73 County Road 582 · Geraldine, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.9/10.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move in ready and beautifully maintained! This charming, less-than-5-year-old 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home sits on a level 1.22-acre lot in Geraldine. It features a shingle roof, beautiful flooring throughout, and a peaceful country setting. Don’t miss your chance—call today to make this home yours!
Key facts
- 1.22 acre lot
- Built 2020
- Listed 192 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-34 ($-402/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $94k (4.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $82k (16.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $82k (16.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#258 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Dekalb County (rural): math 18% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #82 of 129 in AL (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Crossville Middle School (math 8% / reading 20%, grade F, #209 of 257 statewide, top 82%, 790 students, 82% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 59% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 14% at this address vs 28% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Dekalb County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $526 of equity ($684 loan paydown + $-158 appreciation (-0.2% local appreciation)).
- DeKalb County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 192 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 192 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.45%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-5,757
- Equity at exit
- $27,960
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $4,448
- Equity at exit
- $32,988
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35974
- Home prices YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $824 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$173
- Net cashflow
- $-34
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $35 | -5% $1 | +0% $-34 | +5% $-68 | +10% $-102 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-99 | -5% $-66 | +0% $-34 | +5% $-1 | +10% $32 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $16 | -0.5pp $-8 | base $-34 | +0.5pp $-59 | +1.0pp $-85 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-17status $99,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Contingent 187 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Contingent 186 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,000 Contingent 184 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,000 Contingent 183 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Contingent 180 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Contingent 179 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Contingent 178 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Contingent 177 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,000 Contingent 174 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Contingent 173 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Contingent 172 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Contingent 171 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Contingent 170 DOM
-
2026-05-12historical Contingent 319-char remark
Show marketing remark (319 chars)
Move in ready and beautifully maintained! This charming, less-than-5-year-old 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home sits on a level 1.22-acre lot in Geraldine. It features a shingle roof, beautiful flooring throughout, and a peaceful country setting. Don’t miss your chance—call today to make this home yours!
-
2026-04-01price $99,000 319-char remark
Show marketing remark (319 chars)
Move in ready and beautifully maintained! This charming, less-than-5-year-old 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home sits on a level 1.22-acre lot in Geraldine. It features a shingle roof, beautiful flooring throughout, and a peaceful country setting. Don’t miss your chance—call today to make this home yours!
-
2026-03-04price $105,000 319-char remark
Show marketing remark (319 chars)
Move in ready and beautifully maintained! This charming, less-than-5-year-old 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home sits on a level 1.22-acre lot in Geraldine. It features a shingle roof, beautiful flooring throughout, and a peaceful country setting. Don’t miss your chance—call today to make this home yours!
-
2025-12-11$115,000 Active 319-char remark
Show marketing remark (319 chars)
Move in ready and beautifully maintained! This charming, less-than-5-year-old 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home sits on a level 1.22-acre lot in Geraldine. It features a shingle roof, beautiful flooring throughout, and a peaceful country setting. Don’t miss your chance—call today to make this home yours!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,883
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,485
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$791
- − Management
- −$791
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable loss
- −$2,103
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$505
- After-tax cash flow
- $103/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dekalb County
- NCES district ID
- 0101140
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,655
- Composite
- 22.78/100
- National rank
- #8023
- State rank
- #82 of 129 in AL
Livability — Geraldine
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #258
- US rank
- #18040
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 1,998
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,998
Population outlook (DeKalb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 71,722 people
- By 2030
- 71,373 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 69,536 · -3.0%
- By 2050
- 66,020 · -8.0%
- By 2075
- 53,325 · -25.7%
- By 2100
- 36,127 · -49.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 14% Native American 8% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · DeKalb
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+74.0) · D 12.7% · R 86.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.7pp toward R · 2008: -51.2pp · 2024: -74.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+74.0 2020: R+69.8 2016: R+69.4 2012: R+54.9 2008: R+51.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.16%
- Current HPI
- 233.0731
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-13.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Contingent — VMLS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $99,000 VMLS
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $105,000 VMLS
- 2025-12-11 Listed $115,000 VMLS
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2021): $28 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…