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309 N Calhoun St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 69.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

309 N Calhoun St · Baltimore, MD 21223
7 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,492 sqft · Townhouse · 51 Days on market
Built 1920 0.34 ac lot $54/sqft · 71% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

GREAT OPPORTUNITY!! READY TO MOVE YOUR TENANT IN OR GREAT FOR 1ST TIME HOMEOWNER. FRESHLY PAINTED, VERY LARGE KITCHEN. PROPERTY PREVIOUSLY RENTED FOR $750.00. OWNER WILLING TO INSTALL NEW CARPET WITH FULL PRICE OFFER.

Key facts

  • Built 1920
  • Listed 51 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Income/expense listing references annual ground rent
  • Financial info: Ground rent payment: $76 semi-annually; Land assessed value listed separately from improvements

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas hot water
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Above-grade living space reported as 1,492 (estimated)
  • Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Other structures above grade
  • Exterior features: On-street parking; Property is within city limits; Ground rent exists and is paid semi-annually

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Seven bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Fully finished basement; Living area reported as estimated

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $80,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$273,209) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 7-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.8% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 422 active listings in the ZIP; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,115/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 1755% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 30y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $77,600 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.64%
Cap rate
23.77%
Cash-on-cash
62.43%
DSCR
3.78
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$273,209
List price
$80,000
Delta
-70.72%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1143 Myrtle Ave 0.59mi 6/3.0 (-1) 1,340 (-10%) 9mo $299,000 $223 39
821 W Lombard St 0.71mi 6/3.0 (-1) 1,614 (+8%) 13mo $400,000 $248 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
66.3%
Equity multiple
4.18×
Total profit
$71,295
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
72.0%
Equity multiple
10.06×
Total profit
$202,866
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21223

Rents YoY
7.5%
Active inventory
422
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,115 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$53 /mo · $634/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$444
Net cashflow
$1,165

Break-even live

Break-even rent $640
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 40%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $80,000 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 42 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 41 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $80,000 Active 37 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,000 Active 36 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 35 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-04-28
    listed $95,500 Active 928-char remark
  15. 2007-05-02
    soldstatus $85,000 217-char remark
    Show marketing remark (217 chars)

    GREAT OPPORTUNITY!! READY TO MOVE YOUR TENANT IN OR GREAT FOR 1ST TIME HOMEOWNER. FRESHLY PAINTED, VERY LARGE KITCHEN. PROPERTY PREVIOUSLY RENTED FOR $750.00. OWNER WILLING TO INSTALL NEW CARPET WITH FULL PRICE OFFER.

  16. 2007-04-07
    historical 217-char remark
    Show marketing remark (217 chars)

    GREAT OPPORTUNITY!! READY TO MOVE YOUR TENANT IN OR GREAT FOR 1ST TIME HOMEOWNER. FRESHLY PAINTED, VERY LARGE KITCHEN. PROPERTY PREVIOUSLY RENTED FOR $750.00. OWNER WILLING TO INSTALL NEW CARPET WITH FULL PRICE OFFER.

  17. 2007-03-23
    listed $89,900 217-char remark
    Show marketing remark (217 chars)

    GREAT OPPORTUNITY!! READY TO MOVE YOUR TENANT IN OR GREAT FOR 1ST TIME HOMEOWNER. FRESHLY PAINTED, VERY LARGE KITCHEN. PROPERTY PREVIOUSLY RENTED FOR $750.00. OWNER WILLING TO INSTALL NEW CARPET WITH FULL PRICE OFFER.

  18. 1996-12-16
    historical
  19. 1996-09-27
    soldstatus $10,000
  20. 1996-06-17
    listed

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$634 · $53/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$753 · $63/mo
Expected delta
+$119/yr (+$10/mo · 18.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,383
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$634
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,031
− Management
−$2,031
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$13,479
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,235
After-tax cash flow
$10,749/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
19,572
Household income
$45,840
Rent vs Own
68.0% rent · 32.0% own
Severe rent burden
1755.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (72%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 72% White 16% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.99%
Current HPI
140.5836
Rent YoY
▲ 7.51%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+700.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $80,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $95,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-05-02 Sold (MLS) $85,000 MRIS
  • 2007-04-07 Delisted MRIS
  • 2007-03-23 Listed $89,900 MRIS
  • 1996-12-16 Delisted MRIS
  • 1996-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
  • 1996-06-17 Listed MRIS

Property tax history

-4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $634 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…