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4800 Barger Dr #39
C- Composite 54.93
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.5/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

4800 Barger Dr #39 · Eugene, OR 97402
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,848 sqft · Manufactured public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1977 $711/mo HOA · 32% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Wow! Room to roam in this spacious updated home in popular 55+ Briarwood Park. Features include kitchen with cook island and all appliances, dining w/built-in hutch, family room with fireplace, master bedroom w/full bath, and vinyl windows and heat pump for economy. Gated park offers great clubhouse with party room w/full kitchen, pool, hot tub, weight room, pool room, library, tennis, and even a dog park!

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Soaking tub
  • Separate shower

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYMULTIPLE LIVING AREASREAL WOOD-BURNING FIREPLACEOVERSIZED PRIMARY SUITESOAKING TUBSEPARATE SHOWER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Buyers should contact park manager for approval and gate code; Park name: Briarwood Estates
  • Financial info: Association fee paid monthly; Lot rent paid monthly
  • HOA & community: HOA/park-managed (HCA Management); Monthly association fee; Monthly lot rent; Community amenities include pool, recreation facilities, meeting/party rooms, commons, library, laundry, athletic courts (tennis, basketball), weight room, road maintenance, snow removal, cable/satellite TV, internet, and gated access; Park approval required for buyers; Senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport and driveway; Carport-style garage
  • Security: Security lights; Gated community (park amenities indicate gated)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity fuel; Cable and satellite internet available
  • Home design: Manufactured home in a park; Updated/remodeled condition; Single-story/main living all on main level; Built in 1977; No notable view
  • Construction: Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered deck; Covered patio; Tool shed; Vinyl siding; Level lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Island; Dishwasher; Disposal; Free-standing range; Free-standing refrigerator; Microwave; Eating area; ENERGY STAR qualified appliances
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level with ensuite bathroom, closet, and tub/shower; Second bedroom on main level with closet; Third bedroom on main level with closet
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank and vinyl floors throughout
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms, both on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump for heating and cooling
  • Interior features: One-level accessibility; Soaking tub; Walk-in washer/dryer area; Washer/Dryer included; Luxury vinyl plank and vinyl flooring throughout; Double-pane windows with vinyl frames; Crawl space with exterior entry; Wood-burning fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (washer/dryer included)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $160 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $138k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.8% in Eugene — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#52 in OR, #1,587 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, cost of living C-, crime D-.
  • Bethel SD 52 (urban): math 18% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #52 of 58 in OR (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Danebo Elementary School (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #358 of 412 statewide, top 89%, 254 students, 65% FRL); Shasta Middle School (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #108 of 128 statewide, top 89%, 392 students, 66% FRL); Willamette High School (math 24% / reading 50%, grade F, #85 of 143 statewide, top 61%, 1,516 students, 35% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 297 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,193/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 3142% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $68k; list at $140k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent.
Recommended offer $137,801 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.57%
Cap rate
7.66%
Cash-on-cash
4.90%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$351,120
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1699 N Terry St #89 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,782 (-4%) 2mo $143,500 $81 83
1699 N Terry St #156 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,794 (-3%) 4mo $125,000 $70 82
1400 Candlelight Dr #177 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,876 (+2%) 12mo $172,000 $92 81
5253 Glenn Ellen Dr 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,782 (-4%) 6mo $310,000 $174 67
5050 W Port St 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,958 (+6%) 13mo $375,000 $192 66
5322 Burke St 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,782 (-4%) 11mo $338,000 $190 61
5365 Cobblestone Ln 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,987 (+8%) 4mo $425,000 $214 60
1199 N Terry St #198 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,876 (+2%) 12mo $167,000 $89 57
5264 Glenn Ellen Dr 0.49mi 3/2.0 2,019 (+9%) 7mo $390,000 $193 56
5318 Bridgewater Dr 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,690 (-8%) 9mo $350,000 $207 56
1199 N Terry St #169 0.53mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,704 (-8%) 5mo $135,500 $80 53
5385 Bridgewater Dr 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,668 (-10%) 10mo $363,125 $218 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.9%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-15,175
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
-4.6%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-10,780
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97402

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
297
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,193 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$69 /mo · $833/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$711
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$460
Net cashflow
$160

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,990
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $239 -5% $199 +0% $160 +5% $120 +10% $81
Rent -10% $-13 -5% $73 +0% $160 +5% $246 +10% $333
Rate -1.0pp $230 -0.5pp $195 base $160 +0.5pp $124 +1.0pp $87

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2106 Golden Gardens St Eugene, OR 3.0 1.0 1410 $1,995 $1.41 44d 1 0.41mi
1635 Hamlet Ln Eugene, OR 3.0 2.5 1548 $2,100 $1.36 14d 1 0.59mi
1625 Hamlet Ln Eugene, OR 3.0 2.5 1548 $2,395 $1.55 21d 1 0.59mi
2077 Lemuria St Eugene, OR 4.0 2.0 1400 $1,995 $1.43 44d 1 0.60mi
2083 Amirante St Eugene, OR 3.0 2.0 1250 $2,295 $1.84 21d 1 0.63mi
2204 Assumption St Eugene, OR 4.0 2.0 1488 $2,300 $1.55 21d 1 0.66mi
4057 Concord St Eugene, OR 4.0 1.0 1800 $2,000 $1.11 44d 1 0.90mi
653 Oakwood Dr Eugene, OR 3.0 2.0 1584 $2,400 $1.52 14d 1 1.02mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$711 · $8,532/yr
Likely covers
poolsecurity

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    pricedays on market $139,900 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,000 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $149,000 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $149,000 Active 13 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,000 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,000 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,000 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,000 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    price $149,000 Active 5 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $155,000 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $155,000 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $155,000 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $155,000 Active 2 DOM
  16. 2026-05-28
    listed $155,000 Active
  17. 2023-09-13
    historical
  18. 2023-09-12
    price $160,000
  19. 2023-08-31
    listed $163,000 Active
  20. 2019-04-19
    soldstatus $68,000 Sold 411-char remark
    Show marketing remark (411 chars)

    Wow! Room to roam in this spacious updated home in popular 55+ Briarwood Park. Features include kitchen with cook island and all appliances, dining w/built-in hutch, family room with fireplace, master bedroom w/full bath, and vinyl windows and heat pump for economy. Gated park offers great clubhouse with party room w/full kitchen, pool, hot tub, weight room, pool room, library, tennis, and even a dog park!

  21. 2019-04-04
    status Pending 411-char remark
    Show marketing remark (411 chars)

    Wow! Room to roam in this spacious updated home in popular 55+ Briarwood Park. Features include kitchen with cook island and all appliances, dining w/built-in hutch, family room with fireplace, master bedroom w/full bath, and vinyl windows and heat pump for economy. Gated park offers great clubhouse with party room w/full kitchen, pool, hot tub, weight room, pool room, library, tennis, and even a dog park!

  22. 2019-03-25
    listed $65,900 Active 411-char remark
    Show marketing remark (411 chars)

    Wow! Room to roam in this spacious updated home in popular 55+ Briarwood Park. Features include kitchen with cook island and all appliances, dining w/built-in hutch, family room with fireplace, master bedroom w/full bath, and vinyl windows and heat pump for economy. Gated park offers great clubhouse with party room w/full kitchen, pool, hot tub, weight room, pool room, library, tennis, and even a dog park!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$833 · $69/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,357 · $113/mo
Expected delta
+$524/yr (+$44/mo · 62.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,312
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$833
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,105
− Management
−$2,105
− HOA
−$8,532
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$131
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$31
After-tax cash flow
$1,886/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bethel SD 52
NCES district ID
4102040
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$47,860
Composite
22.62/100
National rank
#8066
State rank
#52 of 58 in OR

Livability — Eugene

Score
81/100
State rank
#52
US rank
#1587

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C- Crime D- Employment C- Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Eugene, OR
County
Lane County · 310,476 people
City population
215,212
Metro
Eugene-Springfield, OR
Population (ZIP)
53,823
Household income
$57,658
Rent vs Own
49.3% rent · 50.7% own
Severe rent burden
3142.0

Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
391,933 people
By 2030
405,860 · +3.6%
By 2040
429,386 · +9.6%
By 2050
452,016 · +15.3%
By 2075
508,825 · +29.8%
By 2100
531,208 · +35.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Asian 2% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lane

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -437.20%
Current HPI
298.1167
Rent YoY
▲ 1.58%
Metro
Eugene-Springfield, OR
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+135.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $155,000 RMLS
  • 2023-09-13 Listing Removed WVMLS
  • 2023-09-12 Price Changed $160,000 WVMLS
  • 2023-08-31 Listed $163,000 WVMLS
  • 2019-04-19 Sold (MLS) $68,000 RMLS
  • 2019-04-04 Pending RMLS
  • 2019-03-25 Listed $65,900 RMLS

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $833 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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