2154 27th St · Port Huron, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for a project house ? Well here it is this small ranch home is located on a quiet street, water , sewer and natural gas and Township taxes. Priced to sell.
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 5 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential property in the SUPRVRS WHITE subdivision; Directions: 24th to Dixon to 27th
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Gravel road access; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 124 (0.14 acres)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall furnace; No central cooling
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; Total of 4 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $495 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($990 rent vs $45k).
- Cap rate 19.5% vs local median 4.6% in Port Huron — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#445 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety D, schools F.
- Port Huron Area School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #368 of 540 in MI (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 232 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $29k; list at $45k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.15%
- DSCR
- 3.10
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $91,234
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2154 27th St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 638 (0%) | 0mo | $35,000 | $55 | 100 |
| 2023 23rd St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 704 (+10%) | 5mo | $135,000 | $192 | 61 |
| 1715 16th St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 640 (+0%) | 9mo | $98,500 | $154 | 58 |
| 2519 Bancroft St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 | 721 (+13%) | 17mo | $75,000 | $104 | 56 |
| 1407 20th St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 580 (-9%) | 7mo | $69,000 | $119 | 47 |
| 2002 16th St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (+10%) | 13mo | $99,900 | $143 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 45.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.97×
- Total profit
- $24,854
- Equity at exit
- $6,710
- IRR
- 51.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.14×
- Total profit
- $64,787
- Equity at exit
- $3,891
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48060
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 220
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $990 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax from tax record
- −$32 /mo · $385/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$208
- Net cashflow
- $495
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3345 Military St Port Huron, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 683 | $1,035 | $1.51 | 1d | 10 | 1.23mi |
| 619 Taylor St Port Huron, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 716 | $780 | $1.09 | 1d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-15status Pending 163-char remark
Show marketing remark (163 chars)
Looking for a project house ? Well here it is this small ranch home is located on a quiet street, water , sewer and natural gas and Township taxes. Priced to sell.
-
2026-04-15status Pending
Show marketing remark (163 chars)
Looking for a project house ? Well here it is this small ranch home is located on a quiet street, water , sewer and natural gas and Township taxes. Priced to sell.
-
2026-04-10$45,000 Active
-
2026-04-09$45,000 Active 163-char remark
Show marketing remark (163 chars)
Looking for a project house ? Well here it is this small ranch home is located on a quiet street, water , sewer and natural gas and Township taxes. Priced to sell.
-
2005-11-17soldstatus $29,000
-
2005-11-11soldstatus $29,000 189-char remark
Show marketing remark (189 chars)
Handy man special in the township. This home needs inside repair but has a newer roof, siding and front porch. Lot next door is available from the township. Sewer will need to be hooked up.
-
2005-10-04$39,900 189-char remark
Show marketing remark (189 chars)
Handy man special in the township. This home needs inside repair but has a newer roof, siding and front porch. Lot next door is available from the township. Sewer will need to be hooked up.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $385 · $32/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $539 · $45/mo
- Expected delta
- +$154/yr (+$13/mo · 40.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,877
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$385
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$950
- − Management
- −$950
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $5,537
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,329
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,612/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Port Huron Area School District
- NCES district ID
- 2628830
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,093
- Composite
- 25.4/100
- National rank
- #7462
- State rank
- #368 of 540 in MI
Livability — Port Huron
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #445
- US rank
- #12478
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Clair County · 44,760 people
- City population
- 39,342
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,342
- Household income
- $53,018
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1808.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 154,587 people
- By 2030
- 150,031 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 138,177 · -10.6%
- By 2050
- 124,390 · -19.5%
- By 2075
- 95,825 · -38.0%
- By 2100
- 68,672 · -55.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 7% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.6) · D 32.0% · R 66.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.3pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -34.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.6 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+7.1 2008: D+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -134.75%
- Current HPI
- 177.2401
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.61%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+12.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-15 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-10 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-09 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
- 2005-11-11 Sold (MLS) $29,000 REALCOMP
- 2005-10-04 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $385 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…