5205 Volunteer Rd · Carlyss, LA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.37%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.9/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$304,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautifully designed 2,583 sq. ft. two-story home situated on a generous 0.88-acre corner lot in Carlyss. This home offers a flexible and functional layout with four bedrooms, including a smaller room ideal for a home office, nursery, or guest bedroom. Two of the bedrooms are located upstairs, providing privacy and separation from the main living areas. The heart of the home features a bright, open kitchen that flows seamlessly into the dining area and cozy sitting space, perfect for everyday living or entertaining. A see-through fireplace serves as a warm focal point, connecting the living room with the kitchen and dining area, creating inviting spaces for gatherings and relaxation. With nearly an acre of land, ample square footage, and a versatile floor plan, this home offers space, comfort, and charm in a desirable Carlyss location. Schedule your showing today and experience all this home has to offer.
Key facts
- 0.88 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2014
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $305k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($48k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $305k).
- Recommended offer: $268k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.9% vs local median 8.3% in Carlyss — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#237 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
- Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 236 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $85k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 55.90%
- DSCR
- 3.49
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $346,252
- List price
- $304,900
- Delta
- -11.94%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 18 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 54.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.39×
- Total profit
- $203,916
- Equity at exit
- $45,462
- IRR
- 59.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.90×
- Total profit
- $503,803
- Equity at exit
- $26,362
Cash invested: $85,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70665
- Active inventory
- 236
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,599
- Tax from tax record
- −$222 /mo · $2,662/yr
- Insurance
- −$127
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,575
- Net cashflow
- $3,977
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $76,225
- Closing costs
- $9,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 451 A a Meyers Rd Sulphur, LA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3076 | $7,500 | $2.44 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $304,900 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $304,900 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $304,900 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $304,900 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $304,900 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $304,900 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $304,900 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $304,900 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $304,900 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $304,900 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $304,900 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $304,900 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $304,900 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $304,900 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $304,900 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $304,900 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $304,900 934-char remark
Show marketing remark (934 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully designed 2,583 sq. ft. two-story home situated on a generous 0.88-acre corner lot in Carlyss. This home offers a flexible and functional layout with four bedrooms, including a smaller room ideal for a home office, nursery, or guest bedroom. Two of the bedrooms are located upstairs, providing privacy and separation from the main living areas. The heart of the home features a bright, open kitchen that flows seamlessly into the dining area and cozy sitting space, perfect for everyday living or entertaining. A see-through fireplace serves as a warm focal point, connecting the living room with the kitchen and dining area, creating inviting spaces for gatherings and relaxation. With nearly an acre of land, ample square footage, and a versatile floor plan, this home offers space, comfort, and charm in a desirable Carlyss location. Schedule your showing today and experience all this home has to offer.
-
2026-03-31price $309,900 934-char remark
Show marketing remark (934 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully designed 2,583 sq. ft. two-story home situated on a generous 0.88-acre corner lot in Carlyss. This home offers a flexible and functional layout with four bedrooms, including a smaller room ideal for a home office, nursery, or guest bedroom. Two of the bedrooms are located upstairs, providing privacy and separation from the main living areas. The heart of the home features a bright, open kitchen that flows seamlessly into the dining area and cozy sitting space, perfect for everyday living or entertaining. A see-through fireplace serves as a warm focal point, connecting the living room with the kitchen and dining area, creating inviting spaces for gatherings and relaxation. With nearly an acre of land, ample square footage, and a versatile floor plan, this home offers space, comfort, and charm in a desirable Carlyss location. Schedule your showing today and experience all this home has to offer.
-
2026-02-20price $314,900 934-char remark
Show marketing remark (934 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully designed 2,583 sq. ft. two-story home situated on a generous 0.88-acre corner lot in Carlyss. This home offers a flexible and functional layout with four bedrooms, including a smaller room ideal for a home office, nursery, or guest bedroom. Two of the bedrooms are located upstairs, providing privacy and separation from the main living areas. The heart of the home features a bright, open kitchen that flows seamlessly into the dining area and cozy sitting space, perfect for everyday living or entertaining. A see-through fireplace serves as a warm focal point, connecting the living room with the kitchen and dining area, creating inviting spaces for gatherings and relaxation. With nearly an acre of land, ample square footage, and a versatile floor plan, this home offers space, comfort, and charm in a desirable Carlyss location. Schedule your showing today and experience all this home has to offer.
-
2025-12-16$320,000 Active 934-char remark
Show marketing remark (934 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully designed 2,583 sq. ft. two-story home situated on a generous 0.88-acre corner lot in Carlyss. This home offers a flexible and functional layout with four bedrooms, including a smaller room ideal for a home office, nursery, or guest bedroom. Two of the bedrooms are located upstairs, providing privacy and separation from the main living areas. The heart of the home features a bright, open kitchen that flows seamlessly into the dining area and cozy sitting space, perfect for everyday living or entertaining. A see-through fireplace serves as a warm focal point, connecting the living room with the kitchen and dining area, creating inviting spaces for gatherings and relaxation. With nearly an acre of land, ample square footage, and a versatile floor plan, this home offers space, comfort, and charm in a desirable Carlyss location. Schedule your showing today and experience all this home has to offer.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,662 · $222/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,662 · $222/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 37% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $90,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,079
- − Property taxes
- −$2,662
- − Insurance
- −$1,524
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,200
- − Management
- −$7,200
- − Depreciation
- −$8,870
- Taxable income
- $45,464
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$10,911
- After-tax cash flow
- $36,815/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calcasieu Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200330
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -39.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -33.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,700
- Composite
- 31.45/100
- National rank
- #5979
- State rank
- #29 of 98 in LA
Livability — Carlyss
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #237
- US rank
- #18031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Carlyss, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,891
Population outlook (Calcasieu County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 212,179 people
- By 2030
- 218,199 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 228,486 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 236,208 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 251,696 · +18.6%
- By 2100
- 247,848 · +16.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calcasieu
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.6 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+28.7 2008: R+24.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.65%
- Current HPI
- 99.2379
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
-4.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $304,900 SWLAR
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $309,900 SWLAR
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $314,900 SWLAR
- 2025-12-16 Listed $320,000 SWLAR
Property tax history
-0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,662 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…