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Kingfisher Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 36.42
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,707

Kingfisher Plan · Owens Cross Roads, AL 35763
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 819 sqft · SingleFamily · 781 Days on market
55+ age-restricted Excellent condition $500/mo HOA · 36% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

We are proud to introduce our brand new 55+ active adult cottage community in Huntsville, Alabama, voted the best place to live according to U. S. News & World Report. Our community offers the perfect balance of convenience, style, and fun. Say goodbye to the hassle of upkeep and hello to low-maintenance, carefree living. Our homes offer more than just a living space; they offer a lifestyle. Ideal for those seeking simplicity without compromising on comfort. From growing your own fruits and veggies in our community garden to exciting group activities in our pavilion clubhouse, we have everything you need to stay active and healthy. And with our access-controlled gated entry and privacy fence, you can enjoy peace of mind knowing that you and your home are safe and secure. Are you ready to embrace the simplicity and charm of our tiny home-inspired living? Don't wait, come experience the ultimate active lifestyle in our new 55+ active adult community today! Contact us to secure your very own sanctuary and embark on an extraordinary journey towards a simpler, more fulfilling life. Give us a call today!

Key facts

  • Pavilion clubhouse
  • Community garden
  • Privacy fence

Tags

ACTIVE ADULT COMMUNITYLOW-MAINTENANCE LIVINGCOMMUNITY GARDENPAVILION CLUBHOUSEACCESS-CONTROLLED GATED ENTRYPRIVACY FENCE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $99,707 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $209,904.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-847 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $87k (12.4% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (12.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 1.5% vs local median 4.3% in Owens Cross Roads — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#65 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Madison County Elementary School (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #331 of 627 statewide, top 57%, 412 students, 59% FRL); Madison County High School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #39 of 305 statewide, top 13%, 483 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools average 47% FRL vs 29% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 433 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 14% of the median local income ($123k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 781 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; HOA is 36% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,339 (12.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 781 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.67%
Cap rate
1.45%
Cash-on-cash
-17.29%
DSCR
0.23
GRM
12.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$209,904
List price
$99,707
Delta
-52.50%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
170 Long Dr 0.26mi 2/1.0 672 (-18%) 45mo $51,400 $76 43
6043 Margie Collins Dr 1.04mi 2/1.5 892 (+9%) 24mo $259,900 $291 29
7645 Shaun Leslie Cir 1.02mi 3/2.0 (+1) 912 (+11%) 24mo $198,000 $217 17

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.54% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-49.3%
Equity multiple
-0.48×
Total profit
$-86,869
Equity at exit
$31,297
10-year hold
IRR
-88.8%
Equity multiple
-1.39×
Total profit
$-140,609
Equity at exit
$18,149

Cash invested: $58,773 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
9 active
Median asking
$93,391 ($131/sqft)
Median days on market
345 d
This list price
78% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+96.2% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 35763

Home prices YoY
-3.6%
Rents YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
433
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,397 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax est. 1.5%
$262 /mo · $3,149/yr
Insurance
$87
HOA
$500
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$293
Net cashflow
$-847

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,469
Max offer price $87,339
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-702 -5% $-774 +0% $-847 +5% $-920 +10% $-992
Rent -10% $-957 -5% $-902 +0% $-847 +5% $-792 +10% $-737
Rate -1.0pp $-741 -0.5pp $-794 base $-847 +0.5pp $-901 +1.0pp $-957

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,476
Closing costs
$6,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail $500/mo · $6,000/yr

Likely covers
security

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $99,707 Active 781 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $99,707 Active 780 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $99,707 Active 779 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $99,707 Active 778 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $99,707 Active 777 DOM
  6. 2026-07-31
    days on market $99,707 Active 773 DOM
  7. 2026-07-29
    days on market $99,707 Active 771 DOM
  8. 2026-07-27
    days on market $99,707 Active 769 DOM
  9. 2026-07-25
    days on market $99,707 Active 767 DOM
  10. 2026-07-23
    days on market $99,707 Active 765 DOM
  11. 2026-07-22
    days on market $99,707 Active 764 DOM
  12. 2026-07-21
    days on market $99,707 Active 763 DOM
  13. 2026-07-18
    days on market $99,707 Active 760 DOM
  14. 2026-07-16
    days on market $99,707 Active 758 DOM
  15. 2026-07-16
    days on market $99,707 Active 757 DOM
  16. 2026-07-14
    days on market $99,707 Active 756 DOM
  17. 2026-07-14
    days on market $99,707 Active 755 DOM
  18. 2026-07-12
    days on market $99,707 Active 754 DOM
  19. 2026-07-10
    days on market $99,707 Active 752 DOM
  20. 2026-07-10
    days on market $99,707 Active 751 DOM
  21. 2026-07-08
    days on market $99,707 Active 750 DOM
  22. 2026-07-07
    days on market $99,707 Active 749 DOM
  23. 2026-07-06
    days on market $99,707 Active 748 DOM
  24. 2026-07-05
    days on market $99,707 Active 747 DOM
  25. 2026-07-04
    days on market $99,707 Active 746 DOM
  26. 2026-07-03
    days on market $99,707 Active 745 DOM
  27. 2026-07-02
    days on market $99,707 Active 744 DOM
  28. 2026-07-01
    days on market $99,707 Active 743 DOM
  29. 2026-06-30
    days on market $99,707 Active 742 DOM
  30. 2026-06-29
    days on market $99,707 Active 741 DOM
  31. 2026-06-28
    days on market $99,707 Active 740 DOM
  32. 2026-06-28
    days on market $99,707 Active 739 DOM
  33. 2026-06-27
    days on market $99,707 Active 738 DOM
  34. 2026-06-25
    days on market $99,707 Active 736 DOM
  35. 2026-06-23
    days on market $99,707 Active 734 DOM
  36. 2026-06-22
    days on market $99,707 Active 733 DOM
  37. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,707 Active 730 DOM
  38. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,707 Active 729 DOM
  39. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,707 Active 728 DOM
  40. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,707 Active 727 DOM
  41. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,707 Active 725 DOM
  42. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,707 Active 722 DOM
  43. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,707 Active 721 DOM
  44. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,707 Active 720 DOM
  45. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,707 Active 719 DOM
  46. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,707 Active 714 DOM
  47. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,707 Active 713 DOM
  48. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,707 Active 712 DOM
  49. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,707 Active 711 DOM
  50. 2024-09-23
    price $99,707 1121-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1121 chars)

    We are proud to introduce our brand new 55+ active adult cottage community in Huntsville, Alabama, voted the best place to live according to U. S. News & World Report. Our community offers the perfect balance of convenience, style, and fun. Say goodbye to the hassle of upkeep and hello to low-maintenance, carefree living. Our homes offer more than just a living space; they offer a lifestyle. Ideal for those seeking simplicity without compromising on comfort. From growing your own fruits and veggies in our community garden to exciting group activities in our pavilion clubhouse, we have everything you need to stay active and healthy. And with our access-controlled gated entry and privacy fence, you can enjoy peace of mind knowing that you and your home are safe and secure. Are you ready to embrace the simplicity and charm of our tiny home-inspired living? Don't wait, come experience the ultimate active lifestyle in our new 55+ active adult community today! Contact us to secure your very own sanctuary and embark on an extraordinary journey towards a simpler, more fulfilling life. Give us a call today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,763
− Mortgage interest
−$11,758
− Property taxes
−$3,149
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,341
− Management
−$1,341
− HOA
−$6,000
− Depreciation
−$6,106
Taxable loss
−$13,981
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,355
After-tax cash flow
$-6,809/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This single-family home in Huntsville, Alabama, is in excellent condition with a well-maintained exterior and interior. It offers a good balance of style and functionality, making it an ideal property for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and attract more potential buyers
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more modern and convenient
F Composite school gradezoned avg 34/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Madison County Elementary School F AL #331/627 Nat'l #24,950/41,679 High Madison County High School F AL #39/305 Nat'l #9,001/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison County
NCES district ID
0102220
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$66,058
Composite
37.15/100
National rank
#4483
State rank
#19 of 129 in AL
C Composite livability gradescore 68/100

Livability — Owens Cross Roads

Score
68/100
State rank
#65
US rank
#9303

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Madison County · 392,086 people
City population
19,819
Metro
Huntsville, AL
Population (ZIP)
19,819
Household income
$123,497
Rent vs Own
7.5% rent · 92.5% own
Severe rent burden
6% of renters

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,086 people
By 2030
409,788 · +4.5%
By 2040
440,557 · +12.4%
By 2050
460,990 · +17.6%
By 2075
502,872 · +28.3%
By 2100
513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+3.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2024-09-23 Price Changed $99,707 Zillow
  • 2024-06-18 Listed $96,100 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…