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11727 Clovis Dr
C+ Composite 64.95
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

11727 Clovis Dr · Altamont, OR 97603
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · Other public records · 36 Days on market
Built 1974 1.01 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This Pine Grove property needs some love but has potential. The homes are hooked up to the Mallary Drive water district. The septic may have some issues. Both homes will need to be cleaned up and repaired. This could be the perfect property for a new manufactured or stick built home. This is a cash or hard money loan purchase.

Key facts

  • 1.01 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1974

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $395 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 3.7% in Altamont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#195 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, crime F.
  • Klamath County SD (rural): math 21% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #46 of 58 in OR (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Peterson Elementary School (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #218 of 412 statewide, top 58%, 606 students, 74% FRL); Henley Middle School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #61 of 128 statewide, top 54%, 419 students, 72% FRL); Henley High School (693 students, 73% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 263 active listings in the ZIP; 232 units permitted in Klamath County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Klamath County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.8% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $111,550 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
10.41%
Cash-on-cash
14.71%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.8% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.0%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$7,542
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
16.0%
Equity multiple
2.34×
Total profit
$43,279
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97603

Rents YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
263
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,350 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$21 /mo · $249/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$283
Net cashflow
$395

Break-even live

Break-even rent $850
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $460 -5% $427 +0% $395 +5% $362 +10% $192
Rent -10% $288 -5% $341 +0% $395 +5% $448 +10% $501
Rate -1.0pp $453 -0.5pp $424 base $395 +0.5pp $365 +1.0pp $335

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $115,000 Active 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $115,000 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $115,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    status $115,000 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-04-17
    status Pending
  13. 2026-03-27
    listed $115,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$249 · $21/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,116 · $93/mo
Expected delta
+$867/yr (+$72/mo · 348.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 31 unhealthy d/yr today · 32 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,198
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$249
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,296
− Management
−$1,296
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$2,996
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$719
After-tax cash flow
$4,017/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Klamath County SD
NCES district ID
4107020
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$44,906
Composite
24.83/100
National rank
#7593
State rank
#46 of 58 in OR

Livability — Altamont

Score
65/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#12638

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Klamath County · 56,186 people
Metro
Klamath Falls, OR
Population (ZIP)
33,222
Household income
$66,937
Rent vs Own
29.7% rent · 70.3% own
Severe rent burden
1147.0

Population outlook (Klamath County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,870 people
By 2030
62,279 · -2.5%
By 2040
58,891 · -7.8%
By 2050
56,207 · -12.0%
By 2075
51,239 · -19.8%
By 2100
46,526 · -27.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 13% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 5% Italian 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Klamath

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.9) · D 27.9% · R 69.8% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: -33.1pp · 2024: -41.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.9 2020: R+40.6 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+38.2 2008: R+33.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.75%
Current HPI
198.1814
Rent YoY
▲ 3.80%
Metro
Klamath Falls, OR
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Pending MLSCO
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $115,000 MLSCO

Property tax history

+7.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $249 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…