7151 Woodlake Pkwy #173 · San Antonio, TX 78218

$40,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured public records · 271 Days on market

Built 2018 $43/sqft · 74% below area ↓ 28% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.4/10.0
• Rent growth +1.1/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Discover comfort and space in this 2018-built single-wide mobile home in the gated Woodlake Estates community, San Antonio, TX. Offering 924 sq ft with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, this home features an open kitchen with laundry area, a large front porch deck, and a storage shed. Included appliances are refrigerator, stove, and dishwasher—move-in ready. Lot rent is $725.47/month, covering lawn care and trash. Enjoy community amenities such as a swimming pool, playground, clubhouse, fitness center, dog park, and gated entrance. Financing options are available through trusted lenders. Contact me today to schedule a showing!

Key facts

• Community amenities
• Swimming pool
• Storage shed

Tags

• OPEN KITCHEN
• LARGE FRONT PORCH DECK
• STORAGE SHED
• INCLUDED APPLIANCES
• COMMUNITY AMENITIES
• SWIMMING POOL

🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $40,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$156,000) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $739 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
• Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 28.5% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
• Judson ISD (suburban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #660 of 826 in TX (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.6%/yr); 136 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 271 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $35,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 271 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.38% ✓
• Cap rate: 28.47%
• Cash-on-cash: 79.20%
• DSCR: 4.52
• GRM: 2.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $156,000
• List price: $40,000
• Delta: -74.36%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 75.7%
• Equity multiple: 4.28×
• Total profit: $36,692
• Equity at exit: $5,964

10-year hold

• IRR: 78.6%
• Equity multiple: 7.92×
• Total profit: $77,486
• Equity at exit: $3,458

Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78218

• Home prices YoY: -16.1%
• Rents YoY: -5.6%
• Active inventory: 136
• Price-to-rent: 2.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,351 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$210
• Tax from tax record: −$102 /mo · $1,219/yr
• Insurance: −$17
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$284
• Net cashflow: $739

Break-even live

Break-even rent $415

Max offer price $40,000

Occupancy floor 40%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $762	-5% $751	+0% $739	+5% $728	+10% $717
Rent	-10% $632	-5% $686	+0% $739	+5% $793	+10% $846
Rate	-1.0pp $759	-0.5pp $749	base $739	+0.5pp $729	+1.0pp $718

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $10,000
• Closing costs: $1,200
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 38 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
7107 Winding Shelf San Antonio, TX	3.0	1.0	1016	$1,408	$1.39	25d	1	0.52mi
4839 Castle Strm San Antonio, TX	3.0	1.0	872	$1,300	$1.49	23d	1	0.55mi
7526 Windsor Oaks Unit 7526 San Antonio, TX	2.0	1.0	730	$900	$1.23	9d	1	0.61mi
7548 Windsor Oaks Unit 7548 San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1001	$1,200	$1.20	45d	1	0.64mi
7571 Windsor Oaks San Antonio, TX	2.0	1.0	750	$695	$0.93	25d	1	0.70mi
7812 Broadwick San Antonio, TX	2.0	1.0	884	$1,075	$1.22	19d	1	0.74mi
7651 Oak Chase San Antonio, TX	3.0	3.5	1034	$1,695	$1.64	25d	1	0.76mi
7027 Farm to Market Road 78 Unit 14203 San Antonio, TX	2.0	1.0	881	$1,580	$1.79	4d	1	0.79mi
7027 Farm to Market Road 78 Unit 710 San Antonio, TX	2.0	2.0	881	$1,123	$1.27	4d	1	0.79mi
7027 Farm-To-Market Road 78 Unit 9204 San Antonio, TX	2.0	2.0	954	$1,780	$1.87	5d	1	0.79mi
7603 Glen Vis San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	980	$1,200	$1.22	9d	1	0.82mi
7027 FM 78 San Antonio, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	868	$2,351	$2.71	21d	10	0.87mi
7643 Glen Shire San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	868	$1,475	$1.70	25d	1	0.93mi
7614 Glen Hurst San Antonio, TX	3.0	1.0	1100	$1,400	$1.27	3d	1	0.96mi
7006 Glen Grv San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1036	$1,495	$1.44	45d	1	0.97mi
7923 Langport San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1095	$1,800	$1.64	45d	1	0.98mi
8434 Braewick Dr San Antonio, TX	2.0	2.0	680	$900	$1.32	5d	1	1.20mi
8429 Braewick Dr San Antonio, TX	2.0	2.0	1088	$1,200	$1.10	3d	1	1.21mi
8454 Braewick Dr San Antonio, TX	2.0	2.0	784	$900	$1.15	17d	1	1.23mi
7018 Elmbank San Antonio, TX	2.0	1.0	1050	$1,200	$1.14	25d	1	1.29mi
7115 Glen Ter Apt 3 San Antonio, TX	2.0	1.0	625	$825	$1.32	13d	1	1.31mi
7115 Glen Ter Apt 3 San Antonio, TX	2.0	1.0	625	$825	$1.32	45d	1	1.31mi
5613 Lochmoor #2 San Antonio, TX	2.0	1.0	800	$1,050	$1.31	45d	1	1.31mi
5613 Lochmoor #2 San Antonio, TX	2.0	1.0	800	$1,050	$1.31	23d	1	1.31mi
7017 Silver Cyn Unit 7017-SC San Antonio, TX	2.0	1.0	1055	$1,100	$1.04	45d	1	1.31mi
5609 Lochmoor Unit 1 San Antonio, TX	2.0	1.0	800	$825	$1.03	45d	1	1.32mi
5607 Lochmoor Unit 2 San Antonio, TX	2.0	1.0	825	$875	$1.06	45d	1	1.33mi
5529 Lochmoor Unit 2 San Antonio, TX	2.0	1.0	825	$875	$1.06	45d	1	1.35mi
5527 Lochmoor Unit 2 San Antonio, TX	2.0	1.0	825	$875	$1.06	45d	1	1.35mi
5528 Lochmoor San Antonio, TX	2.0	2.0	987	$1,775	$1.80	4d	1	1.36mi
7125 Elm Cv San Antonio, TX	2.0	2.0	664	$1,150	$1.73	12d	1	1.37mi
7037 Elm Cv San Antonio, TX	2.0	2.0	661	$1,203	$1.82	5d	1	1.37mi
7027 Farm To Market RD San Antonio, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	868	$1,599	$1.84	3d	29	1.37mi
7810 Walzem Rd San Antonio, TX	2.0–3.0	2.0	1052	$1,251	$1.19	3d	1	1.38mi
7128 Elm Cv San Antonio, TX	2.0	2.0	661	$1,097	$1.66	5d	1	1.39mi
4843 Castle Shield San Antonio, TX	3.0	1.0	1032	$1,350	$1.31	25d	1	1.42mi
5415 N Foster Rd San Antonio, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	872	$1,450	$1.66	3d	24	1.42mi
8000 Midcrown Dr San Antonio, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	853	$1,251	$1.47	3d	26	1.49mi

Listing history 20 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $40,000 Active 271 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $40,000 Active 268 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $40,000 Active 267 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $40,000 Active 266 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $40,000 Active 265 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $40,000 Active 263 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $40,000 Active 259 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $40,000 Active 258 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $40,000 Active 257 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $40,000 Active 254 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $40,000 Active 253 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $40,000 Active 252 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $40,000 Active 251 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $40,000 Active 250 DOM
15. 2026-04-07
    price $40,000 634-char remark

    Show marketing remark (634 chars)

    Discover comfort and space in this 2018-built single-wide mobile home in the gated Woodlake Estates community, San Antonio, TX. Offering 924 sq ft with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, this home features an open kitchen with laundry area, a large front porch deck, and a storage shed. Included appliances are refrigerator, stove, and dishwasher—move-in ready. Lot rent is $725.47/month, covering lawn care and trash. Enjoy community amenities such as a swimming pool, playground, clubhouse, fitness center, dog park, and gated entrance. Financing options are available through trusted lenders. Contact me today to schedule a showing!

16. 2026-03-10
    price $42,000 634-char remark

    Show marketing remark (634 chars)

    Discover comfort and space in this 2018-built single-wide mobile home in the gated Woodlake Estates community, San Antonio, TX. Offering 924 sq ft with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, this home features an open kitchen with laundry area, a large front porch deck, and a storage shed. Included appliances are refrigerator, stove, and dishwasher—move-in ready. Lot rent is $725.47/month, covering lawn care and trash. Enjoy community amenities such as a swimming pool, playground, clubhouse, fitness center, dog park, and gated entrance. Financing options are available through trusted lenders. Contact me today to schedule a showing!

17. 2026-01-07
    price $45,000 634-char remark

    Show marketing remark (634 chars)

    Discover comfort and space in this 2018-built single-wide mobile home in the gated Woodlake Estates community, San Antonio, TX. Offering 924 sq ft with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, this home features an open kitchen with laundry area, a large front porch deck, and a storage shed. Included appliances are refrigerator, stove, and dishwasher—move-in ready. Lot rent is $725.47/month, covering lawn care and trash. Enjoy community amenities such as a swimming pool, playground, clubhouse, fitness center, dog park, and gated entrance. Financing options are available through trusted lenders. Contact me today to schedule a showing!

18. 2025-11-19
    price $49,000 634-char remark

    Show marketing remark (634 chars)

    Discover comfort and space in this 2018-built single-wide mobile home in the gated Woodlake Estates community, San Antonio, TX. Offering 924 sq ft with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, this home features an open kitchen with laundry area, a large front porch deck, and a storage shed. Included appliances are refrigerator, stove, and dishwasher—move-in ready. Lot rent is $725.47/month, covering lawn care and trash. Enjoy community amenities such as a swimming pool, playground, clubhouse, fitness center, dog park, and gated entrance. Financing options are available through trusted lenders. Contact me today to schedule a showing!

19. 2025-10-29
    price $51,550 634-char remark

    Show marketing remark (634 chars)

    Discover comfort and space in this 2018-built single-wide mobile home in the gated Woodlake Estates community, San Antonio, TX. Offering 924 sq ft with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, this home features an open kitchen with laundry area, a large front porch deck, and a storage shed. Included appliances are refrigerator, stove, and dishwasher—move-in ready. Lot rent is $725.47/month, covering lawn care and trash. Enjoy community amenities such as a swimming pool, playground, clubhouse, fitness center, dog park, and gated entrance. Financing options are available through trusted lenders. Contact me today to schedule a showing!

20. 2025-09-05
    listed $55,550 Active 634-char remark

    Show marketing remark (634 chars)

    Discover comfort and space in this 2018-built single-wide mobile home in the gated Woodlake Estates community, San Antonio, TX. Offering 924 sq ft with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, this home features an open kitchen with laundry area, a large front porch deck, and a storage shed. Included appliances are refrigerator, stove, and dishwasher—move-in ready. Lot rent is $725.47/month, covering lawn care and trash. Enjoy community amenities such as a swimming pool, playground, clubhouse, fitness center, dog park, and gated entrance. Financing options are available through trusted lenders. Contact me today to schedule a showing!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,219 · $102/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,219 · $102/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,211
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,241
• − Property taxes: −$1,219
• − Insurance: −$200
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,297
• − Management: −$1,297
• − Depreciation: −$1,164
• Taxable income: $8,794
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,111
• After-tax cash flow: $6,760/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Judson ISD
• NCES district ID: 4824990
• Math proficiency: 21% ▼ -21.00%
• Reading proficiency: 33% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $57,542
• Composite: 24.39/100
• National rank: #7689
• State rank: #660 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

• Score: 80/100
• State rank: #31
• US rank: #1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: San Antonio, TX
• County: Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
• City population: 1,806,925
• Metro: San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
• Population (ZIP): 39,428
• Household income: $57,285
• Rent vs Own: 51.8% rent · 48.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 2508.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,336,851 people
• By 2030: 2,560,728 · +9.6%
• By 2040: 3,020,569 · +29.3%
• By 2050: 3,493,522 · +49.5%
• By 2075: 4,668,459 · +99.8%
• By 2100: 5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 53% Two or more races 26% White 25% Black 14% Asian 3% Native American 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 41% Puerto Rican 3%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 18% · Canada, Vietnam, China
• Languages at home: 60% English-only · Spanish 34% Vietnamese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -52.17%
• Current HPI: 271.2807
• Rent YoY: ▼ -5.56%
• Metro: San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-28.0% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-07 Price Changed $40,000 RGVMLS
• 2026-03-10 Price Changed $42,000 RGVMLS
• 2026-01-07 Price Changed $45,000 RGVMLS
• 2025-11-19 Price Changed $49,000 RGVMLS
• 2025-10-29 Price Changed $51,550 RGVMLS
• 2025-09-05 Listed $55,550 RGVMLS

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,219 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.