63 W Meadow Dr · Billings, MT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $918 – $1,706
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$32,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Larger living area
- Inviting front patio
- Resealed roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Annual tax amount reported
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with a monthly fee of $950
Exterior
- Parking: Covered parking for 2 vehicles; 2-car garage; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home (single-family residential); Residential manufactured zoning
- Construction: 938 above-grade finished area
- Exterior features: Level lot; No fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven, Range, Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Wall-mounted cooling unit(s)
- Interior features: Oven, Range, Refrigerator; No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $32k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $5 ($62/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $32k).
- Recommended offer: $32k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.0% in Billings — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#10 in MT, #1,830 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Billings H S (urban): math 29% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #69 of 116 in MT (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Billings West High School (math 34% / reading 52%, grade F, #35 of 132 statewide, top 27%, 2,269 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,401 units permitted in Yellowstone County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $221 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $960 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yellowstone County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 64% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.69%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 1.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $34,706
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Redrock Dr | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 938 (0%) | 14mo | $65,000 | $69 | 78 |
| 4 W Meadow Dr | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (-2%) | 5mo | $34,000 | $37 | 76 |
| 8 Brookpark Dr | 0.20mi | 3/— (+1) | 924 (-2%) | 8mo | $14,999 | $16 | 76 |
| 13 Wheatland Dr | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (-4%) | 12mo | $20,000 | $22 | 70 |
| 33 Bridlewood Dr | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (-2%) | 20mo | $33,500 | $36 | 69 |
| 20 Brookpark Dr Dr | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 924 (-2%) | 18mo | $22,900 | $25 | 67 |
| 4 Redrock Dr | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 980 (+4%) | 18mo | $64,900 | $66 | 67 |
| 7 Wild Oak Drive Dr | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 1,056 (+13%) | 20mo | $49,995 | $47 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-1,149
- Equity at exit
- $4,771
- IRR
- 14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $15,156
- Equity at exit
- $2,767
Cash invested: $8,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Montana
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 59102
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 197
- Price-to-rent
- 1.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,489 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$168
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$40 /mo · $480/yr
- Insurance
- −$13
- HOA
- −$950
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$313
- Net cashflow
- $5
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,000
- Closing costs
- $960
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3290 Granger Ave E Billings, MT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 686 | $1,225 | $1.79 | 13d | 5 | 0.30mi |
| 3900 Olympic Blvd Billings, MT | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 960 | $1,390 | $1.45 | 13d | 5 | 0.57mi |
| 353 Cape Cod Dr Unit 3 Billings, MT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,295 | $1.23 | 13d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3900 Victory Cir Billings, MT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $1,360 | $1.41 | 13d | 21 | 0.73mi |
| 3040 Central Ave Billings, MT | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 887 | $1,678 | $1.89 | 13d | 25 | 1.14mi |
| 501 S 44th St W Billings, MT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1024 | $1,850 | $1.81 | 13d | 7 | 1.16mi |
| 611 S 44th St W Billings, MT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 823 | $1,690 | $2.05 | 21d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2604 Phyllis Ln Billings, MT | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,235 | $1.56 | 13d | 2 | 1.24mi |
| 115 Shiloh Rd Billings, MT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1155 | $1,968 | $1.70 | 13d | 9 | 1.34mi |
| 610 S 44th St W Billings, MT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1095 | $1,745 | $1.59 | 13d | 9 | 1.35mi |
| 4427 Altay Dr Billings, MT | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 945 | $2,083 | $2.20 | 13d | 18 | 1.37mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $950 · $11,400/yr
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $32,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $32,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $32,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $32,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $32,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $32,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $32,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $32,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $32,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $32,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $32,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $34,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $34,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $34,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $34,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $34,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-24$34,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,868
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,792
- − Property taxes
- −$480
- − Insurance
- −$160
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,429
- − Management
- −$1,429
- − HOA
- −$11,400
- − Depreciation
- −$931
- Taxable income
- $245
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$59
- After-tax cash flow
- $3/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
The home is in average condition with some cosmetic updates needed to enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — dated cabinetry
- Minor bathroom fixtures — dated fixtures
- Minor exterior siding — some discoloration
Value-add opportunities
- Resale update kitchen cabinets — modernizing kitchen
- Resale update bathroom fixtures — modernizing bathroom
- Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior
- Both repair exterior siding — enhances curb appeal and exterior appearance
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated cabinetry | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated fixtures | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| exterior siding · some discoloration | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale update kitchen cabinets — modernizing kitchen ↑
- Resale update bathroom fixtures — modernizing bathroom ↑
- Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior ↑
- Both repair exterior siding — enhances curb appeal and exterior appearance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Billings H S
- NCES district ID
- 3003900
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,863
- Composite
- 31.93/100
- National rank
- #5848
- State rank
- #69 of 116 in MT
Livability — Billings
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #10
- US rank
- #1830
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Billings, MT
- County
- Yellowstone County · 159,426 people
- City population
- 147,124
- Metro
- Billings, MT
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,977
- Household income
- $76,141
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1584.0
Population outlook (Yellowstone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 176,227 people
- By 2030
- 185,619 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 203,543 · +15.5%
- By 2050
- 221,100 · +25.5%
- By 2075
- 266,931 · +51.5%
- By 2100
- 301,141 · +70.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 10% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yellowstone
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.1) · D 34.9% · R 62.0% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.8pp toward R · 2008: -6.3pp · 2024: -27.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.1 2020: R+24.0 2016: R+27.1 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -364.20%
- Current HPI
- 205.0915
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.03%
- Metro
- Billings, MT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology / Analytics | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-24 Listed $34,000 BMTMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…