14865 Mendota St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,995
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Brick family flat that will be a great investment opportunity. Needs some work but will be a great rental property. Located by recreation center and park, close to freeways, and shopping. Home is being sold as is by quit claim deed.
Key facts
- 3,485 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1928
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $614 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $47k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.0% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 52.63%
- DSCR
- 3.34
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $83,217
- List price
- $49,995
- Delta
- -39.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15087 Pinehurst St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,497 (+1%) | 4mo | $55,000 | $37 | 86 |
| 14931 Monte Vista St | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 | 1,307 (-12%) | 0mo | $35,000 | $27 | 72 |
| 14889 Manor St | 0.17mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,375 (-7%) | 0mo | $159,000 | $116 | 69 |
| 15841 Steel St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,460 (-1%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $34 | 62 |
| 14265 Appoline St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,384 (-6%) | 0mo | $76,000 | $55 | 61 |
| 14905 Littlefield St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,368 (-8%) | 1mo | $52,000 | $38 | 61 |
| 15374 Birwood St | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,378 (-7%) | 4mo | $132,000 | $96 | 60 |
| 14942 Ward Ave | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,619 (+9%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $46 | 52 |
| 15771 Birwood St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,290 (-13%) | 0mo | $128,995 | $100 | 50 |
| 14974 Cheyenne St | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 | 1,300 (-12%) | 4mo | $155,000 | $119 | 48 |
| 15053 Littlefield St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,286 (-13%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $58 | 46 |
| 15103 Cheyenne St | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,317 (-11%) | 4mo | $121,500 | $92 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 54.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.50×
- Total profit
- $35,039
- Equity at exit
- $7,454
- IRR
- 60.6%
- Equity multiple
- 8.04×
- Total profit
- $98,532
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $13,999 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48238
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 346
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,231 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $909/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$259
- Net cashflow
- $614
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,499
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14881 Mendota St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,100 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 15388 Appoline St #203 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 15512 Mendota St Apt 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 15512 Mendota St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 931 | $1,200 | $1.29 | 5d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 15708 Birwood St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1255 | $1,100 | $0.88 | 5d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 15760 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| Ohio St Unit 4 Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $750 | $0.54 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 15088 Littlefield St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1294 | $1,275 | $0.99 | 22d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 15765 Washburn St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1093 | $950 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 14550 Northlawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 16d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 13965 Mendota St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1222 | $1,294 | $1.06 | 17d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 14891 Hartwell St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 14242 Ohio St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,000 | $0.71 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 15340 Hartwell St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 16d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 15777 Wisconsin St Unit 77 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 5d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 14656 Roselawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 17d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 15457 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,275 | $0.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 14903 Tracey St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1004 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 16d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 15791 Cherrylawn St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1792 | $1,100 | $0.61 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 13910 Kentucky St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1680 | $1,000 | $0.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 13979 Cherrylawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,334 | $1.03 | 20d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 13620 Kentucky St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,200 | $0.96 | 5d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 16204 Steel St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 969 | $1,150 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 15387 Lesure St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 12d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 16183 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1370 | $1,400 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 14011 Roselawn St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 1d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 14011 Roselawn St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 17d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 16230 Indiana St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 18d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 15517 Lesure St Unit BDRM1A Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 16230 Cheyenne St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1653 | $1,450 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 14590 Ardmore St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,195 | $1.00 | 2d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 15771 Turner St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,049 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 14284 Cruse St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1121 | $1,150 | $1.03 | 16d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 16546 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1577 | $1,500 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 14600 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 16889 Washburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 17d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 7350 Globe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 3d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 14559 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1033 | $1,150 | $1.11 | 20d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 16934 Ilene St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1516 | $1,400 | $0.92 | 20d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 12650 Griggs St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $1,375 | $0.84 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 41 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,995 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,995 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,995 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $49,995 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $49,995 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,995 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $49,995 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,995 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $49,995 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $49,995 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,995 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,995 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,995 Active 58 DOM
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2026-04-03$49,995 Active 232-char remark
Show marketing remark (232 chars)
Brick family flat that will be a great investment opportunity. Needs some work but will be a great rental property. Located by recreation center and park, close to freeways, and shopping. Home is being sold as is by quit claim deed.
-
2026-04-03$49,995 Active 232-char remark
Show marketing remark (232 chars)
Brick family flat that will be a great investment opportunity. Needs some work but will be a great rental property. Located by recreation center and park, close to freeways, and shopping. Home is being sold as is by quit claim deed.
-
2020-09-15historical
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2020-06-04status Pending
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2020-06-04status Pending
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2020-05-24historical
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2020-05-14historical Accepting Backup Offers
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2020-05-14historical Accepting Backup Offers
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2020-04-16status Active
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2020-04-16status Active
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2020-04-02status Pending
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2020-04-02status Pending
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2020-01-24price $32,000
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2020-01-23price $32,000
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2020-01-17status Active
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2020-01-13historical
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2019-12-14$34,900 Active
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2019-12-14$34,900 Active
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2018-10-09historical
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2018-10-09historical
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2018-09-22price $12,000
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2018-09-21historical
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2018-09-21price $12,000
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2018-09-21historical
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2018-08-06$14,900 Active
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2018-08-06$14,900 Active
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2018-08-06$14,900 Active
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2018-08-06$14,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $909 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $909 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,775
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,800
- − Property taxes
- −$909
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,182
- − Management
- −$1,182
- − Depreciation
- −$1,454
- Taxable income
- $6,997
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,679
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,688/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,731
- Household income
- $33,315
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2172.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% Two or more races 3% White 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.96%
- Current HPI
- 189.6227
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.14%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+235.5% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Listed $49,995 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-03 Listed $49,995 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-09-15 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2020-06-04 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-06-04 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2020-05-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-05-14 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-05-14 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2020-04-16 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-04-16 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2020-04-02 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-04-02 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2020-01-24 Price Changed $32,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-01-23 Price Changed $32,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-01-17 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2020-01-13 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2019-12-14 Listed $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-12-14 Listed $34,900 REALCOMP
- 2018-10-09 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2018-10-09 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-09-22 Price Changed $12,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-09-21 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2018-09-21 Price Changed $12,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-09-21 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-08-06 Listed $14,900 REALCOMP
- 2018-08-06 Listed $14,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-08-06 Listed $14,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-08-06 Listed $14,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $909 · -51.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…