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411 E 5th St
B- Composite 66.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.6/10.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0

$72,500

411 E 5th St · Russell, KS 67665
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 788 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 78 Days on market
Built 1920 4,800 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 4,800 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 77 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property
  • Construction: Lot approximately 50 x 96; Zoning: NC.1 / R-1
  • Exterior features: Composition roof

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Total of 5 rooms; Partial basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $162 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($840 rent vs $72k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#186 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Russell County (town): math 22% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #144 of 169 in KS (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Russell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($501 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
  • Russell County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (7.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $68,150 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
8.98%
Cash-on-cash
9.59%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.29% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.0%
Equity multiple
2.82×
Total profit
$36,980
Equity at exit
$51,639
10-year hold
IRR
23.7%
Equity multiple
5.91×
Total profit
$99,672
Equity at exit
$99,383

Cash invested: $20,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 67665

Home prices YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
44
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$840 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$380
Tax est. 1.5%
$91 /mo · $1,088/yr
Insurance
$30
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$176
Net cashflow
$162

Break-even live

Break-even rent $634
Max offer price $72,500
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,125
Closing costs
$2,175
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $72,500 Active 78 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $72,500 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $72,500 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $72,500 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $72,500 Active 73 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $72,500 Active 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $72,500 Active 69 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $72,500 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $72,500 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $72,500 Active 65 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $72,500 Active 63 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $72,500 Active 62 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $72,500 Active 61 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $72,500 Active 60 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $72,500 Active 59 DOM
  16. 2026-03-31
    listed $72,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,076
− Mortgage interest
−$4,061
− Property taxes
−$1,088
− Insurance
−$362
− Repairs & maintenance
−$806
− Management
−$806
− Depreciation
−$2,109
Taxable income
$844
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$202
After-tax cash flow
$1,745/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Russell County
NCES district ID
2011310
Math proficiency
22% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$41,397
Composite
20.4/100
National rank
#8591
State rank
#144 of 169 in KS

Livability — Russell

Score
69/100
State rank
#186
US rank
#8488

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Russell, KS
Population (ZIP)
4,893

Population outlook (Russell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
7,010 people
By 2030
7,035 · +0.4%
By 2040
7,181 · +2.4%
By 2050
7,290 · +4.0%
By 2075
8,229 · +17.4%
By 2100
8,868 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 5% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Russell

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.3) · D 18.4% · R 79.7% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-7.5pp toward R · 2008: -53.8pp · 2024: -61.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.3 2020: R+63.4 2016: R+66.4 2012: R+61.2 2008: R+53.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.29%
Current HPI
201.0595
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $72,500 Hays MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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