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27310 Clear Breeze Dr
D Composite 44.49
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.0/30.0
  • Schools +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • DSCR +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$243,000

27310 Clear Breeze Dr · Katy, TX 77493
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,844 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 2023 Good condition 6,120 sqft lot $132/sqft · 25% below area Est $326k · 25% under $140/mo HOA · 5% of rent ↓ 24% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautiful single-story home located at 27310 Clear Breeze Dr, within the master-planned community of Sunterra. This open-concept home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, and it comes with all appliances included. The kitchen features a spacious island, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a walk-in pantry. The primary suite includes a generous walk-in closet. Enjoy a large, fenced backyard perfect for outdoor living. Sunterra is zoned to Katy ISD and offers fantastic amenities like Basketball Court, Clubhouse, Fitness Center, Jogging Path, Park, Pickleball Court, Playground, Pool-

Key facts

  • Spacious island
  • Granite countertops
  • Single-story home

Tags

SINGLE-STORY HOMEMASTER-PLANNED COMMUNITYSPACIOUS ISLANDGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESWALK-IN PANTRY

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Part of Grand Manors association; Annual association fee of $1,680; Association includes recreation facilities

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Built in 2023; Single-story (all main living on first floor); Slab foundation; Composition roof
  • Construction: Brick and wood siding construction
  • Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Private yard; Subdivision lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on first floor (15 x 13); Bedroom on first floor (12 x 12); Bedroom on first floor (12 x 11); Bedroom on first floor (11 x 11)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Plank; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air (electric)
  • Interior features: Electric dryer hookup; Disposal
  • Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $243k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-359 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $210k (13.7% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $243k).
  • Recommended offer: $210k (13.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 3.0% in Katy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#111 in TX, #3,613 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D, commute F.
  • Katy ISD (suburban): math 61% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #29 of 826 in TX (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 2696 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $209,649 (13.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
4.52%
Cash-on-cash
-6.33%
DSCR
0.72
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$325,822
List price
$243,000
Delta
-25.42%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
27022 Turtle Vista Dr 0.22mi 3/2.5 1,635 (-11%) 1mo $355,990 $218 68
6427 Green Pedal Ln 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,880 (+2%) 1mo $308,990 $164 68
27519 Crystalline Sage Ln 0.22mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,035 (+10%) 0mo $371,990 $183 67
4632 Cleo Day Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,859 (+1%) 0mo $299,990 $161 67
27618 Spearmint Ridge Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,792 (-3%) 0mo $345,990 $193 66
26843 Vanilla Pearls Ln 0.50mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,656 (-10%) 0mo $254,240 $154 55
26803 Scarlet Willow Dr 0.61mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,968 (+7%) 0mo $275,240 $140 53
3072 Waterwood Pass Dr 0.75mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,941 (+5%) 1mo $368,990 $190 51
27602 Loyalty Islands Ln 0.57mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,015 (+9%) 1mo $354,990 $176 50
6431 Green Pedal Ln 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,600 (-13%) 1mo $271,090 $169 49
4680 Peony Green Dr 0.61mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,056 (+12%) 0mo $343,990 $167 47
3056 Huntersville Dr 0.75mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,015 (+9%) 0mo $346,990 $172 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-32.2%
Equity multiple
-0.02×
Total profit
$-69,299
Equity at exit
$36,232
10-year hold
IRR
-73.0%
Equity multiple
-0.72×
Total profit
$-116,963
Equity at exit
$21,010

Cash invested: $68,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77493

Rents YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
2696
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,570 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,274
Tax from tax record
$874 /mo · $10,482/yr
Insurance
$101
HOA
$140
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$540
Net cashflow
$-359

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,024
Max offer price $209,649
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,750
Closing costs
$7,290
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5819 Bright Keel Dr Katy, TX 4.0 3.0 2598 $2,400 $0.92 44d 1 0.12mi
27327 Blue Pool Dr Katy, TX 4.0 3.0 2100 $2,600 $1.24 44d 1 0.15mi
27507 Hudson Sands Ln Katy, TX 4.0 3.0 2294 $3,000 $1.31 17d 1 0.21mi
5631 Pearl Vista Dr Katy, TX 4.0 3.0 2039 $3,000 $1.47 21d 1 0.26mi
6303 Marigold Blaze Dr Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1474 $2,250 $1.53 44d 1 0.42mi
27064 Beach Ball Dr Katy, TX 3.0–4.0 2.5–3.5 1705 $2,406 $1.41 1d 25 0.54mi
3076 Dylan Skyland Dr Katy, TX 4.0 2.5 2240 $3,395 $1.52 24d 1 0.55mi
6427 Seafoam Lake Dr Katy, TX 4.0 4.0 2479 $3,000 $1.21 1d 1 0.56mi
3056 Sea Turtle Dr Katy, TX 4.0 2.0 1500 $2,200 $1.47 44d 1 0.60mi
3084 Fantasy Terrace Dr Katy, TX 4.0 2.0 2085 $2,325 $1.12 13d 1 0.70mi
3072 Fantasy Terrace Dr Katy, TX 4.0 2.0 2279 $2,550 $1.12 22d 1 0.72mi
3081 Fantasy Terrace Dr Katy, TX 4.0 2.0 1670 $2,275 $1.36 24d 1 0.72mi
3053 Fantasy Terrace Dr Katy, TX 4.0 2.0 2085 $2,440 $1.17 15d 1 0.76mi
3064 Dawn Sound Dr Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1464 $1,950 $1.33 44d 1 0.77mi
3057 Majestic Sunrise Dr Katy, TX 4.0 2.0 1644 $2,252 $1.37 24d 1 0.85mi
3041 Colusa Ridge Dr Katy, TX 4.0 2.5 2263 $2,500 $1.10 13d 1 0.88mi
3048 Majestic Sunrise Dr Katy, TX 4.0 2.0 1670 $2,275 $1.36 24d 1 0.89mi
3020 Wild Dunes Dr Katy, TX 4.0 2.0 1776 $2,355 $1.33 13d 1 0.90mi
3071 Wild Dunes Dr Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1538 $2,164 $1.41 24d 1 0.91mi
3083 Wild Dunes Dr Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1538 $2,185 $1.42 13d 1 0.91mi
3004 Majestic Sunrise Dr Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1474 $1,942 $1.32 44d 1 0.93mi
3112 Wild Dunes Dr Katy, TX 4.0 2.0 1776 $2,330 $1.31 24d 1 0.94mi
3037 Wild Dunes Dr Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1538 $2,164 $1.41 24d 1 0.94mi
3124 Wild Dunes Dr Katy, TX 4.0 2.0 1776 $2,330 $1.31 24d 1 0.94mi
3136 Wild Dunes Dr Katy, TX 4.0 2.0 1776 $2,355 $1.33 13d 1 0.95mi
1495 Twilight Green Dr Katy, TX 3.0 2.5 2000 $2,400 $1.20 44d 1 1.04mi
26811 Prairie Smoke Ln Katy, TX 4.0 2.0 1656 $2,250 $1.36 44d 1 1.10mi
26642 Prairie Smoke Ln Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1949 $2,300 $1.18 44d 1 1.23mi
27035 Beacon Glen Dr Katy, TX 2.0–4.0 2.0–3.0 1890 $3,049 $1.61 1d 16 1.35mi
6758 Sunset Velvet Dr Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1580 $2,350 $1.49 44d 1 1.46mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$140 · $1,680/yr
Likely covers
poolgym

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    days on market $243,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $243,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $243,000 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $243,000 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $243,000 Active 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $243,000 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $243,000 Active 23 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $243,000 Active 22 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $243,000 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $243,000 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $243,000 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-05-12
    historical
  13. 2026-05-12
    listed $259,000 Active 602-char remark
  14. 2026-04-01
    price $269,999
  15. 2026-03-03
    price $279,999
  16. 2026-02-14
    price $290,000
  17. 2025-11-15
    listed $319,990 Active
  18. 2025-04-14
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$10,482 · $874/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$10,482 · $874/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,837
− Mortgage interest
−$13,612
− Property taxes
−$10,482
− Insurance
−$1,215
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,467
− Management
−$2,467
− HOA
−$1,680
− Depreciation
−$7,069
Taxable loss
−$8,156
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,957
After-tax cash flow
$-2,351/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This single-story home in Sunterra is in excellent condition with modern amenities and a spacious layout. It's move-in ready and offers a great value for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers
  • Both Add a smart home system — Modern technology can increase home's value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers
  • Both Add a smart home system — Modern technology can increase home's value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Katy ISD
NCES district ID
4825170
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$90,312
Composite
56.59/100
National rank
#1146
State rank
#29 of 826 in TX

Livability — Katy

Score
76/100
State rank
#111
US rank
#3613

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
413,575
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
71,484
Household income
$118,464
Rent vs Own
20.4% rent · 79.6% own
Severe rent burden
913.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
Race & ethnicity
White 36% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 16% Black 15% Asian 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
64% English-only · Spanish 22% Vietnamese 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -140.65%
Current HPI
233.1683
Rent YoY
▼ -0.80%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-24.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-05-26 Price Changed $243,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $259,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $269,999 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Price Changed $279,999 HARMLS
  • 2026-02-14 Price Changed $290,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-11-15 Listed $319,990 HARMLS
  • 2025-04-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+125.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $10,482 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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