27310 Clear Breeze Dr · Katy, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.0/30.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- DSCR +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$243,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful single-story home located at 27310 Clear Breeze Dr, within the master-planned community of Sunterra. This open-concept home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, and it comes with all appliances included. The kitchen features a spacious island, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a walk-in pantry. The primary suite includes a generous walk-in closet. Enjoy a large, fenced backyard perfect for outdoor living. Sunterra is zoned to Katy ISD and offers fantastic amenities like Basketball Court, Clubhouse, Fitness Center, Jogging Path, Park, Pickleball Court, Playground, Pool-
Key facts
- Spacious island
- Granite countertops
- Single-story home
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Part of Grand Manors association; Annual association fee of $1,680; Association includes recreation facilities
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 2023; Single-story (all main living on first floor); Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Construction: Brick and wood siding construction
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Private yard; Subdivision lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on first floor (15 x 13); Bedroom on first floor (12 x 12); Bedroom on first floor (12 x 11); Bedroom on first floor (11 x 11)
- Flooring: Carpet; Plank; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Electric dryer hookup; Disposal
- Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $243k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-359 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $210k (13.7% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $243k).
- Recommended offer: $210k (13.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 3.0% in Katy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#111 in TX, #3,613 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D, commute F.
- Katy ISD (suburban): math 61% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #29 of 826 in TX (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 2696 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 4.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.33%
- DSCR
- 0.72
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $325,822
- List price
- $243,000
- Delta
- -25.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27022 Turtle Vista Dr | 0.22mi | 3/2.5 | 1,635 (-11%) | 1mo | $355,990 | $218 | 68 |
| 6427 Green Pedal Ln | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,880 (+2%) | 1mo | $308,990 | $164 | 68 |
| 27519 Crystalline Sage Ln | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,035 (+10%) | 0mo | $371,990 | $183 | 67 |
| 4632 Cleo Day Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,859 (+1%) | 0mo | $299,990 | $161 | 67 |
| 27618 Spearmint Ridge Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,792 (-3%) | 0mo | $345,990 | $193 | 66 |
| 26843 Vanilla Pearls Ln | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,656 (-10%) | 0mo | $254,240 | $154 | 55 |
| 26803 Scarlet Willow Dr | 0.61mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,968 (+7%) | 0mo | $275,240 | $140 | 53 |
| 3072 Waterwood Pass Dr | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,941 (+5%) | 1mo | $368,990 | $190 | 51 |
| 27602 Loyalty Islands Ln | 0.57mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,015 (+9%) | 1mo | $354,990 | $176 | 50 |
| 6431 Green Pedal Ln | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (-13%) | 1mo | $271,090 | $169 | 49 |
| 4680 Peony Green Dr | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,056 (+12%) | 0mo | $343,990 | $167 | 47 |
| 3056 Huntersville Dr | 0.75mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,015 (+9%) | 0mo | $346,990 | $172 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -32.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.02×
- Total profit
- $-69,299
- Equity at exit
- $36,232
- IRR
- -73.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.72×
- Total profit
- $-116,963
- Equity at exit
- $21,010
Cash invested: $68,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77493
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 2696
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,570 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,274
- Tax from tax record
- −$874 /mo · $10,482/yr
- Insurance
- −$101
- HOA
- −$140
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$540
- Net cashflow
- $-359
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,750
- Closing costs
- $7,290
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5819 Bright Keel Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2598 | $2,400 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 27327 Blue Pool Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2100 | $2,600 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 27507 Hudson Sands Ln Katy, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2294 | $3,000 | $1.31 | 17d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 5631 Pearl Vista Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2039 | $3,000 | $1.47 | 21d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 6303 Marigold Blaze Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $2,250 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 27064 Beach Ball Dr Katy, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.5–3.5 | 1705 | $2,406 | $1.41 | 1d | 25 | 0.54mi |
| 3076 Dylan Skyland Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2240 | $3,395 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 6427 Seafoam Lake Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2479 | $3,000 | $1.21 | 1d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3056 Sea Turtle Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3084 Fantasy Terrace Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2085 | $2,325 | $1.12 | 13d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3072 Fantasy Terrace Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2279 | $2,550 | $1.12 | 22d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3081 Fantasy Terrace Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $2,275 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3053 Fantasy Terrace Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2085 | $2,440 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3064 Dawn Sound Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $1,950 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3057 Majestic Sunrise Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1644 | $2,252 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3041 Colusa Ridge Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2263 | $2,500 | $1.10 | 13d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3048 Majestic Sunrise Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $2,275 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3020 Wild Dunes Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1776 | $2,355 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3071 Wild Dunes Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1538 | $2,164 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3083 Wild Dunes Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1538 | $2,185 | $1.42 | 13d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3004 Majestic Sunrise Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,942 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3112 Wild Dunes Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1776 | $2,330 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3037 Wild Dunes Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1538 | $2,164 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3124 Wild Dunes Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1776 | $2,330 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3136 Wild Dunes Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1776 | $2,355 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1495 Twilight Green Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $2,400 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 26811 Prairie Smoke Ln Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1656 | $2,250 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 26642 Prairie Smoke Ln Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1949 | $2,300 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 27035 Beacon Glen Dr Katy, TX | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1890 | $3,049 | $1.61 | 1d | 16 | 1.35mi |
| 6758 Sunset Velvet Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $2,350 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $140 · $1,680/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-16days on market $243,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $243,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $243,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $243,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $243,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $243,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $243,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $243,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $243,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $243,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $243,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12historical
-
2026-05-12$259,000 Active 602-char remark
-
2026-04-01price $269,999
-
2026-03-03price $279,999
-
2026-02-14price $290,000
-
2025-11-15$319,990 Active
-
2025-04-14soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $10,482 · $874/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,482 · $874/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,837
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,612
- − Property taxes
- −$10,482
- − Insurance
- −$1,215
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,467
- − Management
- −$2,467
- − HOA
- −$1,680
- − Depreciation
- −$7,069
- Taxable loss
- −$8,156
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,957
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,351/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This single-story home in Sunterra is in excellent condition with modern amenities and a spacious layout. It's move-in ready and offers a great value for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers
- Both Add a smart home system — Modern technology can increase home's value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers ↑
- Both Add a smart home system — Modern technology can increase home's value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Katy ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4825170
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $90,312
- Composite
- 56.59/100
- National rank
- #1146
- State rank
- #29 of 826 in TX
Livability — Katy
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #111
- US rank
- #3613
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 413,575
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 71,484
- Household income
- $118,464
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 913.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 36% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 16% Black 15% Asian 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 22% Vietnamese 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -140.65%
- Current HPI
- 233.1683
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.80%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-24.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $243,000 HARMLS
- 2026-05-12 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $259,000 HARMLS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $269,999 HARMLS
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $279,999 HARMLS
- 2026-02-14 Price Changed $290,000 HARMLS
- 2025-11-15 Listed $319,990 HARMLS
- 2025-04-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+125.4%/yrLatest (2025): $10,482 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…