1095 S 500 W #11 · Provo, UT
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $453 – $841
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable manufactured home ready to be moved! This spacious home features tile flooring throughout, a large kitchen with plenty of cabinets and an island, two bedrooms, and two full bathrooms with both shower and tub options. Enjoy a covered porch and ample living space. Perfect opportunity for buyers looking to place a home on their own land. NEEDS TO BE MOVED,
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Ample living space
- Large kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $876 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#15 in UT, #602 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A.
- Provo District (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #44 of 80 in UT (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 221 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,326 units permitted in Utah County in 2024 (1,053 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Utah County population projected at +49% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 294 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 294 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 75.12%
- DSCR
- 4.34
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 78.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.73×
- Total profit
- $52,250
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- 82.5%
- Equity multiple
- 10.79×
- Total profit
- $137,086
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Utah
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 84601
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 221
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,547 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $750/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$325
- Net cashflow
- $876
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 237 W 1020 S #3 Provo, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 237 W 1020 S #3 Provo, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 750 S 650 W Provo, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 703 | $1,488 | $2.12 | 2d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 580 S 300 W Unit 2 Provo, UT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,120 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 77 W 500 S Provo, UT | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 928 | $1,761 | $1.90 | 2d | 5 | 0.61mi |
| 491 S Freedom Blvd Provo, UT | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,395 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 425 S 600 W Provo, UT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 643 | $1,350 | $2.10 | 23d | 3 | 0.62mi |
| 61 W 400 S Provo, UT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 860 | $1,835 | $2.13 | 2d | 14 | 0.69mi |
| 228 S 300 W Unit 230 Provo, UT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1119 | $1,050 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 271 S 700 W Provo, UT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,700 | $1.79 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 215 S 400 W Unit A Provo, UT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,495 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 550 W 200 S #5 Provo, UT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 703 | $1,150 | $1.64 | 19d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 138 S 300 W Provo, UT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,250 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 268 S 900 W Unit 2 Provo, UT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $1,025 | $1.27 | 11d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 950 W 200 S Unit 6 Provo, UT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $1,100 | $1.39 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 306 S 400 E Provo, UT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 19d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 35 N 300 W Provo, UT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1004 | $2,015 | $2.01 | 2d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 547 400 S Unit DN-L1 Provo, UT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $325 | $0.30 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1075 S 810 E Provo, UT | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1068 | $1,550 | $1.45 | 14d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 63 E Center St Provo, UT | 2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 885 | $1,628 | $1.84 | 2d | 4 | 1.13mi |
| 980 W Center St Provo, UT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,350 | $1.86 | 23d | 3 | 1.16mi |
| 334 W 200 N Apt 301 Provo, UT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,165 | $1.94 | 14d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 490 S State St Provo, UT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1054 | $1,719 | $1.63 | 2d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 115 E 200 N Apt 3 Provo, UT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,099 | $1.22 | 14d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 319 100 N Apt 1 Provo, UT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $1,145 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 443 S State St Unit 109 Provo, UT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,145 | $1.53 | 14d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 389 S State St Provo, UT | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1134 | $1,500 | $1.32 | 11d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 255 400 N Provo, UT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,250 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 353 E 200 N Unit 15 Provo, UT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,175 | $1.63 | 14d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 360 N 900 W Provo, UT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,325 | $1.89 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 266 N 300 E Apt 27 Provo, UT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,175 | $1.63 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1125 E 960 S Unit 7 Provo, UT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $1,195 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 480 N Freedom Blvd Provo, UT | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 860 | $1,999 | $2.32 | 2d | 6 | 1.47mi |
| 809 E 50 S Provo, UT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 926 | $1,450 | $1.57 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $50,000 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $50,000 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $50,000 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $50,000 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $50,000 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $50,000 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $50,000 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $50,000 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $50,000 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $50,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $50,000 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 275 DOM
-
2025-08-28$50,000 Active 366-char remark
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
Affordable manufactured home ready to be moved! This spacious home features tile flooring throughout, a large kitchen with plenty of cabinets and an island, two bedrooms, and two full bathrooms with both shower and tub options. Enjoy a covered porch and ample living space. Perfect opportunity for buyers looking to place a home on their own land. NEEDS TO BE MOVED,
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,561
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$750
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,485
- − Management
- −$1,485
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $10,336
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,481
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,036/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This manufactured home is in fair condition with average interior and exterior features. It requires minor repairs and maintenance to improve its appearance and value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor exterior siding — weathered appearance
- Minor landscaping — needs trimming and additional plants
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal
- Resale repair exterior siding — new siding improves appearance
- Resale landscape and add plants — enhances curb appeal and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · weathered appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| landscaping · needs trimming and additional plants | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale repair exterior siding — new siding improves appearance ↑
- Resale landscape and add plants — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Provo District
- NCES district ID
- 4900810
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,698
- Composite
- 35.24/100
- National rank
- #4980
- State rank
- #44 of 80 in UT
Livability — Provo
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #602
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Provo, UT
- County
- Utah County · 661,754 people
- City population
- 112,727
- Metro
- Provo-Orem, UT
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,330
- Household income
- $67,207
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1332.0
Population outlook (Utah County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 693,420 people
- By 2030
- 757,324 · +9.2%
- By 2040
- 893,178 · +28.8%
- By 2050
- 1,035,842 · +49.4%
- By 2075
- 1,376,733 · +98.5%
- By 2100
- 1,609,388 · +132.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 12% Asian 2% Native American 2% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Scottish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 27% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Utah
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.8) · D 28.5% · R 68.3% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +19.1pp toward D · 2008: -58.9pp · 2024: -39.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.8 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+37.3 2012: R+78.5 2008: R+58.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -254.42%
- Current HPI
- 315.3963
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.82%
- Metro
- Provo-Orem, UT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.54%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-08-28 Listed $50,000 WFRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…