🏷️ Likely Rental
309 N Calhoun St · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GREAT OPPORTUNITY!! READY TO MOVE YOUR TENANT IN OR GREAT FOR 1ST TIME HOMEOWNER. FRESHLY PAINTED, VERY LARGE KITCHEN. PROPERTY PREVIOUSLY RENTED FOR $750.00. OWNER WILLING TO INSTALL NEW CARPET WITH FULL PRICE OFFER.
Key facts
- Built 1920
- Listed 51 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Income/expense listing references annual ground rent
- Financial info: Ground rent payment: $76 semi-annually; Land assessed value listed separately from improvements
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas hot water
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Above-grade living space reported as 1,492 (estimated)
- Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Other structures above grade
- Exterior features: On-street parking; Property is within city limits; Ground rent exists and is paid semi-annually
Interior
- Bedrooms: Seven bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning (natural gas)
- Interior features: Fully finished basement; Living area reported as estimated
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 7-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.8% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 422 active listings in the ZIP; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,115/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 1755% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 30y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 62.43%
- DSCR
- 3.78
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $273,209
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- -70.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1143 Myrtle Ave | 0.59mi | 6/3.0 (-1) | 1,340 (-10%) | 9mo | $299,000 | $223 | 39 |
| 821 W Lombard St | 0.71mi | 6/3.0 (-1) | 1,614 (+8%) | 13mo | $400,000 | $248 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 66.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.18×
- Total profit
- $71,295
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 72.0%
- Equity multiple
- 10.06×
- Total profit
- $202,866
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21223
- Rents YoY
- 7.5%
- Active inventory
- 422
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,115 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$53 /mo · $634/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$444
- Net cashflow
- $1,165
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $80,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $80,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-28$95,500 Active 928-char remark
-
2007-05-02soldstatus $85,000 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
GREAT OPPORTUNITY!! READY TO MOVE YOUR TENANT IN OR GREAT FOR 1ST TIME HOMEOWNER. FRESHLY PAINTED, VERY LARGE KITCHEN. PROPERTY PREVIOUSLY RENTED FOR $750.00. OWNER WILLING TO INSTALL NEW CARPET WITH FULL PRICE OFFER.
-
2007-04-07historical 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
GREAT OPPORTUNITY!! READY TO MOVE YOUR TENANT IN OR GREAT FOR 1ST TIME HOMEOWNER. FRESHLY PAINTED, VERY LARGE KITCHEN. PROPERTY PREVIOUSLY RENTED FOR $750.00. OWNER WILLING TO INSTALL NEW CARPET WITH FULL PRICE OFFER.
-
2007-03-23$89,900 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
GREAT OPPORTUNITY!! READY TO MOVE YOUR TENANT IN OR GREAT FOR 1ST TIME HOMEOWNER. FRESHLY PAINTED, VERY LARGE KITCHEN. PROPERTY PREVIOUSLY RENTED FOR $750.00. OWNER WILLING TO INSTALL NEW CARPET WITH FULL PRICE OFFER.
-
1996-12-16historical
-
1996-09-27soldstatus $10,000
-
1996-06-17
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $634 · $53/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $753 · $63/mo
- Expected delta
- +$119/yr (+$10/mo · 18.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,383
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$634
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,031
- − Management
- −$2,031
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $13,479
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,235
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,749/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,572
- Household income
- $45,840
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1755.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 72% White 16% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.99%
- Current HPI
- 140.5836
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.51%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+700.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $80,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $95,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-05-02 Sold (MLS) $85,000 MRIS
- 2007-04-07 Delisted — MRIS
- 2007-03-23 Listed $89,900 MRIS
- 1996-12-16 Delisted — MRIS
- 1996-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 1996-06-17 Listed — MRIS
Property tax history
-4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $634 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…