 |
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #162 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,533 (+5%) | 11mo | $176,500 | $115 | 83 |
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #06 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,340 (-8%) | 8mo | $125,000 | $93 | 80 |
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #158 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,345 (-8%) | 12mo | $45,900 | $34 | 76 |
| 3355 N Delta Hwy #97 | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 | 1,512 (+3%) | 7mo | $175,000 | $116 | 73 |
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #69 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,296 (-12%) | 13mo | $37,500 | $29 | 70 |
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #34 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-15%) | 10mo | $65,000 | $52 | 67 |
| 3355 N Delta Hwy #136 | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 | 1,512 (+3%) | 14mo | $220,000 | $146 | 67 |
| 3355 N Delta Hwy #140 | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,530 (+4%) | 7mo | $176,000 | $115 | 66 |
| 3355 N Delta Hwy #107 | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 | 1,391 (-5%) | 15mo | $185,000 | $133 | 64 |
| 3355 N Delta Hwy #13 | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,550 (+6%) | 8mo | $196,900 | $127 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.53×
- Total profit
- $87,341
- Equity at exit
- $3,713
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 29.69×
- Total profit
- $200,051
- Equity at exit
- $2,153
Cash invested: $6,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97408
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 1.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,124 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $847/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$446
- Net cashflow
- $1,400
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,225
- Closing costs
- $747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2517 Quebec St Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1246 | $2,195 | $1.76 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2300 Norkenzie Rd Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 980 | $1,445 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3328 Lake Glenn Dr Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1114 | $1,800 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1877 Brewer Ave Eugene, OR | 3.0–4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1102 | $1,649 | $1.50 | 13d | 2 | 0.64mi |
| 2545 Benson Ln Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1340 | $2,400 | $1.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2310 Snelling Dr Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,395 | $1.71 | 13d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1440 John Day Dr Eugene, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1050 | $2,349 | $2.24 | 13d | 38 | 0.75mi |
| 3610 Goodpasture Loop Eugene, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 802 | $2,299 | $2.87 | 13d | 15 | 0.76mi |
| 2423 Benson Ln Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $2,800 | $1.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1981 Margaret St Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,495 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3570 Goodpasture Loop Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,999 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1844 Happy Ln Eugene, OR | 1.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1040 | $1,692 | $1.63 | 13d | 5 | 0.95mi |
| 1367 Umpqua Ave Eugene, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $2,675 | $3.15 | 13d | 46 | 0.97mi |
| 2948 Matt Dr Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $1,850 | $1.84 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2940 Matt Dr Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1438 | $2,500 | $1.74 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2459 Lakeview Dr Eugene, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 966 | $1,790 | $1.85 | 13d | 24 | 1.05mi |
| 1500 Norkenzie Rd #67 Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1210 | $2,395 | $1.98 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1150 Darlene Ln Eugene, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 924 | $2,285 | $2.47 | 13d | 16 | 1.15mi |
| 2847 Tennyson Ave Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 902 | $2,178 | $2.41 | 13d | 8 | 1.15mi |
| 1485 Perdue Loop Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1484 | $2,295 | $1.55 | 13d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2754 Chad Dr Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1381 | $2,295 | $1.66 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1800 Cal Young Rd Eugene, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 887 | $1,830 | $2.06 | 13d | 9 | 1.23mi |
| 1740 Adkins St Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,850 | $1.77 | 13d | 8 | 1.41mi |
| 53 Hillview 1 Unit 1 Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1550 | $2,595 | $1.67 | 13d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $24,900 Pending 58 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $24,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $24,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $29,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $29,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $29,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-14status Active 536-char remark
Show marketing remark (536 chars)
1974 Golden West doublewide in a 55+ community offering 1,464 sq. ft. with 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. This home features a large living room plus a separate family room, giving you plenty of space to spread out. A mini-split heat pump provides efficient heating and cooling, and an 8' x 10' tool shed adds extra storage. The home is a fixer and is being sold in as-is condition, offering a solid opportunity for someone ready to make improvements. Park approval is required. Convenient location near shopping with quick highway access.
-
2026-05-08status Pending 536-char remark
Show marketing remark (536 chars)
1974 Golden West doublewide in a 55+ community offering 1,464 sq. ft. with 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. This home features a large living room plus a separate family room, giving you plenty of space to spread out. A mini-split heat pump provides efficient heating and cooling, and an 8' x 10' tool shed adds extra storage. The home is a fixer and is being sold in as-is condition, offering a solid opportunity for someone ready to make improvements. Park approval is required. Convenient location near shopping with quick highway access.
-
2026-04-01$29,900 Active 536-char remark
Show marketing remark (536 chars)
1974 Golden West doublewide in a 55+ community offering 1,464 sq. ft. with 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. This home features a large living room plus a separate family room, giving you plenty of space to spread out. A mini-split heat pump provides efficient heating and cooling, and an 8' x 10' tool shed adds extra storage. The home is a fixer and is being sold in as-is condition, offering a solid opportunity for someone ready to make improvements. Park approval is required. Convenient location near shopping with quick highway access.
-
1999-08-27soldstatus $43,500 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
COMPLETELY UPDATED & MOVE IN READY! VERY OPEN & WARM. NEW PAD & THRUOUT, NEW VINYL, NEW REFRIG & HOT WATER HTR, NEW TOILETS, LIG FXTRS, SKIRTING! GREAT KIT W/ISLAND EATING BAR & COOK TOP, DBLE PANTRY. LOTS OF STRG! MB BATH HAS DBLE SINK & VANITY AREA
-
1999-04-23$43,500 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
COMPLETELY UPDATED & MOVE IN READY! VERY OPEN & WARM. NEW PAD & THRUOUT, NEW VINYL, NEW REFRIG & HOT WATER HTR, NEW TOILETS, LIG FXTRS, SKIRTING! GREAT KIT W/ISLAND EATING BAR & COOK TOP, DBLE PANTRY. LOTS OF STRG! MB BATH HAS DBLE SINK & VANITY AREA
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $847 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $847 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,493
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,395
- − Property taxes
- −$847
- − Insurance
- −$922
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,039
- − Management
- −$2,039
- − Depreciation
- −$724
- Taxable income
- $17,526
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,206
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,597/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Eugene SD 4J
- NCES district ID
- 4104740
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,688
- Composite
- 42.15/100
- National rank
- #3302
- State rank
- #10 of 58 in OR
Livability — Eugene
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #1587
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Eugene, OR
- County
- Lane County · 310,476 people
- City population
- 215,212
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,420
- Household income
- $104,945
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 402.0
Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 391,933 people
- By 2030
- 405,860 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 429,386 · +9.6%
- By 2050
- 452,016 · +15.3%
- By 2075
- 508,825 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 531,208 · +35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 4% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Lithuanian 5% Portuguese 4%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lane
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -196.97%
- Current HPI
- 286.5805
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.97%
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
-31.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Relisted — RMLS
- 2026-05-08 Pending — RMLS
- 2026-04-01 Listed $29,900 RMLS
- 1999-08-27 Sold (MLS) $43,500 RMLS
- 1999-04-23 Listed $43,500 RMLS
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $847 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…