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2154 27th St
B- Composite 69.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$45,000

2154 27th St · Port Huron, MI 48060
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 638 sqft · SingleFamily · 5 Days on market
Built 1950 6,098 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for a project house ? Well here it is this small ranch home is located on a quiet street, water , sewer and natural gas and Township taxes. Priced to sell.

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 5 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Residential property in the SUPRVRS WHITE subdivision; Directions: 24th to Dixon to 27th

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Gravel road access; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 124 (0.14 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall furnace; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; Total of 4 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $495 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($990 rent vs $45k).
  • Cap rate 19.5% vs local median 4.6% in Port Huron — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#445 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety D, schools F.
  • Port Huron Area School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #368 of 540 in MI (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 232 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $29k; list at $45k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $45,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.20%
Cap rate
19.50%
Cash-on-cash
47.15%
DSCR
3.10
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$91,234
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2154 27th St 0.00mi 2/1.0 638 (0%) 0mo $35,000 $55 100
2023 23rd St 0.25mi 3/1.0 (+1) 704 (+10%) 5mo $135,000 $192 61
1715 16th St 0.74mi 2/1.0 640 (+0%) 9mo $98,500 $154 58
2519 Bancroft St 0.18mi 2/1.0 721 (+13%) 17mo $75,000 $104 56
1407 20th St 0.68mi 2/1.0 580 (-9%) 7mo $69,000 $119 47
2002 16th St 0.71mi 2/1.0 700 (+10%) 13mo $99,900 $143 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
45.2%
Equity multiple
2.97×
Total profit
$24,854
Equity at exit
$6,710
10-year hold
IRR
51.3%
Equity multiple
6.14×
Total profit
$64,787
Equity at exit
$3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48060

Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
220
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$990 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax from tax record
$32 /mo · $385/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$208
Net cashflow
$495

Break-even live

Break-even rent $363
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 45%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3345 Military St Port Huron, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 683 $1,035 $1.51 1d 10 1.23mi
619 Taylor St Port Huron, MI 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 716 $780 $1.09 1d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-04-15
    status Pending 163-char remark
    Show marketing remark (163 chars)

    Looking for a project house ? Well here it is this small ranch home is located on a quiet street, water , sewer and natural gas and Township taxes. Priced to sell.

  2. 2026-04-15
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (163 chars)

    Looking for a project house ? Well here it is this small ranch home is located on a quiet street, water , sewer and natural gas and Township taxes. Priced to sell.

  3. 2026-04-10
    listed $45,000 Active
  4. 2026-04-09
    listed $45,000 Active 163-char remark
    Show marketing remark (163 chars)

    Looking for a project house ? Well here it is this small ranch home is located on a quiet street, water , sewer and natural gas and Township taxes. Priced to sell.

  5. 2005-11-17
    soldstatus $29,000
  6. 2005-11-11
    soldstatus $29,000 189-char remark
    Show marketing remark (189 chars)

    Handy man special in the township. This home needs inside repair but has a newer roof, siding and front porch. Lot next door is available from the township. Sewer will need to be hooked up.

  7. 2005-10-04
    listed $39,900 189-char remark
    Show marketing remark (189 chars)

    Handy man special in the township. This home needs inside repair but has a newer roof, siding and front porch. Lot next door is available from the township. Sewer will need to be hooked up.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$385 · $32/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$539 · $45/mo
Expected delta
+$154/yr (+$13/mo · 40.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,877
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$385
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$950
− Management
−$950
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$5,537
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,329
After-tax cash flow
$4,612/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Port Huron Area School District
NCES district ID
2628830
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$42,093
Composite
25.4/100
National rank
#7462
State rank
#368 of 540 in MI

Livability — Port Huron

Score
65/100
State rank
#445
US rank
#12478

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Saint Clair County · 44,760 people
City population
39,342
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
39,342
Household income
$53,018
Rent vs Own
37.0% rent · 63.0% own
Severe rent burden
1808.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
154,587 people
By 2030
150,031 · -2.9%
By 2040
138,177 · -10.6%
By 2050
124,390 · -19.5%
By 2075
95,825 · -38.0%
By 2100
68,672 · -55.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 7% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.6) · D 32.0% · R 66.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-37.3pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -34.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.6 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+7.1 2008: D+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -134.75%
Current HPI
177.2401
Rent YoY
▲ 3.61%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+12.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
  • 2005-11-11 Sold (MLS) $29,000 REALCOMP
  • 2005-10-04 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $385 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…