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425 5th Ave SE
B+ Composite 75.03
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$49,000

425 5th Ave SE · Beach, ND 58621
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 812 sqft · Other · 55 Days on market
Built 1910 0.33 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Large yard
  • Eat-in kitchen
  • 0.33 acre lot

Tags

THREE-SEASON BUNGALOWLARGE YARDEAT-IN KITCHEN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential property; Low-density residential zoning

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Wood stove heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Window coverings
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $49k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $463 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($959 rent vs $49k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#4 in ND, #2,032 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Beach 3 (rural): math 40% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #107 of 169 in ND (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Golden Valley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($339 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Golden Valley County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $47,530 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.96%
Cap rate
17.63%
Cash-on-cash
40.48%
DSCR
2.80
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
45.9%
Equity multiple
3.58×
Total profit
$35,370
Equity at exit
$22,033
10-year hold
IRR
45.7%
Equity multiple
7.17×
Total profit
$84,590
Equity at exit
$33,955

Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58621

Active inventory
21
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$959 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$257
Tax from tax record
$17 /mo · $209/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$201
Net cashflow
$463

Break-even live

Break-even rent $373
Max offer price $49,000
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $491 -5% $477 +0% $463 +5% $449 +10% $435
Rent -10% $387 -5% $425 +0% $463 +5% $501 +10% $539
Rate -1.0pp $488 -0.5pp $475 base $463 +0.5pp $450 +1.0pp $437

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,250
Closing costs
$1,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,000 Active 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,000 Active 54 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,000 Active 53 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,000 Active 52 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $49,000 Active 50 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,000 Active 49 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $49,000 Active 47 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,000 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,000 Active 45 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,000 Active 44 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,000 Active 40 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,000 Active 39 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,000 Active 38 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,000 Active 37 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,000 Active 36 DOM
  16. 2026-04-20
    listed $49,000 Active
  17. 2025-12-22
    listed $49,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$209 · $17/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$480 · $40/mo
Expected delta
+$272/yr (+$23/mo · 130.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,508
− Mortgage interest
−$2,745
− Property taxes
−$209
− Insurance
−$245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$921
− Management
−$921
− Depreciation
−$1,425
Taxable income
$5,043
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,210
After-tax cash flow
$4,344/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beach 3
NCES district ID
3802380
Math proficiency
40% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$38,333
Composite
35.81/100
National rank
#9624
State rank
#107 of 169 in ND

Livability — Beach

Score
79/100
State rank
#4
US rank
#2032

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Beach, ND
Population (ZIP)
1,203

Population outlook (Golden Valley County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,209 people
By 2030
2,428 · +9.9%
By 2040
2,878 · +30.3%
By 2050
3,342 · +51.3%
By 2075
4,620 · +109.1%
By 2100
5,663 · +156.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 11%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 7% Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Golden Valley

2024 margin
Solid R (+73.7) · D 12.4% · R 86.1% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-24.3pp toward R · 2008: -49.4pp · 2024: -73.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+73.7 2020: R+71.5 2016: R+73.7 2012: R+62.7 2008: R+49.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $49,000 Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2025-12-22 Listed $49,000 Badlands BOR MLS

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $209 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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