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303 County Road 349
C+ Composite 61.0
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.8/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$189,900

303 County Road 349 · Good Hope, AL 35098
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,064 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 133 Days on market
Built 2022 Good condition 0.40 ac lot $178/sqft · at area comps Est $195k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Newly constructed “Hope” house plan situated on a 0.41-acre lot, showcasing attractive Craftsman-style design with a distinctive Dutch hip roof that adds unique curb appeal. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a spacious living room with vaulted ceilings, along with a functional kitchen, dining area, and laundry room. The kitchen offers a raised bar area for casual dining. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and private bath. LVP flooring will be installed throughout the main living areas for easy maintenance, while the bedrooms feature comfortable carpet flooring. Exterior highlights include a concrete poured parking pad and a covered front porch.

Key facts

  • Dutch hip roof
  • Walk-in closet
  • Private bath

Tags

CRAFTSMAN STYLE DESIGNDUTCH HIP ROOFRAISED BAR AREAWALK-IN CLOSETPRIVATE BATHCONCRETE POURED PARKING PAD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $282 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (4.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $167k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.1% in Good Hope — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#199 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Cullman County (rural): math 19% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #49 of 129 in AL (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Cullman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $27k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $167,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
8.08%
Cash-on-cash
6.37%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$195,480
List price
$189,900
Delta
-2.85%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
485 County Road 349 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,064 (0%) 3mo $200,000 $188 92

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.82% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.5%
Equity multiple
1.92×
Total profit
$49,155
Equity at exit
$94,297
10-year hold
IRR
16.6%
Equity multiple
3.63×
Total profit
$139,726
Equity at exit
$152,666

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35098

Home prices YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
17
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,816 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$78 /mo · $933/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$381
Net cashflow
$282

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,459
Max offer price $189,900
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $189,900 Active 133 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $189,900 Active 132 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $189,900 Active 131 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $189,900 Active 130 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $189,900 Active 129 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $189,900 Active 127 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $189,900 Active 126 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $189,900 Active 123 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,900 Active 122 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,900 Active 121 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $189,900 Active 118 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $189,900 Active 117 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,900 Active 116 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,900 Active 115 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,900 Active 114 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $189,900 Active 113 DOM
  17. 2026-04-30
    price $189,900 677-char remark
    Show marketing remark (649 chars)

    Newly constructed “Hope” house plan situated on a 0.41-acre lot, showcasing attractive Craftsman-style design with a distinctive Dutch hip roof that adds unique curb appeal. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a spacious living room with vaulted ceilings, along with a functional kitchen, dining area, and laundry room. The kitchen offers a raised bar area for casual dining. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and private bath. LVP flooring will be installed throughout the main living areas for easy maintenance, and carpet in the bedrooms. Exterior highlights include a concrete poured parking pad and a covered front porch.

  18. 2026-04-30
    price $189,900 649-char remark
    Show marketing remark (649 chars)

    Newly constructed “Hope” house plan situated on a 0.41-acre lot, showcasing attractive Craftsman-style design with a distinctive Dutch hip roof that adds unique curb appeal. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a spacious living room with vaulted ceilings, along with a functional kitchen, dining area, and laundry room. The kitchen offers a raised bar area for casual dining. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and private bath. LVP flooring will be installed throughout the main living areas for easy maintenance, and carpet in the bedrooms. Exterior highlights include a concrete poured parking pad and a covered front porch.

  19. 2026-03-03
    price $199,900 677-char remark
    Show marketing remark (649 chars)

    Newly constructed “Hope” house plan situated on a 0.41-acre lot, showcasing attractive Craftsman-style design with a distinctive Dutch hip roof that adds unique curb appeal. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a spacious living room with vaulted ceilings, along with a functional kitchen, dining area, and laundry room. The kitchen offers a raised bar area for casual dining. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and private bath. LVP flooring will be installed throughout the main living areas for easy maintenance, and carpet in the bedrooms. Exterior highlights include a concrete poured parking pad and a covered front porch.

  20. 2026-03-03
    price $199,900 649-char remark
    Show marketing remark (649 chars)

    Newly constructed “Hope” house plan situated on a 0.41-acre lot, showcasing attractive Craftsman-style design with a distinctive Dutch hip roof that adds unique curb appeal. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a spacious living room with vaulted ceilings, along with a functional kitchen, dining area, and laundry room. The kitchen offers a raised bar area for casual dining. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and private bath. LVP flooring will be installed throughout the main living areas for easy maintenance, and carpet in the bedrooms. Exterior highlights include a concrete poured parking pad and a covered front porch.

  21. 2026-02-06
    listed $216,900 Active 649-char remark
    Show marketing remark (649 chars)

    Newly constructed “Hope” house plan situated on a 0.41-acre lot, showcasing attractive Craftsman-style design with a distinctive Dutch hip roof that adds unique curb appeal. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a spacious living room with vaulted ceilings, along with a functional kitchen, dining area, and laundry room. The kitchen offers a raised bar area for casual dining. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and private bath. LVP flooring will be installed throughout the main living areas for easy maintenance, and carpet in the bedrooms. Exterior highlights include a concrete poured parking pad and a covered front porch.

  22. 2026-01-20
    listed $216,900 Active 677-char remark
    Show marketing remark (677 chars)

    Newly constructed “Hope” house plan situated on a 0.41-acre lot, showcasing attractive Craftsman-style design with a distinctive Dutch hip roof that adds unique curb appeal. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a spacious living room with vaulted ceilings, along with a functional kitchen, dining area, and laundry room. The kitchen offers a raised bar area for casual dining. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and private bath. LVP flooring will be installed throughout the main living areas for easy maintenance, while the bedrooms feature comfortable carpet flooring. Exterior highlights include a concrete poured parking pad and a covered front porch.

  23. 2025-06-12
    historical $1,150
  24. 2025-06-05
    price $1,150
  25. 2025-05-08
    price $1,200
  26. 2025-05-01
    price $1,300
  27. 2025-04-17
    price $1,350
  28. 2025-03-21
    price $1,370
  29. 2024-12-17
    listed $1,395
  30. 2023-10-08
    historical $1,325
  31. 2023-08-24
    price $1,325
  32. 2023-07-27
    listed $1,395
  33. 2022-08-08
    price $1,325

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$933 · $78/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$933 · $78/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,797
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$933
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,744
− Management
−$1,744
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable income
$265
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$64
After-tax cash flow
$3,323/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This newly constructed home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a good curb appeal and is move-in ready. The home has a good resale and rental value with minimal updates needed.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both Installing a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and comfort for occupants, making the home more attractive to buyers/tenants.
  • Both Adding a smart lock system — A smart lock system can enhance security and convenience for occupants, making the home more attractive to buyers/tenants.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both Installing a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and comfort for occupants, making the home more attractive to buyers/tenants.
  • Both Adding a smart lock system — A smart lock system can enhance security and convenience for occupants, making the home more attractive to buyers/tenants.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cullman County
NCES district ID
0101020
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -35.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$39,449
Composite
28.39/100
National rank
#6767
State rank
#49 of 129 in AL

Livability — Good Hope

Score
63/100
State rank
#199
US rank
#15846

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,118

Population outlook (Cullman County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
84,522 people
By 2030
85,402 · +1.0%
By 2040
86,152 · +1.9%
By 2050
85,202 · +0.8%
By 2075
79,679 · -5.7%
By 2100
66,943 · -20.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cullman

2024 margin
Solid R (+80.5) · D 9.4% · R 89.9%
2008→2024 swing
-15.3pp toward R · 2008: -65.2pp · 2024: -80.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+80.5 2020: R+77.4 2016: R+77.8 2012: R+69.5 2008: R+65.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.82%
Current HPI
253.2063
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+14232.1% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $189,900 SAARMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $189,900 VMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Price Changed $199,900 SAARMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Price Changed $199,900 VMLS
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $216,900 VMLS
  • 2026-01-20 Listed $216,900 SAARMLS
  • 2025-06-12 Rental Removed $1,150 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-06-05 Price Changed $1,150 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-05-08 Price Changed $1,200 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-05-01 Price Changed $1,300 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-04-17 Price Changed $1,350 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-03-21 Price Changed $1,370 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-12-17 Listed for Rent $1,395 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-10-08 Rental Removed $1,325 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-08-24 Price Changed $1,325 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-07-27 Listed for Rent $1,395 APPFOLIO
  • 2022-08-08 Price Changed $1,325 APPFOLIO

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $933 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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