4381 Lee Rd · Marianna, FL 32448

$70,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Manufactured public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1966 2.62 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

nder Contract - Taking Backups the phrase 'CURRENTLY UNDER CONTRACT, SELLER WILL CONSIDER BACKUP OFFERS' Motivated Seller~~PRICE REDUCTION~~ VACANT AS IS~~This property has a lot of options. Live in the mobile home while your dream home is being built on the property or just a great fixer upper starter home. Current owner has no knowledge of the property. There is a power pole, septic is there not sure of the condition and it is on County water. With some tree trimming you should have a water view. For a quick bike ride you can be in downtown Marianna. Seller is having the property mowed. Entry to mobile home not for the faint at heart.

Key facts

• Manufactured home
• Merritt's mill pond
• 2.6 acres

Tags

• APPROXIMATELY 114000 SF
• 2.6 ACRES
• MANUFACTURED HOME
• FLORIDA CAVERNS STATE PARK
• BLUE SPRINGS RECREATION AREA
• MERRITT'S MILL POND

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Property zoned MIXUSE; Lot approximately 2.62 acres
• Financial info: No lease restrictions reported
• HOA & community: No association

Exterior

• Parking: No parking details provided
• Security: No security features reported
• Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity available
• Home design: Residential mobile home (single wide); One-story; Front faces north
• Construction: Metal siding; Shingle roof; Other type of foundation
• Exterior features: Asphalt road access

Interior

• Kitchen: Range
• Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
• Flooring: Vinyl flooring
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: No central heating reported; Wall/window air conditioning units
• Interior features: No notable built-in interior features reported
• Laundry & utility: No laundry hookups or room reported

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $515 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
• Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 3.3% in Marianna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#592 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
• Jackson (rural): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #39 of 73 in FL (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 163 active listings in the ZIP; 153 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Jackson County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $30k; list at $70k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $70,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.71% ✓
• Cap rate: 15.12%
• Cash-on-cash: 31.54%
• DSCR: 2.40
• GRM: 4.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 26.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.09×
• Total profit: $21,451
• Equity at exit: $10,437

10-year hold

• IRR: 34.0%
• Equity multiple: 4.11×
• Total profit: $60,871
• Equity at exit: $6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32448

• Home prices YoY: -29.9%
• Active inventory: 163
• Price-to-rent: 4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,200 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$367
• Tax from tax record: −$36 /mo · $438/yr
• Insurance: −$29
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$252
• Net cashflow: $515

Break-even live

Break-even rent $548

Max offer price $70,000

Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $17,500
• Closing costs: $2,100
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-06-17
   remarks 602-char remark
2. 2026-06-17
   listed $70,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $438 · $36/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $581 · $48/mo
• Expected delta: +$143/yr (+$12/mo · 32.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,398
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,921
• − Property taxes: −$438
• − Insurance: −$350
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,152
• − Management: −$1,152
• − Depreciation: −$2,036
• Taxable income: $5,349
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,284
• After-tax cash flow: $4,898/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Jackson
• NCES district ID: 1200960
• Math proficiency: 47% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 54% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $36,824
• Composite: 41.92/100
• National rank: #3358
• State rank: #39 of 73 in FL

Livability — Marianna

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #592
• US rank: #11318

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 8,041

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 46,095 people
• By 2030: 44,432 · -3.6%
• By 2040: 41,077 · -10.9%
• By 2050: 37,587 · -18.5%
• By 2075: 28,921 · -37.3%
• By 2100: 19,332 · -58.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
• Race & ethnicity: White 52% Black 41% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+46.1) · D 26.7% · R 72.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -28.0pp · 2024: -46.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+46.1 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+29.0 2008: R+28.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -59.86%
• Current HPI: 140.1373
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+1246.2% since first listed

9 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-17 Listed $70,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-11-15 Sold (MLS) $30,100 CPARMLS
• 2024-09-20 Contingent — CPARMLS
• 2024-09-05 Relisted — CPARMLS
• 2024-09-04 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
• 2024-08-05 Price Changed $37,900 CPARMLS
• 2024-06-04 Listed $39,900 CPARMLS
• 2018-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $100 Public Records
• 1990-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $5,200 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $438 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.