1960 Andrews Loop · Land O' Lakes, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.7/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Older mobile home on a nice lot! Backs up to Lake Como Clothing optional resort for quick access. Perfect for investor!
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Built 1972
- Listed 66 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Direction to property available
- Financial info: No lease restrictions; Unfurnished
- HOA & community: No HOA or association
Exterior
- Parking: No parking information provided
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Well water; Public sewer and septic tank; Public utilities available
- Home design: Residential double-wide mobile home; One story; Faces north
- Construction: Metal frame construction; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built on a double-wide body type
- Exterior features: Gravel road access; Lot approximately 0.23 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Other
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Wall/window air conditioning units and other cooling
- Interior features: No interior amenities listed
- Laundry & utility: No laundry features
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 25.9% vs local median 3.7% in Land O' Lakes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.1%/yr); 267 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $60k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.97% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 70.16%
- DSCR
- 4.12
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $60,480
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1960 Andrews Loop | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 960 (0%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $63 | 99 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 66.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.84×
- Total profit
- $67,506
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 69.6%
- Equity multiple
- 7.07×
- Total profit
- $144,525
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33558
- Home prices YoY
- -14.2%
- Rents YoY
- -3.1%
- Active inventory
- 267
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,522 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,439/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$530
- Net cashflow
- $1,391
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,440 | -5% $1,416 | +0% $1,391 | +5% $1,367 | +10% $1,343 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,192 | -5% $1,292 | +0% $1,391 | +5% $1,491 | +10% $1,591 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,434 | -0.5pp $1,413 | base $1,391 | +0.5pp $1,369 | +1.0pp $1,347 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20114 Stella Way Lutz, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 970 | $2,449 | $2.52 | 0d | 21 | 0.75mi |
| 20797 Cahaba Dr Lutz, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1174 | $2,720 | $2.32 | 0d | 198 | 0.76mi |
| 1211 Foxwood Dr Lutz, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-26soldstatus $60,000 Closed
-
2026-05-14status Pending
-
2026-05-07price $84,999
-
2026-04-22price $89,999
-
2026-04-15price $91,500
-
2026-04-01price $97,000
-
2026-03-09$98,000 Active
-
2019-12-19soldstatus $47,500
-
2019-12-18soldstatus $45,000 Sold 119-char remark
Show marketing remark (119 chars)
Older mobile home on a nice lot! Backs up to Lake Como Clothing optional resort for quick access. Perfect for investor!
-
2019-11-07status Pending 119-char remark
Show marketing remark (119 chars)
Older mobile home on a nice lot! Backs up to Lake Como Clothing optional resort for quick access. Perfect for investor!
-
2019-10-08$49,900 Active 119-char remark
Show marketing remark (119 chars)
Older mobile home on a nice lot! Backs up to Lake Como Clothing optional resort for quick access. Perfect for investor!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,439 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,439 · $120/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,266
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,439
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,421
- − Management
- −$2,421
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $16,326
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,918
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,780/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Land O' Lakes
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Land O' Lakes, FL
- County
- Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,165
- Household income
- $116,090
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 639.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 16% Asian 11% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.60%
- Current HPI
- 324.0508
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.12%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+20.2% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Sold (MLS) $60,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-14 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $84,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $89,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $91,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $97,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-09 Listed $98,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records
- 2019-12-18 Sold (MLS) $45,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-11-07 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-08 Listed $49,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+22.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,439 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…