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420 Dale St
D Composite 42.57
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$239,000

420 Dale St · Flushing, MI 48433
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,792 sqft · SingleFamily · 24 Days on market
Built 1956 10,454 sqft lot $133/sqft · at area comps Est $231k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 1.5 bath home in Flushing—perfect for entertaining and everyday living! The oversized kitchen features brand-new appliances, abundant cabinet storage, and flows seamlessly into the dining room, making gatherings easy and enjoyable. Just beyond the dining area, a cozy sitting space offers the perfect spot to relax while grilling or enjoying the backyard views. The flexible layout includes two bedrooms upstairs with a full bath, a main-level primary bedroom with an additional bath, and a fourth bedroom on the lower level—ideal for guests, an office, or extra living space. Original hardwood floors add warmth and character throughout. Nestled at the end of a quiet cul-de-sac, this home also offers privacy, a fenced yard for pets, and plenty of room to enjoy inside and out! Including a newer roof, furnace, fence & water heater.

Key facts

  • 0.24 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1956

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in the Flushing Orchards subdivision at Coutant / Luce
  • Financial info: Tax information provided (amount withheld)
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Security: No security features provided
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence (residential property type); Above-grade finished area listed (size withheld); Below-grade finished area listed (size withheld)
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 133 x 98 x 110 x 70; Lot size about 0.24 acres; No pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
  • Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: No flooring information provided
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; Wood stove heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Wood burning stove fireplace; Basement
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry or utility appliance details provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $239k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $107 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (7.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $220k (7.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.5% in Flushing — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#140 in MI, #3,431 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Flushing Community Schools (suburban): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #295 of 540 in MI (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Springview Elementary School (math 27% / reading 35%, grade F, #852 of 1,397 statewide, top 61%, 436 students, 61% FRL); Flushing Middle School (math 25% / reading 44%, grade F, #289 of 493 statewide, top 60%, 642 students, 51% FRL); Flushing High School (math 25% / reading 49%, grade F, #334 of 713 statewide, top 51%, 1,278 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools average 51% FRL vs 32% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 160 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $124k; list at $239k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $220,000 (7.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
6.83%
Cash-on-cash
1.91%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$231,470
List price
$239,000
Delta
3.25%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1203 Clearview Dr 0.29mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,768 (-1%) 6mo $219,000 $124 74
428 Leland St 0.23mi 4/2.0 1,878 (+5%) 6mo $230,000 $122 74
824 Gerald St 0.26mi 4/2.0 1,700 (-5%) 8mo $203,800 $120 71
535 Warren Ave 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,674 (-7%) 1mo $210,000 $125 70
426 Bellewood Dr 0.49mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,768 (-1%) 4mo $200,000 $113 67
420 Sunnyside Dr 0.44mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,820 (+2%) 7mo $215,000 $118 64
428 Sunnyside Dr 0.44mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,706 (-5%) 4mo $234,900 $138 63
334 Cedarwood Dr 0.56mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,846 (+3%) 4mo $248,000 $134 61
207 Labian Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,625 (-9%) 1mo $175,900 $108 57
5016 Deland Rd 0.60mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,722 (-4%) 5mo $247,000 $143 54
445 Bellewood Dr 0.53mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,899 (+6%) 8mo $225,000 $118 50
620 Carpenter Rd 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,947 (+9%) 2mo $247,500 $127 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.3%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-31,921
Equity at exit
$35,636
10-year hold
IRR
-4.3%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-18,973
Equity at exit
$20,664

Cash invested: $66,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48433

Active inventory
160
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,200 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,253
Tax from tax record
$279 /mo · $3,342/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$462
Net cashflow
$107

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,065
Max offer price $239,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $242 -5% $174 +0% $107 +5% $39 +10% $-29
Rent -10% $-67 -5% $20 +0% $107 +5% $193 +10% $280
Rate -1.0pp $227 -0.5pp $167 base $107 +0.5pp $45 +1.0pp $-18

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,750
Closing costs
$7,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
620 Carpenter Rd Flushing, MI 3.0 2.0 2244 $2,200 $0.98 23d 1 0.67mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    status $239,000 Pending 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $239,000 Active 24 DOM
    Show marketing remark (888 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 1.5 bath home in Flushing—perfect for entertaining and everyday living! The oversized kitchen features brand-new appliances, abundant cabinet storage, and flows seamlessly into the dining room, making gatherings easy and enjoyable. Just beyond the dining area, a cozy sitting space offers the perfect spot to relax while grilling or enjoying the backyard views. The flexible layout includes two bedrooms upstairs with a full bath, a main-level primary bedroom with an additional bath, and a fourth bedroom on the lower level—ideal for guests, an office, or extra living space. Original hardwood floors add warmth and character throughout. Nestled at the end of a quiet cul-de-sac, this home also offers privacy, a fenced yard for pets, and plenty of room to enjoy inside and out! Including a newer roof, furnace, fence & water heater.

  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $239,000 Active 23 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    days on market $239,000 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $239,000 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $239,000 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $239,000 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $239,000 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-05-30
    days on market $239,000 Active 15 DOM
  10. 2026-05-15
    listed $239,000 Active 876-char remark
    Show marketing remark (888 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 1.5 bath home in Flushing—perfect for entertaining and everyday living! The oversized kitchen features brand-new appliances, abundant cabinet storage, and flows seamlessly into the dining room, making gatherings easy and enjoyable. Just beyond the dining area, a cozy sitting space offers the perfect spot to relax while grilling or enjoying the backyard views. The flexible layout includes two bedrooms upstairs with a full bath, a main-level primary bedroom with an additional bath, and a fourth bedroom on the lower level—ideal for guests, an office, or extra living space. Original hardwood floors add warmth and character throughout. Nestled at the end of a quiet cul-de-sac, this home also offers privacy, a fenced yard for pets, and plenty of room to enjoy inside and out! Including a newer roof, furnace, fence & water heater.

  11. 2026-05-15
    listed $239,000 Active 888-char remark
    Show marketing remark (888 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 1.5 bath home in Flushing—perfect for entertaining and everyday living! The oversized kitchen features brand-new appliances, abundant cabinet storage, and flows seamlessly into the dining room, making gatherings easy and enjoyable. Just beyond the dining area, a cozy sitting space offers the perfect spot to relax while grilling or enjoying the backyard views. The flexible layout includes two bedrooms upstairs with a full bath, a main-level primary bedroom with an additional bath, and a fourth bedroom on the lower level—ideal for guests, an office, or extra living space. Original hardwood floors add warmth and character throughout. Nestled at the end of a quiet cul-de-sac, this home also offers privacy, a fenced yard for pets, and plenty of room to enjoy inside and out! Including a newer roof, furnace, fence & water heater.

  12. 2026-05-13
    historical $239,000 888-char remark
    Show marketing remark (888 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 1.5 bath home in Flushing—perfect for entertaining and everyday living! The oversized kitchen features brand-new appliances, abundant cabinet storage, and flows seamlessly into the dining room, making gatherings easy and enjoyable. Just beyond the dining area, a cozy sitting space offers the perfect spot to relax while grilling or enjoying the backyard views. The flexible layout includes two bedrooms upstairs with a full bath, a main-level primary bedroom with an additional bath, and a fourth bedroom on the lower level—ideal for guests, an office, or extra living space. Original hardwood floors add warmth and character throughout. Nestled at the end of a quiet cul-de-sac, this home also offers privacy, a fenced yard for pets, and plenty of room to enjoy inside and out! Including a newer roof, furnace, fence & water heater.

  13. 2016-07-14
    soldstatus $123,600
  14. 2016-05-02
    status Pending
  15. 2016-04-29
    historical Keep Showing-Contgcy Appl
  16. 2016-04-28
    listed $119,900 Active
  17. 2016-04-27
    listed $119,900
    Show marketing remark (385 chars)

    Immaculate with great floor plan. Main floor bedroom. Cathedral ceiling dining room, kitchen and living room. Newer cherry gourmet kitchen with all appliances. Fire lit living room. Newer vinyl windows, exterior paint (2014), roof (2001), carpet and bathrooms (2004) plus newer decor. Exclude: S. E. bedroom drape. Hardwood under many carpets. Walking distance to schools and shopping!

  18. 2005-07-22
    soldstatus $135,000
  19. 2005-06-27
    soldstatus $135,000
  20. 2005-06-27
    soldstatus $135,000
  21. 2005-06-10
    historical
  22. 2005-04-14
    listed $144,900
  23. 2005-04-14
    listed $144,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,342 · $279/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,511 · $293/mo
Expected delta
+$169/yr (+$14/mo · 5.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,400
− Mortgage interest
−$13,388
− Property taxes
−$3,342
− Insurance
−$1,195
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,112
− Management
−$2,112
− Depreciation
−$6,953
Taxable loss
−$2,702
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$648
After-tax cash flow
$1,927/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flushing Community Schools
NCES district ID
2614550
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$58,883
Composite
29.48/100
National rank
#6506
State rank
#295 of 540 in MI

Livability — Flushing

Score
76/100
State rank
#140
US rank
#3431

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flushing, MI
Population (ZIP)
25,756

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -214.10%
Current HPI
175.93
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+64.9% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-08 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $239,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $239,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Coming Soon $239,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $123,600 Public Records
  • 2016-05-02 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-04-29 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-04-28 Listed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-04-27 Listed $119,900 REALCOMP
  • 2005-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
  • 2005-06-27 Sold (MLS) $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-06-27 Sold (MLS) $135,000 REALCOMP
  • 2005-06-10 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-04-14 Listed $144,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-04-14 Listed $144,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,342 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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