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21167 Coles Valley Rd
B Composite 73.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$62,500

21167 Coles Valley Rd · Wood, PA 16674
3 bd · None ba · 468 sqft · Other public records · 25 Days on market
1.80 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

AUCTION DATE ONLINE BIDDING BEGINS CLOSING MONDAY, JUNE 15, 2026, AT 6:00 PM. LISTED PRICE IS AN OPENING BID ONLY AND IS NOT INDICATIVE OF THE FINAL SALE PRICE. REAL ESTATE: 2 sty. frame/vinyl cabin w/ 1040 SF finished area, eat-in kitchen, living rm. , 2 bdrms. , full bath, 1st floor laundry hookup, oil hot air furnace, bsmt. , low maintenance exterior w/ covered soffit, fascia & insulated/tilt windows, rear deck 10 x 7-1/2, covered front porch & utility bldg. 14x10 all on 1.8 ACRE partially wooded lot w/ on-site well & septic. NOTE: Ideally located custom cabin approx. 1 mile from State Game Lands #121 (2,207 acres). Only 2 hours from Lancaster. Needs some TLC. Terms 10% down, balance 60 days or before. Personal inspection by appointment.

Key facts

  • Oil hot air furnace
  • Living rm
  • Full bath

Tags

EAT-IN KITCHENLIVING RMFULL BATH1ST FLOOR LAUNDRY HOOKUPOIL HOT AIR FURNACELOW MAINTENANCE EXTERIOR

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Well water; On-site septic
  • Home design: Detached structure; Estimated year built
  • Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Stone foundation; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Utility building on the property; No tidal water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the upper level; Room list includes: Living Room, Bedroom 1, Bedroom 2, Kitchen
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (oil)
  • Interior features: Full basement; Estimated living area
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/?-bath other listed at $62k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $343 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($929 rent vs $62k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Tussey Mountain SD (rural): math 26% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #412 of 539 in PA (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Huntingdon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $988 of equity ($432 loan paydown + $556 appreciation (0.9% local appreciation)).
  • Huntingdon County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask is 79% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,562 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
12.88%
Cash-on-cash
23.51%
DSCR
2.05
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.89% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.4%
Equity multiple
2.29×
Total profit
$22,658
Equity at exit
$20,977
10-year hold
IRR
28.3%
Equity multiple
4.38×
Total profit
$59,128
Equity at exit
$27,601

Cash invested: $17,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16674

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$929 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$328
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $446/yr
Insurance
$26
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$195
Net cashflow
$343

Break-even live

Break-even rent $495
Max offer price $62,500
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,625
Closing costs
$1,875
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    pricestatuslisting id $62,500 Pending 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $35,000 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $35,000 Active 24 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $35,000 Active 22 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    days on market $35,000 Active 21 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $35,000 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $35,000 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $35,000 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $35,000 Active 15 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $35,000 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $35,000 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $35,000 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $35,000 Active 9 DOM
  14. 2026-05-22
    listed $35,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (768 chars)

    AUCTION DATE ONLINE BIDDING BEGINS CLOSING MONDAY, JUNE 15, 2026, AT 6:00 PM. LISTED PRICE IS AN OPENING BID ONLY AND IS NOT INDICATIVE OF THE FINAL SALE PRICE. REAL ESTATE: 2 sty. frame/vinyl cabin w/ 1040 SF finished area, eat-in kitchen, living rm. , 2 bdrms. , full bath, 1st floor laundry hookup, oil hot air furnace, bsmt. , low maintenance exterior w/ covered soffit, fascia & insulated/tilt windows, rear deck 10 x 7-1/2, covered front porch & utility bldg. 14x10 all on 1.8 ACRE partially wooded lot w/ on-site well & septic. NOTE: Ideally located custom cabin approx. 1 mile from State Game Lands #121 (2,207 acres). Only 2 hours from Lancaster. Needs some TLC. Terms 10% down, balance 60 days or before. Personal inspection by appointment.

  15. 2026-05-22
    listed $35,000 Active 768-char remark
    Show marketing remark (768 chars)

    AUCTION DATE ONLINE BIDDING BEGINS CLOSING MONDAY, JUNE 15, 2026, AT 6:00 PM. LISTED PRICE IS AN OPENING BID ONLY AND IS NOT INDICATIVE OF THE FINAL SALE PRICE. REAL ESTATE: 2 sty. frame/vinyl cabin w/ 1040 SF finished area, eat-in kitchen, living rm. , 2 bdrms. , full bath, 1st floor laundry hookup, oil hot air furnace, bsmt. , low maintenance exterior w/ covered soffit, fascia & insulated/tilt windows, rear deck 10 x 7-1/2, covered front porch & utility bldg. 14x10 all on 1.8 ACRE partially wooded lot w/ on-site well & septic. NOTE: Ideally located custom cabin approx. 1 mile from State Game Lands #121 (2,207 acres). Only 2 hours from Lancaster. Needs some TLC. Terms 10% down, balance 60 days or before. Personal inspection by appointment.

  16. 2024-09-15
    historical
  17. 2024-08-24
    price $115,000
  18. 2024-08-24
    price $115,000
  19. 2024-05-31
    price $119,000
  20. 2024-05-30
    price $119,000
  21. 2024-04-25
    listed $124,900 Active
  22. 2024-04-19
    listed $124,900 Active
  23. 2021-07-30
    historical
  24. 2021-04-02
    listed $119,900
  25. 2021-04-02
    listed $119,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$446 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$717 · $60/mo
Expected delta
+$271/yr (+$23/mo · 60.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,147
− Mortgage interest
−$3,501
− Property taxes
−$446
− Insurance
−$312
− Repairs & maintenance
−$892
− Management
−$892
− Depreciation
−$1,818
Taxable income
$3,286
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$789
After-tax cash flow
$3,326/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tussey Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4223970
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$40,095
Composite
30.15/100
National rank
#6329
State rank
#412 of 539 in PA

Livability — Wood

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
572

Population outlook (Huntingdon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,212 people
By 2030
43,057 · -2.6%
By 2040
40,537 · -8.3%
By 2050
37,844 · -14.4%
By 2075
31,411 · -29.0%
By 2100
23,907 · -45.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Lithuanian 4% Polish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Huntingdon

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.9) · D 23.2% · R 76.1%
2008→2024 swing
-25.4pp toward R · 2008: -27.5pp · 2024: -52.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.9 2020: R+51.0 2016: R+50.7 2012: R+37.4 2008: R+27.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.89%
Current HPI
71.1981
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-70.8% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $35,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $35,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-09-15 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-08-24 Price Changed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-08-24 Price Changed $115,000 HCBR
  • 2024-05-31 Price Changed $119,000 HCBR
  • 2024-05-30 Price Changed $119,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-04-25 Listed $124,900 HCBR
  • 2024-04-19 Listed $124,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-07-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-04-02 Listed $119,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-04-02 Listed $119,900 HCBR

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $446 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…