77 Kingsland Ave Unit 4F · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.4/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.6/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$749,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
1 Bed Condo on the Boarder of Greenpoint & Williamsburg at nearly 600SF with a 48SF Balcony and additional near 50SF Storage room included . This beautiful home features floor-to-ceiling windows that flood the space with natural light showcasing gorgeous 5” white oak floors throughout. The European-style kitchen is a chef’s dream, featuring sleek white quartz countertops and top-of-the-line Bosch stainless steel appliances, making it a perfect environment for crafting delicious meals and then walking out onto your private balcony to enjoy alfresco dining beneath the stars. Inside, the generously sized bathroom is nothing short of luxurious, featuring a deep soaking tub, ra
Key facts
- $327 HOA
- Built 2019
- Listed 88 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed in building; cats and dogs OK
- Financial info: Building has 7 total units
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $327
Exterior
- Home design: Located on the 4th (entry) level; Has a view; 4-story building
- Construction: Lot dimensions approximately 25 x 100
- Exterior features: Balcony; Building roof deck; Private outdoor space under 60 sqft
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas cooktop; Stainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms: 3 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air
- Interior features: Window treatments; Breakfast bar; Double vanity; Recessed lighting; Soaking tub
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry; Building allows washer/dryer installation
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $749k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-19k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $462k (38.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $421k (43.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $421k (43.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 3.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,209/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($108k/yr) (locally 5879% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $80k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $75k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$129k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($704k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 44% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.56% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.29%
- DSCR
- 0.59
- GRM
- 14.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 6.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.52×
- Total profit
- $317,844
- Equity at exit
- $674,759
- IRR
- 17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.00×
- Total profit
- $1,047,786
- Equity at exit
- $1,455,142
Cash invested: $209,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11211
- Home prices YoY
- 2.6%
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 14.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,209 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,928
- Tax from tax record
- −$381 /mo · $4,571/yr
- Insurance
- −$312
- HOA
- −$327
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$884
- Net cashflow
- $-1,623
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $187,250
- Closing costs
- $22,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 285 Kingsland Ave #2078 Brooklyn, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 725 | $4,240 | $5.85 | 24d | 2 | 0.51mi |
| 250 Union Ave #2119 Brooklyn, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 590 | $3,500 | $5.93 | 24d | 2 | 0.91mi |
| 275 S 5th St #1698 Brooklyn, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $4,860 | $10.80 | 24d | 2 | 1.11mi |
| 187 Kent Ave #1730 Brooklyn, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $5,750 | $11.50 | 6d | 1 | 1.22mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $327 · $3,924/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $749,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $749,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $749,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $749,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $749,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $749,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $749,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $749,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $749,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $749,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $749,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-03-22$769,000 Active
-
2026-03-18historical $769,000
-
2025-11-19price $775,000
-
2025-10-28price $799,000
-
2019-10-29price $675,000
-
2019-08-26historical
-
2019-08-26historical
-
2019-07-17$675,000 Active
-
2019-07-17$665,000
-
2019-07-16$675,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,571 · $381/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,614 · $718/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,044/yr (+$337/mo · 88.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $50,506
- − Mortgage interest
- −$41,956
- − Property taxes
- −$4,571
- − Insurance
- −$3,745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,040
- − Management
- −$4,040
- − HOA
- −$3,924
- − Depreciation
- −$21,789
- Taxable loss
- −$33,560
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$8,054
- After-tax cash flow
- $-11,420/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 65,314
- Household income
- $107,506
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5879.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 9% Asian 7% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 50% English-only · Spanish 21% German/W. Germanic 17% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.72%
- Current HPI
- 588.2538
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.06%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+13.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-22 Listed $769,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2026-03-18 Coming Soon $769,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2025-11-19 Price Changed $775,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2025-10-28 Price Changed $799,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2019-10-29 Price Changed $675,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2019-08-26 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-08-26 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-07-17 Listed $665,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2019-07-17 Listed $675,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-07-16 Listed $675,000 RLS at REBNY
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $4,571 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…