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73 County Road 582
D Composite 40.87
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.9/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$99,000

73 County Road 582 · Geraldine, AL 35974
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 728 sqft · Manufactured · 192 Days on market
Built 2020 1.22 ac lot ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Move in ready and beautifully maintained! This charming, less-than-5-year-old 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home sits on a level 1.22-acre lot in Geraldine. It features a shingle roof, beautiful flooring throughout, and a peaceful country setting. Don’t miss your chance—call today to make this home yours!

Key facts

  • 1.22 acre lot
  • Built 2020
  • Listed 192 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-34 ($-402/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $94k (4.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $82k (16.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (16.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#258 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Dekalb County (rural): math 18% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #82 of 129 in AL (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Crossville Middle School (math 8% / reading 20%, grade F, #209 of 257 statewide, top 82%, 790 students, 82% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 59% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 14% at this address vs 28% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Dekalb County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $526 of equity ($684 loan paydown + $-158 appreciation (-0.2% local appreciation)).
  • DeKalb County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 192 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $82,362 (16.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 192 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
5.89%
Cash-on-cash
-1.45%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.5%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-5,757
Equity at exit
$27,960
10-year hold
IRR
1.5%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$4,448
Equity at exit
$32,988

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35974

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$824 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax est. 1.5%
$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$173
Net cashflow
$-34

Break-even live

Break-even rent $866
Max offer price $94,151
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $35 -5% $1 +0% $-34 +5% $-68 +10% $-102
Rent -10% $-99 -5% $-66 +0% $-34 +5% $-1 +10% $32
Rate -1.0pp $16 -0.5pp $-8 base $-34 +0.5pp $-59 +1.0pp $-85

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,000 Active 192 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,000 Active 190 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 189 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 188 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    status $99,000 Active 187 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Contingent 187 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Contingent 186 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,000 Contingent 184 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,000 Contingent 183 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Contingent 180 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Contingent 179 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Contingent 178 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Contingent 177 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,000 Contingent 174 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Contingent 173 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Contingent 172 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Contingent 171 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Contingent 170 DOM
  19. 2026-05-12
    historical Contingent 319-char remark
    Show marketing remark (319 chars)

    Move in ready and beautifully maintained! This charming, less-than-5-year-old 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home sits on a level 1.22-acre lot in Geraldine. It features a shingle roof, beautiful flooring throughout, and a peaceful country setting. Don’t miss your chance—call today to make this home yours!

  20. 2026-04-01
    price $99,000 319-char remark
    Show marketing remark (319 chars)

    Move in ready and beautifully maintained! This charming, less-than-5-year-old 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home sits on a level 1.22-acre lot in Geraldine. It features a shingle roof, beautiful flooring throughout, and a peaceful country setting. Don’t miss your chance—call today to make this home yours!

  21. 2026-03-04
    price $105,000 319-char remark
    Show marketing remark (319 chars)

    Move in ready and beautifully maintained! This charming, less-than-5-year-old 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home sits on a level 1.22-acre lot in Geraldine. It features a shingle roof, beautiful flooring throughout, and a peaceful country setting. Don’t miss your chance—call today to make this home yours!

  22. 2025-12-11
    listed $115,000 Active 319-char remark
    Show marketing remark (319 chars)

    Move in ready and beautifully maintained! This charming, less-than-5-year-old 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home sits on a level 1.22-acre lot in Geraldine. It features a shingle roof, beautiful flooring throughout, and a peaceful country setting. Don’t miss your chance—call today to make this home yours!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,883
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$1,485
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$791
− Management
−$791
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable loss
−$2,103
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$505
After-tax cash flow
$103/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dekalb County
NCES district ID
0101140
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$36,655
Composite
22.78/100
National rank
#8023
State rank
#82 of 129 in AL

Livability — Geraldine

Score
61/100
State rank
#258
US rank
#18040

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
1,998
Population (ZIP)
1,998

Population outlook (DeKalb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
71,722 people
By 2030
71,373 · -0.5%
By 2040
69,536 · -3.0%
By 2050
66,020 · -8.0%
By 2075
53,325 · -25.7%
By 2100
36,127 · -49.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Hispanic / Latino 14% Native American 8% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 9%

Political lean MEDSL · DeKalb

2024 margin
Solid R (+74.0) · D 12.7% · R 86.7%
2008→2024 swing
-22.7pp toward R · 2008: -51.2pp · 2024: -74.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+74.0 2020: R+69.8 2016: R+69.4 2012: R+54.9 2008: R+51.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.16%
Current HPI
233.0731
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Contingent VMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $99,000 VMLS
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed $105,000 VMLS
  • 2025-12-11 Listed $115,000 VMLS

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2021): $28 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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