411 E 5th St · Russell, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.2/30.0
- Appreciation +8.6/10.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
$72,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 4,800 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 77 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property
- Construction: Lot approximately 50 x 96; Zoning: NC.1 / R-1
- Exterior features: Composition roof
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Total of 5 rooms; Partial basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $162 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($840 rent vs $72k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#186 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Russell County (town): math 22% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #144 of 169 in KS (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Russell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($501 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
- Russell County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (7.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.59%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.29% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.82×
- Total profit
- $36,980
- Equity at exit
- $51,639
- IRR
- 23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.91×
- Total profit
- $99,672
- Equity at exit
- $99,383
Cash invested: $20,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67665
- Home prices YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 44
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $840 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$380
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$91 /mo · $1,088/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$176
- Net cashflow
- $162
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,125
- Closing costs
- $2,175
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $72,500 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $72,500 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $72,500 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $72,500 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $72,500 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $72,500 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $72,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $72,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $72,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $72,500 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $72,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $72,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $72,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $72,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $72,500 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-03-31$72,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,076
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,061
- − Property taxes
- −$1,088
- − Insurance
- −$362
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$806
- − Management
- −$806
- − Depreciation
- −$2,109
- Taxable income
- $844
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$202
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,745/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Russell County
- NCES district ID
- 2011310
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,397
- Composite
- 20.4/100
- National rank
- #8591
- State rank
- #144 of 169 in KS
Livability — Russell
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #186
- US rank
- #8488
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Russell, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,893
Population outlook (Russell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,010 people
- By 2030
- 7,035 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 7,181 · +2.4%
- By 2050
- 7,290 · +4.0%
- By 2075
- 8,229 · +17.4%
- By 2100
- 8,868 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 5% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Russell
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.3) · D 18.4% · R 79.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.5pp toward R · 2008: -53.8pp · 2024: -61.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.3 2020: R+63.4 2016: R+66.4 2012: R+61.2 2008: R+53.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.29%
- Current HPI
- 201.0595
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Listed $72,500 Hays MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…