67 Wilbur St · Rochester, NY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Appreciation +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Lovely Colonial w/ detached 2 car garage and fenced yard! Many updates! Roof complete tear off 5 yrs. Garage 4 1/2 yrs. New windows 2-3 yrs old. Block windows in basement. Furnace 2007 yr, H20 11yrs. Kitchen cupboards new 3/4 yrs, as well as countertops. Tin ceiling with light and ceiling fan. 2 full bathrooms, Enclosed porch 2019-20yr. Front, back, side door 7-8 yrs. House insulated 5 yrs ago. Some work left to be done inside but cozy home! Showings Fri, Sat and Sun 10-6pm . Monday 10-2pm. All offers due by Monday 24th May by 2:00pm. 24 Hrs for sellers to respond to offers.
Key facts
- Fully insulated
- First-floor bedroom
- Separate flex space
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: 2 stories; Resale property
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Spray foam insulation; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Existing (year built details)
- Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Porch; Patio; Blacktop driveway; Partial fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Varies
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Window and wall cooling units
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Solid surface counters; Natural woodwork; Window treatments; Drapes; Thermal windows; Accessible bedroom; Bedroom on main level; Main level primary; Primary suite
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $460 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 78 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,572/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 2168% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.9%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-2.9% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.44%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $153,327
- List price
- $119,900
- Delta
- -21.80%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67 Wilbur St | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,305 (0%) | 0mo | $141,800 | $109 | 93 |
| 104 Garfield St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,334 (+2%) | 2mo | $92,500 | $69 | 82 |
| 253 Garfield St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,277 (-2%) | 2mo | $149,900 | $117 | 81 |
| 149 Salina St | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 | 1,391 (+7%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $72 | 68 |
| 249 Lincoln Ave | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 | 1,492 (+14%) | 4mo | $103,000 | $69 | 64 |
| 316 Ravenwood Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,360 (+4%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $129 | 64 |
| 91 Independence St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,230 (-6%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $102 | 63 |
| 75 Penhurst St | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,326 (+2%) | 3mo | $110,000 | $83 | 63 |
| 169 Westfield St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (-4%) | 2mo | $192,500 | $154 | 60 |
| 324 Marlborough Rd | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,391 (+7%) | 4mo | $175,630 | $126 | 58 |
| 1025 Genesee Park Blvd | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,410 (+8%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $149 | 52 |
| 431 Post Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 1,227 (-6%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $159 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.93% appreciation · 6.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $15,705
- Equity at exit
- $18,244
- IRR
- 22.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.26×
- Total profit
- $75,890
- Equity at exit
- $10,998
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14611
- Home prices YoY
- -1.1%
- Rents YoY
- 6.4%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,572 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,238/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$330
- Net cashflow
- $460
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 Stanton St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1390 | $1,500 | $1.08 | 10d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 136 Garfield St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,200 | $1.04 | 19d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 161 Fillmore St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1612 | $1,400 | $0.87 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 48 Thorndale Ter Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1700 | $1,400 | $0.82 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 73 Somerset St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 132 Anthony St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,500 | $1.19 | 3d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 144 Flanders St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 190 Warwick Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1240 | $1,400 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 802 Maple St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,800 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 19 Garland Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 2d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 257 Hague St Unit 257 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,500 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 30 Flanders St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1170 | $1,650 | $1.41 | 14d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 485 Sawyer St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 2d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 485 Sawyer St Unit 1 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 108 Wetmore Park Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $1,900 | $1.49 | 10d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 385 Ames St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1738 | $1,500 | $0.86 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 444-450 Brooks Ave Unit 446 Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $3,100 | $2.70 | 10d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 793 Woodbine Ave Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $2,200 | $1.29 | 2d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 710-712 Jay St Unit 3 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1252 | $895 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 102 Virginia Ave Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1453 | $2,150 | $1.48 | 2d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 192 Bartlett St Unit 192 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1099 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 14d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 629 Jay St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1193 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 19d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 367 Hawley St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1210 | $1,395 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 127 Congress Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,595 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 478 Tremont St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $1,500 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 255 Genesee Park Blvd Unit UP Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,300 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending 1579-char remark
-
2026-05-07$119,900 Active 1579-char remark
-
2021-07-23soldstatus $115,000 Closed Sale or Rented 581-char remark
Show marketing remark (581 chars)
Lovely Colonial w/ detached 2 car garage and fenced yard! Many updates! Roof complete tear off 5 yrs. Garage 4 1/2 yrs. New windows 2-3 yrs old. Block windows in basement. Furnace 2007 yr, H20 11yrs. Kitchen cupboards new 3/4 yrs, as well as countertops. Tin ceiling with light and ceiling fan. 2 full bathrooms, Enclosed porch 2019-20yr. Front, back, side door 7-8 yrs. House insulated 5 yrs ago. Some work left to be done inside but cozy home! Showings Fri, Sat and Sun 10-6pm . Monday 10-2pm. All offers due by Monday 24th May by 2:00pm. 24 Hrs for sellers to respond to offers.
-
2021-07-23soldstatus $115,000
Show marketing remark (581 chars)
Lovely Colonial w/ detached 2 car garage and fenced yard! Many updates! Roof complete tear off 5 yrs. Garage 4 1/2 yrs. New windows 2-3 yrs old. Block windows in basement. Furnace 2007 yr, H20 11yrs. Kitchen cupboards new 3/4 yrs, as well as countertops. Tin ceiling with light and ceiling fan. 2 full bathrooms, Enclosed porch 2019-20yr. Front, back, side door 7-8 yrs. House insulated 5 yrs ago. Some work left to be done inside but cozy home! Showings Fri, Sat and Sun 10-6pm . Monday 10-2pm. All offers due by Monday 24th May by 2:00pm. 24 Hrs for sellers to respond to offers.
-
2021-05-25status Under Contract- Do Not Show 581-char remark
Show marketing remark (581 chars)
Lovely Colonial w/ detached 2 car garage and fenced yard! Many updates! Roof complete tear off 5 yrs. Garage 4 1/2 yrs. New windows 2-3 yrs old. Block windows in basement. Furnace 2007 yr, H20 11yrs. Kitchen cupboards new 3/4 yrs, as well as countertops. Tin ceiling with light and ceiling fan. 2 full bathrooms, Enclosed porch 2019-20yr. Front, back, side door 7-8 yrs. House insulated 5 yrs ago. Some work left to be done inside but cozy home! Showings Fri, Sat and Sun 10-6pm . Monday 10-2pm. All offers due by Monday 24th May by 2:00pm. 24 Hrs for sellers to respond to offers.
-
2021-05-17$89,900 Active 581-char remark
Show marketing remark (581 chars)
Lovely Colonial w/ detached 2 car garage and fenced yard! Many updates! Roof complete tear off 5 yrs. Garage 4 1/2 yrs. New windows 2-3 yrs old. Block windows in basement. Furnace 2007 yr, H20 11yrs. Kitchen cupboards new 3/4 yrs, as well as countertops. Tin ceiling with light and ceiling fan. 2 full bathrooms, Enclosed porch 2019-20yr. Front, back, side door 7-8 yrs. House insulated 5 yrs ago. Some work left to be done inside but cozy home! Showings Fri, Sat and Sun 10-6pm . Monday 10-2pm. All offers due by Monday 24th May by 2:00pm. 24 Hrs for sellers to respond to offers.
-
1997-03-07soldstatus $41,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,238 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,632 · $136/mo
- Expected delta
- +$394/yr (+$33/mo · 31.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,861
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,238
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,509
- − Management
- −$1,509
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $3,802
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$912
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,605/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624750
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,923
- Composite
- 18.98/100
- National rank
- #8850
- State rank
- #589 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #3482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 432,803
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,145
- Household income
- $31,376
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2168.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 13% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 14% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 12% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.93%
- Current HPI
- 262.1549
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.37%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+242.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) $141,800 UNYREIS
- 2026-05-14 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $119,900 UNYREIS
- 2021-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2021-07-23 Sold (MLS) $115,000 UNYREIS
- 2021-05-25 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2021-05-17 Listed $89,900 UNYREIS
- 1997-03-07 Sold (Public Records) $41,400 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,238 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…