1114 Rothland Ct · Red Oak, TX 75154

$414,990

4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,105 sqft · Land · 38 Days on market

Built 2025 5,881 sqft lot $197/sqft · 6% above area Est $392k · 6% over $86/mo HOA · 3% of rent ↓ 1% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +13.7/30.0
• ARV discount +4.8/15.0
• DSCR +4.1/10.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +3.2/5.0
• 1% rule +2.8/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

The Rowan is a charming single-story home that blends modern design with functional living spaces. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, it offers an ideal layout for both relaxation and entertaining. The heart of the home is the expansive kitchen, which opens up to a bright and inviting living area, perfect for family gatherings. A versatile game room provides extra space for fun and leisure, while the covered patio extends your living space outdoors. The front porch adds a welcoming touch to the home and with the option for a 3rd-car garage, there's plenty of room for vehicles or storage. The Rowan is the perfect combination of comfort, style, and versatility.

Key facts

• Open concept plan
• Super shower
• Butler's pantry

Tags

• OPEN CONCEPT PLAN
• BUTLER'S PANTRY
• LARGE WALK IN PANTRY
• SUPER SHOWER
• ROOMY WALK IN CLOSET
• CUL-DE-SAC

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Builder listing / special listing conditions: Builder
• Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage indicated
• HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; Semi-annual association fee (includes grounds maintenance, structure maintenance, and management fees); HOA management: CMA Management

Exterior

• Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener; 2 covered parking spaces
• Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
• Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
• Home design: Single-family residence; New construction (incomplete); One story; Planned development: 2023
• Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Year built: 2025
• Exterior features: Private yard; Wood fence; Community pool; Park

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave
• Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the main level); Primary bedroom on the main level
• Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Luxury vinyl plank
• Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric)
• Interior features: Cable TV available; Decorative lighting; High-speed internet available; Walk-in closets; One living area; One dining area; Room count: 7; Levels: One
• Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Utility room on the main level

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath land listed at $415k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($386/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $325k (21.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $325k (21.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.9% in Red Oak — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#435 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Red Oak ISD (suburban): math 40% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #384 of 826 in TX (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Shields El (math 34% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,965 of 4,322 statewide, top 46%, 563 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 42% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 565 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,016 units permitted in Ellis County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($100k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Ellis County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($403k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Recommended offer $324,694 (21.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.78% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.39%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.33%
• DSCR: 1.01
• GRM: 10.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $391,788
• List price: $414,990
• Delta: 5.92%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.99% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -15.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.44×
• Total profit: $-65,387
• Equity at exit: $61,876

10-year hold

• IRR: -7.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.53×
• Total profit: $-55,070
• Equity at exit: $35,881

Cash invested: $116,197 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 75154

• Home prices YoY: -18.5%
• Rents YoY: 3.0%
• Active inventory: 565
• Price-to-rent: 10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,247 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,176
• Tax from tax record: −$98 /mo · $1,173/yr
• Insurance: −$173
• HOA: −$86
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$682
• Net cashflow: $32

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,206

Max offer price $414,990

Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $103,748
• Closing costs: $12,450
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1227 Stockton Trl Red Oak, TX	4.0	3.0	2752	$3,400	$1.24	43d	1	0.10mi
124 Clear Creek Dr Red Oak, TX	5.0	3.5	2964	$2,845	$0.96	24d	1	1.05mi
168 Creekview Dr E Red Oak, TX	3.0	2.0	1845	$2,095	$1.14	43d	1	1.34mi
111 Creekview Dr W Unit 1056457P Red Oak, TX	5.0	2.0	2389	$12,368	$5.18	21d	1	1.36mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $86 · $1,032/yr

Listing history 21 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $414,990 Active 38 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $414,990 Active 37 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $414,990 Active 36 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $414,990 Active 35 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $414,990 Active 33 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $414,990 Active 32 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $414,990 Active 29 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $414,990 Active 28 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $414,990 Active 27 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $414,990 Active 24 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $414,990 Active 23 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $414,990 Active 22 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $414,990 Active 21 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $414,990 Active 20 DOM
15. 2026-05-15
    price $414,990 469-char remark
16. 2026-05-14
    price $414,990 681-char remark

    Show marketing remark (681 chars)

    The Rowan is a charming single-story home that blends modern design with functional living spaces. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, it offers an ideal layout for both relaxation and entertaining. The heart of the home is the expansive kitchen, which opens up to a bright and inviting living area, perfect for family gatherings. A versatile game room provides extra space for fun and leisure, while the covered patio extends your living space outdoors. The front porch adds a welcoming touch to the home and with the option for a 3rd-car garage, there's plenty of room for vehicles or storage. The Rowan is the perfect combination of comfort, style, and versatility.

17. 2026-05-11
    listed $420,450 Active 469-char remark
18. 2026-05-06
    price $420,450 681-char remark

    Show marketing remark (681 chars)

    The Rowan is a charming single-story home that blends modern design with functional living spaces. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, it offers an ideal layout for both relaxation and entertaining. The heart of the home is the expansive kitchen, which opens up to a bright and inviting living area, perfect for family gatherings. A versatile game room provides extra space for fun and leisure, while the covered patio extends your living space outdoors. The front porch adds a welcoming touch to the home and with the option for a 3rd-car garage, there's plenty of room for vehicles or storage. The Rowan is the perfect combination of comfort, style, and versatility.

19. 2026-05-06
    price $419,990 681-char remark

    Show marketing remark (681 chars)

    The Rowan is a charming single-story home that blends modern design with functional living spaces. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, it offers an ideal layout for both relaxation and entertaining. The heart of the home is the expansive kitchen, which opens up to a bright and inviting living area, perfect for family gatherings. A versatile game room provides extra space for fun and leisure, while the covered patio extends your living space outdoors. The front porch adds a welcoming touch to the home and with the option for a 3rd-car garage, there's plenty of room for vehicles or storage. The Rowan is the perfect combination of comfort, style, and versatility.

20. 2026-05-06
    price $420,450 681-char remark

    Show marketing remark (681 chars)

    The Rowan is a charming single-story home that blends modern design with functional living spaces. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, it offers an ideal layout for both relaxation and entertaining. The heart of the home is the expansive kitchen, which opens up to a bright and inviting living area, perfect for family gatherings. A versatile game room provides extra space for fun and leisure, while the covered patio extends your living space outdoors. The front porch adds a welcoming touch to the home and with the option for a 3rd-car garage, there's plenty of room for vehicles or storage. The Rowan is the perfect combination of comfort, style, and versatility.

21. 2026-04-24
    listed $419,990 Active 681-char remark

    Show marketing remark (681 chars)

    The Rowan is a charming single-story home that blends modern design with functional living spaces. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, it offers an ideal layout for both relaxation and entertaining. The heart of the home is the expansive kitchen, which opens up to a bright and inviting living area, perfect for family gatherings. A versatile game room provides extra space for fun and leisure, while the covered patio extends your living space outdoors. The front porch adds a welcoming touch to the home and with the option for a 3rd-car garage, there's plenty of room for vehicles or storage. The Rowan is the perfect combination of comfort, style, and versatility.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,173 · $98/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $7,594 · $633/mo
• Expected delta: +$6,421/yr (+$535/mo · 547.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $38,963
• − Mortgage interest: −$23,246
• − Property taxes: −$1,173
• − Insurance: −$2,075
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,117
• − Management: −$3,117
• − HOA: −$1,032
• − Depreciation: −$12,072
• Taxable loss: −$6,869
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,649
• After-tax cash flow: $2,035/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Red Oak ISD
• NCES district ID: 4836660
• Math proficiency: 40% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 36% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $71,110
• Composite: 34.88/100
• National rank: #5084
• State rank: #384 of 826 in TX

Livability — Red Oak

• Score: 69/100
• State rank: #435
• US rank: #8931

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Red Oak, TX
• County: Ellis County · 199,237 people
• City population: 52,516
• Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
• Population (ZIP): 52,516
• Household income: $100,388
• Rent vs Own: 17.8% rent · 82.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 1081.0

Population outlook (Ellis County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 194,556 people
• By 2030: 209,679 · +7.8%
• By 2040: 238,837 · +22.8%
• By 2050: 265,451 · +36.4%
• By 2075: 326,571 · +67.9%
• By 2100: 362,156 · +86.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
• Race & ethnicity: White 39% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 12% Asian 1% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 25%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 9% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 80% English-only · Spanish 18%

Political lean MEDSL · Ellis

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.0% · R 65.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: +11.2pp toward D · 2008: -42.2pp · 2024: -31.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+31.1 2020: R+34.1 2016: R+45.4 2012: R+47.5 2008: R+42.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -67.06%
• Current HPI: 294.5836
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.99%
• Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-1.2% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-15 Price Changed $414,990 NTREIS
• 2026-05-14 Price Changed $414,990 Zillow
• 2026-05-11 Listed $420,450 NTREIS
• 2026-05-06 Price Changed $420,450 Zillow
• 2026-05-06 Price Changed $419,990 Zillow
• 2026-05-06 Price Changed $420,450 Zillow
• 2026-04-24 Listed $419,990 Zillow

Property tax history

-1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,173 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.