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11537 Cedar Dr
B- Composite 66.99
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.8/30.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.0/15.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$350,000

11537 Cedar Dr · Lost Bridge Village, AR 72732
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,300 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 99 Days on market
Built 1981 7,405 sqft lot Est $325k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Lakeview cabin charm in Lost Bridge Village! This beautifully updated home features warm log-style siding and captures scenic views of Beaver Lake from the spacious back deck--perfect for relaxing mornings or sunset evenings overlooking the water. Inside, you'll find rich hardwood flooring, a remodeled kitchen with granite countertops and stainless appliances, and an inviting living area centered around a native stone fireplace. The home offers a generous primary bedroom, two full baths, and cozy loft access with updated carpeting. The extended driveway provides valuable additional parking for guests, boats, or lake toys. Located just minutes from the water, this property offers the ideal blend of cabin character, comfort, and lake lifestyle.

Key facts

  • Spacious back deck
  • Log-style siding
  • Remodeled kitchen

Tags

LOG-STYLE SIDINGSCENIC VIEWSSPACIOUS BACK DECKREMODELED KITCHENGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; 2 covered parking spaces
  • Security: Fire alarm
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story; Log and wood siding; Shingle/architectural roof; Block/cellar foundation; Has view
  • Construction: Log siding; Wood siding; Architectural shingle roof; Block foundation; Cellar
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Deck; Porch; Concrete driveway; Cleared lot; Beaver Lake view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen (19 x 9.5); Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on second level (13 x 11); Bedroom on main level (13.5 x 10); Additional room on main level (12 x 14)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Cathedral ceilings; Eat-in kitchen; Walk-in closets; Basement; Living room fireplace (wood burning)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $955 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $350k).
  • Recommended offer: $318k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 2.8% in Lost Bridge Village — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#348 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, crime B+, employment B; Watch: cost of living C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Rogers School District (urban): math 45% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #31 of 238 in AR (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (7.6% local appreciation)).
  • Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (7.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $98k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($318k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $75k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $194k; list at $350k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $318,500 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
9.57%
Cash-on-cash
11.70%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$325,000
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11579 Hickory Dr 0.09mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (+11%) 2mo $125,000 $87 71
11475 Country Club Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,441 (+11%) 13mo $360,000 $250 58
21293 Ridgeview Dr 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,395 (+7%) 21mo $400,000 $287 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.61% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.3%
Equity multiple
3.00×
Total profit
$196,227
Equity at exit
$256,612
10-year hold
IRR
25.5%
Equity multiple
6.35×
Total profit
$523,878
Equity at exit
$500,757

Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72732

Home prices YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
129
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,002 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax from tax record
$224 /mo · $2,694/yr
Insurance
$146
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$840
Net cashflow
$955

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,792
Max offer price $350,000
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,500
Closing costs
$10,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10800 Red Bluff Rd Garfield, AR 2.0 2.0 1500 $2,250 $1.50 23d 1 0.73mi
11889 White Oak Dr Unit 1221899P Garfield, AR 3.0 2.0 1280 $5,605 $4.38 43d 1 0.75mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $350,000 Active 99 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $350,000 Active 98 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $350,000 Active 97 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $350,000 Active 96 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $350,000 Active 94 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $350,000 Active 93 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $350,000 Active 91 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $350,000 Active 90 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $350,000 Active 89 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $350,000 Active 88 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $350,000 Active 85 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $350,000 Active 84 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $350,000 Active 83 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $350,000 Active 82 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $350,000 Active 81 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $350,000 Active 80 DOM
  17. 2026-04-15
    price $400,000 752-char remark
    Show marketing remark (752 chars)

    Lakeview cabin charm in Lost Bridge Village! This beautifully updated home features warm log-style siding and captures scenic views of Beaver Lake from the spacious back deck--perfect for relaxing mornings or sunset evenings overlooking the water. Inside, you'll find rich hardwood flooring, a remodeled kitchen with granite countertops and stainless appliances, and an inviting living area centered around a native stone fireplace. The home offers a generous primary bedroom, two full baths, and cozy loft access with updated carpeting. The extended driveway provides valuable additional parking for guests, boats, or lake toys. Located just minutes from the water, this property offers the ideal blend of cabin character, comfort, and lake lifestyle.

  18. 2026-04-15
    price $400,000
    Show marketing remark (752 chars)

    Lakeview cabin charm in Lost Bridge Village! This beautifully updated home features warm log-style siding and captures scenic views of Beaver Lake from the spacious back deck--perfect for relaxing mornings or sunset evenings overlooking the water. Inside, you'll find rich hardwood flooring, a remodeled kitchen with granite countertops and stainless appliances, and an inviting living area centered around a native stone fireplace. The home offers a generous primary bedroom, two full baths, and cozy loft access with updated carpeting. The extended driveway provides valuable additional parking for guests, boats, or lake toys. Located just minutes from the water, this property offers the ideal blend of cabin character, comfort, and lake lifestyle.

  19. 2026-04-06
    price $415,000 752-char remark
    Show marketing remark (752 chars)

    Lakeview cabin charm in Lost Bridge Village! This beautifully updated home features warm log-style siding and captures scenic views of Beaver Lake from the spacious back deck--perfect for relaxing mornings or sunset evenings overlooking the water. Inside, you'll find rich hardwood flooring, a remodeled kitchen with granite countertops and stainless appliances, and an inviting living area centered around a native stone fireplace. The home offers a generous primary bedroom, two full baths, and cozy loft access with updated carpeting. The extended driveway provides valuable additional parking for guests, boats, or lake toys. Located just minutes from the water, this property offers the ideal blend of cabin character, comfort, and lake lifestyle.

  20. 2026-04-06
    price $415,000
    Show marketing remark (752 chars)

    Lakeview cabin charm in Lost Bridge Village! This beautifully updated home features warm log-style siding and captures scenic views of Beaver Lake from the spacious back deck--perfect for relaxing mornings or sunset evenings overlooking the water. Inside, you'll find rich hardwood flooring, a remodeled kitchen with granite countertops and stainless appliances, and an inviting living area centered around a native stone fireplace. The home offers a generous primary bedroom, two full baths, and cozy loft access with updated carpeting. The extended driveway provides valuable additional parking for guests, boats, or lake toys. Located just minutes from the water, this property offers the ideal blend of cabin character, comfort, and lake lifestyle.

  21. 2026-03-11
    listed $425,000 Active 752-char remark
    Show marketing remark (752 chars)

    Lakeview cabin charm in Lost Bridge Village! This beautifully updated home features warm log-style siding and captures scenic views of Beaver Lake from the spacious back deck--perfect for relaxing mornings or sunset evenings overlooking the water. Inside, you'll find rich hardwood flooring, a remodeled kitchen with granite countertops and stainless appliances, and an inviting living area centered around a native stone fireplace. The home offers a generous primary bedroom, two full baths, and cozy loft access with updated carpeting. The extended driveway provides valuable additional parking for guests, boats, or lake toys. Located just minutes from the water, this property offers the ideal blend of cabin character, comfort, and lake lifestyle.

  22. 2026-03-11
    listed $425,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (752 chars)

    Lakeview cabin charm in Lost Bridge Village! This beautifully updated home features warm log-style siding and captures scenic views of Beaver Lake from the spacious back deck--perfect for relaxing mornings or sunset evenings overlooking the water. Inside, you'll find rich hardwood flooring, a remodeled kitchen with granite countertops and stainless appliances, and an inviting living area centered around a native stone fireplace. The home offers a generous primary bedroom, two full baths, and cozy loft access with updated carpeting. The extended driveway provides valuable additional parking for guests, boats, or lake toys. Located just minutes from the water, this property offers the ideal blend of cabin character, comfort, and lake lifestyle.

  23. 2020-10-15
    soldstatus $194,500 19-char remark
    Show marketing remark (19 chars)

    Sold before listing

  24. 2020-10-14
    soldstatus $194,500
  25. 2020-10-13
    listed $194,500 19-char remark
    Show marketing remark (19 chars)

    Sold before listing

  26. 2011-08-22
    soldstatus $115,000
  27. 2010-11-16
    soldstatus $114,368
  28. 2001-09-17
    soldstatus $113,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,694 · $224/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,694 · $224/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$48,018
− Mortgage interest
−$19,605
− Property taxes
−$2,694
− Insurance
−$1,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,841
− Management
−$3,841
− Depreciation
−$10,182
Taxable income
$6,104
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,465
After-tax cash flow
$10,000/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rogers School District
NCES district ID
0511970
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$51,712
Composite
38.81/100
National rank
#4113
State rank
#31 of 238 in AR

Livability — Lost Bridge Village

Score
57/100
State rank
#348
US rank
#21912

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C- Crime B+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lost Bridge Village, AR
Population (ZIP)
5,493

Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
318,683 people
By 2030
353,481 · +10.9%
By 2040
425,280 · +33.4%
By 2050
497,239 · +56.0%
By 2075
662,114 · +107.8%
By 2100
776,431 · +143.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Two or more races 27% Hispanic / Latino 11% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Danish 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Benton

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.61%
Current HPI
368.3932
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+254.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $400,000 OGAR
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $400,000 NWARMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $415,000 OGAR
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $415,000 NWARMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $425,000 NWARMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $425,000 OGAR
  • 2020-10-15 Sold (MLS) $194,500 NWARMLS
  • 2020-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $194,500 Public Records
  • 2020-10-13 Listed $194,500 NWARMLS
  • 2011-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
  • 2010-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $114,368 Public Records
  • 2001-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $113,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,694 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…