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3542 E Kirby St
D Composite 44.56
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.1/10.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$19,900

3542 E Kirby St · Detroit, MI 48211
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,452 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 88 Days on market
Built 1906 4,356 sqft lot $14/sqft · 88% below area ↓ 50% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover Detroit charm at 3542 E Kirby St, a beautifully sized 1,452 sq ft home that blends comfort with potential. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms, a large living area, and a bright kitchen, this home offers the perfect foundation for modern updates. The oversized layout gives you room to reimagine each space - ideal for entertaining or family living. Conveniently located near major freeways, shopping, and restaurants, this property delivers both convenience and value. Perfect for buyers who love classic Detroit architecture and want a project with promise.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1906
  • Listed 88 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $698 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
  • Recommended offer: $19k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 48.4% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $597 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($19k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $3k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $18,706 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.43%
Cap rate
48.41%
Cash-on-cash
150.41%
DSCR
7.69
GRM
1.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$160,418
List price
$19,900
Delta
-87.59%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3345 E Ferry St 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,363 (-6%) 1mo $13,500 $10 81
5235 Mount Elliott St 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,380 (-5%) 14mo $33,500 $24 71
3652 E Hancock St 0.33mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,300 (-10%) 11mo $18,000 $14 53
1974 E Grand Blvd 0.39mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,648 (+14%) 7mo $137,500 $83 44
4656 Mitchell St 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,252 (-14%) 18mo $20,000 $16 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.41×
Total profit
$41,284
Equity at exit
$2,967
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
17.75×
Total profit
$93,338
Equity at exit
$1,721

Cash invested: $5,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48211

Home prices YoY
-2.9%
Active inventory
85
Price-to-rent
1.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,081 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$104
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $518/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$227
Net cashflow
$698

Break-even live

Break-even rent $197
Max offer price $19,900
Occupancy floor 30%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$4,975
Closing costs
$597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3755 Ellery St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 915 $1,200 $1.31 24d 1 0.81mi
3323 Gratiot Ave Unit R Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1200 $975 $0.81 43d 1 0.91mi
3325 Gratiot Ave Unit R Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,000 $0.83 43d 1 0.91mi
4811 Seyburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1196 $1,037 $0.87 17d 1 1.02mi
5380 Maxwell St Unit 5380 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $900 $0.82 17d 1 1.18mi
3460 Field St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,260 $1.26 4d 1 1.28mi
5858 Seneca St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1348 $999 $0.74 17d 1 1.37mi
2972 Field St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1225 $1,395 $1.14 17d 1 1.40mi
609 E Kirby St Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 817 $1,850 $2.26 11d 3 1.46mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $19,900 Active 88 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $19,900 Active 87 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $19,900 Active 85 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $19,900 Active 83 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $19,900 Active 82 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $19,900 Active 79 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $19,900 Active 78 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $19,900 Active 77 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $19,900 Active 74 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $19,900 Active 73 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $19,900 Active 71 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $19,900 Active 70 DOM
  13. 2026-04-14
    price $19,900 562-char remark
    Show marketing remark (566 chars)

    Discover Detroit charm at 3542 E Kirby St, a beautifully sized 1,452 sq ft home that blends comfort with potential. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms, a large living area, and a bright kitchen, this home offers the perfect foundation for modern updates. The oversized layout gives you room to reimagine each space—ideal for entertaining or family living. Conveniently located near major freeways, shopping, and restaurants, this property delivers both convenience and value. Perfect for buyers who love classic Detroit architecture and want a project with promise.

  14. 2026-04-14
    price $19,900 566-char remark
    Show marketing remark (566 chars)

    Discover Detroit charm at 3542 E Kirby St, a beautifully sized 1,452 sq ft home that blends comfort with potential. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms, a large living area, and a bright kitchen, this home offers the perfect foundation for modern updates. The oversized layout gives you room to reimagine each space—ideal for entertaining or family living. Conveniently located near major freeways, shopping, and restaurants, this property delivers both convenience and value. Perfect for buyers who love classic Detroit architecture and want a project with promise.

  15. 2026-03-22
    listed $22,900 Active 566-char remark
    Show marketing remark (562 chars)

    Discover Detroit charm at 3542 E Kirby St, a beautifully sized 1,452 sq ft home that blends comfort with potential. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms, a large living area, and a bright kitchen, this home offers the perfect foundation for modern updates. The oversized layout gives you room to reimagine each space - ideal for entertaining or family living. Conveniently located near major freeways, shopping, and restaurants, this property delivers both convenience and value. Perfect for buyers who love classic Detroit architecture and want a project with promise.

  16. 2026-03-22
    listed $22,900 Active 562-char remark
    Show marketing remark (562 chars)

    Discover Detroit charm at 3542 E Kirby St, a beautifully sized 1,452 sq ft home that blends comfort with potential. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms, a large living area, and a bright kitchen, this home offers the perfect foundation for modern updates. The oversized layout gives you room to reimagine each space - ideal for entertaining or family living. Conveniently located near major freeways, shopping, and restaurants, this property delivers both convenience and value. Perfect for buyers who love classic Detroit architecture and want a project with promise.

  17. 2026-02-20
    historical
  18. 2026-02-20
    historical
  19. 2025-11-23
    price $34,900
  20. 2025-11-22
    price $34,900
  21. 2025-10-19
    listed $39,900 Active
  22. 2025-10-19
    listed $39,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$518 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$518 · $43/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥96°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,975
− Mortgage interest
−$1,115
− Property taxes
−$518
− Insurance
−$100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,038
− Management
−$1,038
− Depreciation
−$579
Taxable income
$8,588
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,061
After-tax cash flow
$6,320/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
City population
572,865
Population (ZIP)
5,556

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 45% Black 42% Two or more races 7% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada
Languages at home
57% English-only · Arabic 38% Spanish 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -5.80%
Current HPI
191.8607
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-50.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $19,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $19,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-22 Listed $22,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-22 Listed $22,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-20 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-20 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-23 Price Changed $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-22 Price Changed $34,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-19 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-19 Listed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $518 · -53.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…