303 County Road 349 · Good Hope, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.4/30.0
- ARV discount +8.8/15.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Newly constructed “Hope” house plan situated on a 0.41-acre lot, showcasing attractive Craftsman-style design with a distinctive Dutch hip roof that adds unique curb appeal. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a spacious living room with vaulted ceilings, along with a functional kitchen, dining area, and laundry room. The kitchen offers a raised bar area for casual dining. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and private bath. LVP flooring will be installed throughout the main living areas for easy maintenance, while the bedrooms feature comfortable carpet flooring. Exterior highlights include a concrete poured parking pad and a covered front porch.
Key facts
- Dutch hip roof
- Walk-in closet
- Private bath
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $282 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (4.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $167k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.1% in Good Hope — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#199 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
- Cullman County (rural): math 19% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #49 of 129 in AL (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Cullman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $27k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.37%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $195,480
- List price
- $189,900
- Delta
- -2.85%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 485 County Road 349 | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,064 (0%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $188 | 92 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.82% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $49,155
- Equity at exit
- $94,297
- IRR
- 16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.63×
- Total profit
- $139,726
- Equity at exit
- $152,666
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35098
- Home prices YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,816 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $933/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$381
- Net cashflow
- $282
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $189,900 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $189,900 Active 132 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $189,900 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $189,900 Active 130 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $189,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $189,900 Active 127 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $189,900 Active 126 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $189,900 Active 123 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $189,900 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $189,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $189,900 Active 118 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $189,900 Active 117 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $189,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,900 Active 115 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Active 114 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $189,900 Active 113 DOM
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2026-04-30price $189,900 677-char remark
Show marketing remark (649 chars)
Newly constructed “Hope” house plan situated on a 0.41-acre lot, showcasing attractive Craftsman-style design with a distinctive Dutch hip roof that adds unique curb appeal. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a spacious living room with vaulted ceilings, along with a functional kitchen, dining area, and laundry room. The kitchen offers a raised bar area for casual dining. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and private bath. LVP flooring will be installed throughout the main living areas for easy maintenance, and carpet in the bedrooms. Exterior highlights include a concrete poured parking pad and a covered front porch.
-
2026-04-30price $189,900 649-char remark
Show marketing remark (649 chars)
Newly constructed “Hope” house plan situated on a 0.41-acre lot, showcasing attractive Craftsman-style design with a distinctive Dutch hip roof that adds unique curb appeal. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a spacious living room with vaulted ceilings, along with a functional kitchen, dining area, and laundry room. The kitchen offers a raised bar area for casual dining. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and private bath. LVP flooring will be installed throughout the main living areas for easy maintenance, and carpet in the bedrooms. Exterior highlights include a concrete poured parking pad and a covered front porch.
-
2026-03-03price $199,900 677-char remark
Show marketing remark (649 chars)
Newly constructed “Hope” house plan situated on a 0.41-acre lot, showcasing attractive Craftsman-style design with a distinctive Dutch hip roof that adds unique curb appeal. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a spacious living room with vaulted ceilings, along with a functional kitchen, dining area, and laundry room. The kitchen offers a raised bar area for casual dining. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and private bath. LVP flooring will be installed throughout the main living areas for easy maintenance, and carpet in the bedrooms. Exterior highlights include a concrete poured parking pad and a covered front porch.
-
2026-03-03price $199,900 649-char remark
Show marketing remark (649 chars)
Newly constructed “Hope” house plan situated on a 0.41-acre lot, showcasing attractive Craftsman-style design with a distinctive Dutch hip roof that adds unique curb appeal. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a spacious living room with vaulted ceilings, along with a functional kitchen, dining area, and laundry room. The kitchen offers a raised bar area for casual dining. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and private bath. LVP flooring will be installed throughout the main living areas for easy maintenance, and carpet in the bedrooms. Exterior highlights include a concrete poured parking pad and a covered front porch.
-
2026-02-06$216,900 Active 649-char remark
Show marketing remark (649 chars)
Newly constructed “Hope” house plan situated on a 0.41-acre lot, showcasing attractive Craftsman-style design with a distinctive Dutch hip roof that adds unique curb appeal. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a spacious living room with vaulted ceilings, along with a functional kitchen, dining area, and laundry room. The kitchen offers a raised bar area for casual dining. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and private bath. LVP flooring will be installed throughout the main living areas for easy maintenance, and carpet in the bedrooms. Exterior highlights include a concrete poured parking pad and a covered front porch.
-
2026-01-20$216,900 Active 677-char remark
Show marketing remark (677 chars)
Newly constructed “Hope” house plan situated on a 0.41-acre lot, showcasing attractive Craftsman-style design with a distinctive Dutch hip roof that adds unique curb appeal. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a spacious living room with vaulted ceilings, along with a functional kitchen, dining area, and laundry room. The kitchen offers a raised bar area for casual dining. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and private bath. LVP flooring will be installed throughout the main living areas for easy maintenance, while the bedrooms feature comfortable carpet flooring. Exterior highlights include a concrete poured parking pad and a covered front porch.
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2025-06-12historical $1,150
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2025-06-05price $1,150
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2025-05-08price $1,200
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2025-05-01price $1,300
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2025-04-17price $1,350
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2025-03-21price $1,370
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2024-12-17$1,395
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2023-10-08historical $1,325
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2023-08-24price $1,325
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2023-07-27$1,395
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2022-08-08price $1,325
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $933 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $933 · $78/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,797
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$933
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,744
- − Management
- −$1,744
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable income
- $265
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$64
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,323/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos
This newly constructed home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a good curb appeal and is move-in ready. The home has a good resale and rental value with minimal updates needed.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
- Both Installing a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and comfort for occupants, making the home more attractive to buyers/tenants.
- Both Adding a smart lock system — A smart lock system can enhance security and convenience for occupants, making the home more attractive to buyers/tenants.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both Installing a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and comfort for occupants, making the home more attractive to buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both Adding a smart lock system — A smart lock system can enhance security and convenience for occupants, making the home more attractive to buyers/tenants. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cullman County
- NCES district ID
- 0101020
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -35.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,449
- Composite
- 28.39/100
- National rank
- #6767
- State rank
- #49 of 129 in AL
Livability — Good Hope
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #15846
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,118
Population outlook (Cullman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 84,522 people
- By 2030
- 85,402 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 86,152 · +1.9%
- By 2050
- 85,202 · +0.8%
- By 2075
- 79,679 · -5.7%
- By 2100
- 66,943 · -20.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cullman
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+80.5) · D 9.4% · R 89.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.3pp toward R · 2008: -65.2pp · 2024: -80.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+80.5 2020: R+77.4 2016: R+77.8 2012: R+69.5 2008: R+65.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.82%
- Current HPI
- 253.2063
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+14232.1% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $189,900 SAARMLS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $189,900 VMLS
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $199,900 SAARMLS
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $199,900 VMLS
- 2026-02-06 Listed $216,900 VMLS
- 2026-01-20 Listed $216,900 SAARMLS
- 2025-06-12 Rental Removed $1,150 APPFOLIO
- 2025-06-05 Price Changed $1,150 APPFOLIO
- 2025-05-08 Price Changed $1,200 APPFOLIO
- 2025-05-01 Price Changed $1,300 APPFOLIO
- 2025-04-17 Price Changed $1,350 APPFOLIO
- 2025-03-21 Price Changed $1,370 APPFOLIO
- 2024-12-17 Listed for Rent $1,395 APPFOLIO
- 2023-10-08 Rental Removed $1,325 APPFOLIO
- 2023-08-24 Price Changed $1,325 APPFOLIO
- 2023-07-27 Listed for Rent $1,395 APPFOLIO
- 2022-08-08 Price Changed $1,325 APPFOLIO
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $933 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…