4800 Barger Dr #39 · Eugene, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.5/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wow! Room to roam in this spacious updated home in popular 55+ Briarwood Park. Features include kitchen with cook island and all appliances, dining w/built-in hutch, family room with fireplace, master bedroom w/full bath, and vinyl windows and heat pump for economy. Gated park offers great clubhouse with party room w/full kitchen, pool, hot tub, weight room, pool room, library, tennis, and even a dog park!
Key facts
- Gated community
- Soaking tub
- Separate shower
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Buyers should contact park manager for approval and gate code; Park name: Briarwood Estates
- Financial info: Association fee paid monthly; Lot rent paid monthly
- HOA & community: HOA/park-managed (HCA Management); Monthly association fee; Monthly lot rent; Community amenities include pool, recreation facilities, meeting/party rooms, commons, library, laundry, athletic courts (tennis, basketball), weight room, road maintenance, snow removal, cable/satellite TV, internet, and gated access; Park approval required for buyers; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Carport and driveway; Carport-style garage
- Security: Security lights; Gated community (park amenities indicate gated)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity fuel; Cable and satellite internet available
- Home design: Manufactured home in a park; Updated/remodeled condition; Single-story/main living all on main level; Built in 1977; No notable view
- Construction: Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Covered deck; Covered patio; Tool shed; Vinyl siding; Level lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Island; Dishwasher; Disposal; Free-standing range; Free-standing refrigerator; Microwave; Eating area; ENERGY STAR qualified appliances
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level with ensuite bathroom, closet, and tub/shower; Second bedroom on main level with closet; Third bedroom on main level with closet
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank and vinyl floors throughout
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms, both on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump for heating and cooling
- Interior features: One-level accessibility; Soaking tub; Walk-in washer/dryer area; Washer/Dryer included; Luxury vinyl plank and vinyl flooring throughout; Double-pane windows with vinyl frames; Crawl space with exterior entry; Wood-burning fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (washer/dryer included)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $160 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $138k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.8% in Eugene — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#52 in OR, #1,587 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, cost of living C-, crime D-.
- Bethel SD 52 (urban): math 18% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #52 of 58 in OR (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Danebo Elementary School (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #358 of 412 statewide, top 89%, 254 students, 65% FRL); Shasta Middle School (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #108 of 128 statewide, top 89%, 392 students, 66% FRL); Willamette High School (math 24% / reading 50%, grade F, #85 of 143 statewide, top 61%, 1,516 students, 35% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 297 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,193/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 3142% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $68k; list at $140k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.90%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $351,120
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1699 N Terry St #89 | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,782 (-4%) | 2mo | $143,500 | $81 | 83 |
| 1699 N Terry St #156 | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,794 (-3%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $70 | 82 |
| 1400 Candlelight Dr #177 | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,876 (+2%) | 12mo | $172,000 | $92 | 81 |
| 5253 Glenn Ellen Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,782 (-4%) | 6mo | $310,000 | $174 | 67 |
| 5050 W Port St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,958 (+6%) | 13mo | $375,000 | $192 | 66 |
| 5322 Burke St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,782 (-4%) | 11mo | $338,000 | $190 | 61 |
| 5365 Cobblestone Ln | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,987 (+8%) | 4mo | $425,000 | $214 | 60 |
| 1199 N Terry St #198 | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,876 (+2%) | 12mo | $167,000 | $89 | 57 |
| 5264 Glenn Ellen Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 2,019 (+9%) | 7mo | $390,000 | $193 | 56 |
| 5318 Bridgewater Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,690 (-8%) | 9mo | $350,000 | $207 | 56 |
| 1199 N Terry St #169 | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,704 (-8%) | 5mo | $135,500 | $80 | 53 |
| 5385 Bridgewater Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,668 (-10%) | 10mo | $363,125 | $218 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-15,175
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- -4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-10,780
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97402
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 297
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,193 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $833/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$711
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$460
- Net cashflow
- $160
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $239 | -5% $199 | +0% $160 | +5% $120 | +10% $81 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-13 | -5% $73 | +0% $160 | +5% $246 | +10% $333 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $230 | -0.5pp $195 | base $160 | +0.5pp $124 | +1.0pp $87 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2106 Golden Gardens St Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1410 | $1,995 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1635 Hamlet Ln Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1548 | $2,100 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1625 Hamlet Ln Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1548 | $2,395 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2077 Lemuria St Eugene, OR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,995 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2083 Amirante St Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,295 | $1.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2204 Assumption St Eugene, OR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $2,300 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4057 Concord St Eugene, OR | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $2,000 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 653 Oakwood Dr Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $2,400 | $1.52 | 14d | 1 | 1.02mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $711 · $8,532/yr
- Likely covers
- poolsecurity
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $139,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $149,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $149,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03price $149,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $155,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-05-28$155,000 Active
-
2023-09-13historical
-
2023-09-12price $160,000
-
2023-08-31$163,000 Active
-
2019-04-19soldstatus $68,000 Sold 411-char remark
Show marketing remark (411 chars)
Wow! Room to roam in this spacious updated home in popular 55+ Briarwood Park. Features include kitchen with cook island and all appliances, dining w/built-in hutch, family room with fireplace, master bedroom w/full bath, and vinyl windows and heat pump for economy. Gated park offers great clubhouse with party room w/full kitchen, pool, hot tub, weight room, pool room, library, tennis, and even a dog park!
-
2019-04-04status Pending 411-char remark
Show marketing remark (411 chars)
Wow! Room to roam in this spacious updated home in popular 55+ Briarwood Park. Features include kitchen with cook island and all appliances, dining w/built-in hutch, family room with fireplace, master bedroom w/full bath, and vinyl windows and heat pump for economy. Gated park offers great clubhouse with party room w/full kitchen, pool, hot tub, weight room, pool room, library, tennis, and even a dog park!
-
2019-03-25$65,900 Active 411-char remark
Show marketing remark (411 chars)
Wow! Room to roam in this spacious updated home in popular 55+ Briarwood Park. Features include kitchen with cook island and all appliances, dining w/built-in hutch, family room with fireplace, master bedroom w/full bath, and vinyl windows and heat pump for economy. Gated park offers great clubhouse with party room w/full kitchen, pool, hot tub, weight room, pool room, library, tennis, and even a dog park!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $833 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,357 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- +$524/yr (+$44/mo · 62.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,312
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$833
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,105
- − Management
- −$2,105
- − HOA
- −$8,532
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $131
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$31
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,886/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bethel SD 52
- NCES district ID
- 4102040
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,860
- Composite
- 22.62/100
- National rank
- #8066
- State rank
- #52 of 58 in OR
Livability — Eugene
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #1587
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Eugene, OR
- County
- Lane County · 310,476 people
- City population
- 215,212
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,823
- Household income
- $57,658
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3142.0
Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 391,933 people
- By 2030
- 405,860 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 429,386 · +9.6%
- By 2050
- 452,016 · +15.3%
- By 2075
- 508,825 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 531,208 · +35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lane
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -437.20%
- Current HPI
- 298.1167
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.58%
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+135.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $155,000 RMLS
- 2023-09-13 Listing Removed — WVMLS
- 2023-09-12 Price Changed $160,000 WVMLS
- 2023-08-31 Listed $163,000 WVMLS
- 2019-04-19 Sold (MLS) $68,000 RMLS
- 2019-04-04 Pending — RMLS
- 2019-03-25 Listed $65,900 RMLS
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $833 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…