425 5th Ave SE · Beach, ND
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$49,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Large yard
- Eat-in kitchen
- 0.33 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential property; Low-density residential zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Wood stove heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $49k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $463 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($959 rent vs $49k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#4 in ND, #2,032 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Beach 3 (rural): math 40% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #107 of 169 in ND (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Golden Valley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($339 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Golden Valley County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.96% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.48%
- DSCR
- 2.80
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 45.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.58×
- Total profit
- $35,370
- Equity at exit
- $22,033
- IRR
- 45.7%
- Equity multiple
- 7.17×
- Total profit
- $84,590
- Equity at exit
- $33,955
Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58621
- Active inventory
- 21
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $959 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$257
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $209/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$201
- Net cashflow
- $463
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $491 | -5% $477 | +0% $463 | +5% $449 | +10% $435 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $387 | -5% $425 | +0% $463 | +5% $501 | +10% $539 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $488 | -0.5pp $475 | base $463 | +0.5pp $450 | +1.0pp $437 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,250
- Closing costs
- $1,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $49,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $49,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $49,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-04-20$49,000 Active
-
2025-12-22$49,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $209 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $480 · $40/mo
- Expected delta
- +$272/yr (+$23/mo · 130.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,508
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,745
- − Property taxes
- −$209
- − Insurance
- −$245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$921
- − Management
- −$921
- − Depreciation
- −$1,425
- Taxable income
- $5,043
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,210
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,344/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Beach 3
- NCES district ID
- 3802380
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,333
- Composite
- 35.81/100
- National rank
- #9624
- State rank
- #107 of 169 in ND
Livability — Beach
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #2032
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Beach, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,203
Population outlook (Golden Valley County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,209 people
- By 2030
- 2,428 · +9.9%
- By 2040
- 2,878 · +30.3%
- By 2050
- 3,342 · +51.3%
- By 2075
- 4,620 · +109.1%
- By 2100
- 5,663 · +156.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 11%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 7% Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Golden Valley
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+73.7) · D 12.4% · R 86.1% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.3pp toward R · 2008: -49.4pp · 2024: -73.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+73.7 2020: R+71.5 2016: R+73.7 2012: R+62.7 2008: R+49.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Listed $49,000 Badlands BOR MLS
- 2025-12-22 Listed $49,000 Badlands BOR MLS
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $209 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…