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5205 Doppler St
C+ Composite 60.75
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$164,900

5205 Doppler St · Capitol Heights, MD 20743
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,104 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1931 0.32 ac lot $149/sqft · 54% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor Special! Diamond in the rough! Welcome to 5205 Doppler Street, in the heart of Capitol Heights! Close to the Metro and many public amenities, shopping, and parks, you will love being within walking distance to everything and having easy access to all major commuter routes. * * Being sold strictly “As-Is. ”

Key facts

  • 0.32 acre lot
  • Built 1931
  • Listed 11 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership: Fee simple

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached structure; Above-grade finished living area reported by assessor
  • Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures noted; Year built source: Assessor
  • Exterior features: Property is within city limits

Interior

  • Kitchen: Combined kitchen/dining layout
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level; 1 full bathroom total
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Combination kitchen and dining area; No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $365 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#155 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 215 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.9% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $164,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
8.95%
Cash-on-cash
9.49%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$355,935
List price
$164,900
Delta
-53.67%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
623 Elfin Ave 0.16mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,064 (-4%) 2mo $320,000 $301 75
509 Abel Ave 0.30mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,107 (+0%) 9mo $275,000 $248 69
1009 Quietview Dr 0.16mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,191 (+8%) 9mo $263,700 $221 67
709 Opus Ave 0.07mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,208 (+9%) 11mo $300,000 $248 63
919 Mentor Ave 0.27mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,040 (-6%) 7mo $344,900 $332 63
628 Clovis Ave 0.21mi 3/1.5 (+1) 952 (-14%) 3mo $332,000 $349 58
704 Clovis Ave 0.23mi 3/1.0 (+1) 942 (-15%) 9mo $285,000 $303 52
1011 Balboa 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (+4%) 6mo $190,000 $165 51
1217 Mentor Ave 0.53mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,080 (-2%) 12mo $340,000 $315 51
4814 Gunther St 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,160 (+5%) 12mo $320,000 $276 50
4807 Fable St 0.36mi 3/2.0 (+1) 984 (-11%) 8mo $430,000 $437 49
5054 D St SE 0.68mi 2/2.0 953 (-14%) 15mo $318,000 $334 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.8%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$3,240
Equity at exit
$24,587
10-year hold
IRR
14.4%
Equity multiple
2.34×
Total profit
$61,921
Equity at exit
$14,258

Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 20743

Rents YoY
5.9%
Active inventory
215
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,178 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$422 /mo · $5,063/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$457
Net cashflow
$365

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,716
Max offer price $164,900
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $458 -5% $412 +0% $365 +5% $318 +10% $272
Rent -10% $193 -5% $279 +0% $365 +5% $451 +10% $537
Rate -1.0pp $448 -0.5pp $407 base $365 +0.5pp $322 +1.0pp $279

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,225
Closing costs
$4,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
421 Nova Ave Capitol Heights, MD 1.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 45d 1 0.27mi
912 Elfin Ave Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 2.0 1028 $2,000 $1.95 45d 1 0.39mi
5433 C St SE Unit 4 Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 860 $1,500 $1.74 25d 1 0.40mi
5532 B St SE Washington, DC 2.0 2.0 1188 $2,800 $2.36 25d 1 0.43mi
22 Chamber Ave Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 1.0 942 $3,000 $3.18 45d 1 0.44mi
5401 Call Pl SE Washington, DC 2.0–3.0 1.0 1094 $1,575 $1.44 3d 2 0.44mi
5539 Central Ave SE Washington, DC 3.0 2.0 1140 $2,300 $2.02 23d 1 0.45mi
1205 Mentor Ave Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 1.0 1400 $3,000 $2.14 45d 1 0.48mi
416 Topeka Ave Unit A Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 2.0 1170 $2,800 $2.39 45d 1 0.50mi
5344 C St SE Unit 102 Washington, DC 3.0 2.0 1000 $2,499 $2.50 25d 1 0.52mi
5344 C St SE Unit 302 Washington, DC 3.0 2.0 1000 $2,100 $2.10 25d 1 0.52mi
5119 E St SE Washington, DC 3.0 1.0 941 $4,000 $4.25 20d 1 0.62mi
1209 Brooke Rd Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 2.0 1000 $3,200 $3.20 19d 1 0.64mi
1111 Balboa Ave Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 1.0 864 $2,000 $2.31 19d 1 0.66mi
11 Whist Pl Capitol Heights, MD 1.0 1.0 996 $2,100 $2.11 19d 1 0.72mi
5124 Astor Pl SE Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 700 $1,100 $1.57 25d 1 0.72mi
1210 Balboa Ave Unit B Capitol Heights, MD 2.0 1.0 858 $1,095 $1.28 45d 1 0.73mi
1210 Balboa Ave Capitol Heights, MD 1.0 1.0 858 $1,095 $1.28 45d 1 0.73mi
5005 D St SE #104 Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 772 $1,700 $2.20 6d 1 0.78mi
5037 Benning Rd SE Washington, DC 3.0 2.0 1184 $3,100 $2.62 25d 1 0.80mi
5047 Benning Rd SE Unit B Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 1184 $1,200 $1.01 25d 1 0.81mi
1201 Benning Rd Capitol Heights, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0 854 $1,576 $1.84 0d 43 0.83mi
5347 Ames St NE Washington, DC 3.0 2.0 1428 $3,000 $2.10 25d 1 0.83mi
1193 46th Pl SE Washington, DC 3.0 1.0 1056 $3,200 $3.03 25d 1 0.84mi
5284 Marlboro Pike Capitol Heights, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 812 $1,637 $2.01 0d 13 0.85mi
1513 Pacific Ave Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 1.0 1008 $2,450 $2.43 45d 1 0.85mi
5225 Marlboro Pike Capitol Heights, MD 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1050 $1,675 $1.60 2d 3 0.87mi
5237 Marlboro Pike Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 1.0 655 $1,540 $2.35 45d 1 0.92mi
4932 A St SE #302 Washington, DC 2.0 2.0 1007 $2,495 $2.48 5d 1 0.93mi
4930 A St SE Unit 203 Washington, DC 3.0 1.0 750 $2,815 $3.75 25d 1 0.95mi
1935 Brooks Dr Capitol Heights, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 865 $1,500 $1.73 0d 7 0.95mi
324 61st St NE Unit 4 Washington, DC 3.0 1.5 850 $2,800 $3.29 25d 1 0.98mi
323 62nd St NE Washington, DC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 908 $1,867 $2.06 25d 1 1.00mi
1634 Brooksquare Dr Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 1.5 1317 $2,250 $1.71 6d 1 1.01mi
44 49th St SE Unit A1 Washington, DC 3.0 1.0 793 $2,499 $3.15 25d 1 1.02mi
337 54th St NE Unit A Washington, DC 3.0 1.5 1184 $2,850 $2.41 25d 1 1.03mi
4601 Pistachio Ln Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 2.5 1376 $2,795 $2.03 18d 1 1.05mi
5225 Dix St NE Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 800 $1,300 $1.62 21d 1 1.13mi
5225 Dix St NE Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 800 $1,300 $1.62 6d 1 1.13mi
5225 Dix St NE Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 800 $1,500 $1.88 23d 1 1.13mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $164,900 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $164,900 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $164,900 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $164,900 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $164,900 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $164,900 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on marketlisting id $164,900 Active 1 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $164,900 Active 253 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $164,900 Active 252 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $169,900 Active 249 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,900 Active 248 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,900 Active 247 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,900 Active 246 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Active 245 DOM
  15. 2026-04-07
    price $169,900 332-char remark
  16. 2026-02-16
    price $184,900 332-char remark
  17. 2026-01-14
    price $194,900 332-char remark
  18. 2025-10-29
    price $204,900 332-char remark
  19. 2025-09-28
    listed $214,900 Active 332-char remark
  20. 2017-06-09
    status Contract
  21. 2017-06-07
    historical Withdrawn
  22. 2017-06-05
    listed Active
  23. 2005-12-30
    soldstatus $145,000
  24. 2004-04-21
    soldstatus $85,000
  25. 2004-01-30
    soldstatus $85,000
  26. 2003-11-09
    historical
  27. 2003-09-13
    listed $89,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,063 · $422/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,063 · $422/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,135
− Mortgage interest
−$9,237
− Property taxes
−$5,063
− Insurance
−$824
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,091
− Management
−$2,091
− Depreciation
−$4,797
Taxable income
$2,032
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$488
After-tax cash flow
$3,894/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Prince George'S County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400510
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$73,967
Composite
16.82/100
National rank
#9151
State rank
#21 of 24 in MD

Livability — Capitol Heights

Score
71/100
State rank
#155
US rank
#6934

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime C- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Capitol Heights, MD
County
Prince Georges County · 919,866 people
City population
41,093
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
41,093
Household income
$76,466
Rent vs Own
33.9% rent · 66.1% own
Severe rent burden
1418.0

Population outlook (Prince George's County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,005,426 people
By 2030
1,048,416 · +4.3%
By 2040
1,123,425 · +11.7%
By 2050
1,183,220 · +17.7%
By 2075
1,306,202 · +29.9%
By 2100
1,408,179 · +40.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (78%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 78% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 4% White 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 13% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Prince George's

2024 margin
Solid D (+75.2) · D 86.3% · R 11.2% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-3.3pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 75.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+75.2 2020: D+80.5 2016: D+81.0 2012: D+80.9 2008: D+78.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -311.97%
Current HPI
335.5152
Rent YoY
▲ 5.90%
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+83.4% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $164,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-06-09 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $164,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-16 Price Changed $184,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $194,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-29 Price Changed $204,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-28 Listed $214,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-06-09 Pending MRIS
  • 2017-06-07 Delisted MRIS
  • 2017-06-05 Listed MRIS
  • 2005-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
  • 2004-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2004-01-30 Sold (MLS) $85,000 MRIS
  • 2003-11-09 Delisted MRIS
  • 2003-09-13 Listed $89,900 MRIS

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,063 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…