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109 Jefferies St
B+ Composite 78.87
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.3/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$29,900

109 Jefferies St · Itta Bena, MS 38941
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,125 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 60 Days on market
Built 1969 5,662 sqft lot $27/sqft · 13% below area Est $34k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The subject is a 3-bedroom, 1-bath all-brick home located in a rural area with investor or first time homebuyer opportunity. While the property requires repairs and is offered as-is, its construction and layout provide potential for renovation and repositioning within the local market.

Key facts

  • Rural area
  • All brick home
  • Investor opportunity

Tags

ALL BRICK HOMERURAL AREAINVESTOR OPPORTUNITYPOTENTIAL FOR RENOVATIONPOTENTIAL FOR REPOSITIONING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $577 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($983 rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $29k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#280 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Leflore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Leflore County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (50%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $29,003 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.29%
Cap rate
29.46%
Cash-on-cash
82.75%
DSCR
4.68
GRM
2.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$34,325
List price
$29,900
Delta
-12.89%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
404 Mitchell St 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,065 (-5%) 2mo $80,000 $75 68
112 Morgan Ln 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,065 (-5%) 7mo $11,470 $11 63
704 Cleveland St 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,188 (+6%) 15mo $13,320 $11 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
83.1%
Equity multiple
4.81×
Total profit
$31,937
Equity at exit
$4,458
10-year hold
IRR
86.4%
Equity multiple
9.98×
Total profit
$75,201
Equity at exit
$2,585

Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 38941

Home prices YoY
-5.6%
Active inventory
5
Price-to-rent
2.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$983 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax from tax record
$30 /mo · $361/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$206
Net cashflow
$577

Break-even live

Break-even rent $252
Max offer price $29,900
Occupancy floor 36%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $594 -5% $586 +0% $577 +5% $569 +10% $560
Rent -10% $500 -5% $539 +0% $577 +5% $616 +10% $655
Rate -1.0pp $592 -0.5pp $585 base $577 +0.5pp $570 +1.0pp $562

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,475
Closing costs
$897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $29,900 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $29,900 Active 58 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $29,900 Active 57 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $29,900 Active 56 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $29,900 Active 55 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $29,900 Active 53 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $29,900 Active 52 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $29,900 Active 49 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $29,900 Active 48 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $29,900 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $29,900 Active 43 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $29,900 Active 42 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $29,900 Active 41 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $29,900 Active 40 DOM
  15. 2026-04-22
    listed $59,900 Active 286-char remark
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    The subject is a 3-bedroom, 1-bath all-brick home located in a rural area with investor or first time homebuyer opportunity. While the property requires repairs and is offered as-is, its construction and layout provide potential for renovation and repositioning within the local market.

  16. 2026-04-21
    listed $59,900 Active 286-char remark
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    The subject is a 3-bedroom, 1-bath all-brick home located in a rural area with investor or first time homebuyer opportunity. While the property requires repairs and is offered as-is, its construction and layout provide potential for renovation and repositioning within the local market.

  17. 2025-08-01
    historical
  18. 2025-02-01
    listed $40,000 Active
  19. 1980-06-27
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$361 · $30/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$361 · $30/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,798
− Mortgage interest
−$1,675
− Property taxes
−$361
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$944
− Management
−$944
− Depreciation
−$870
Taxable income
$6,855
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,645
After-tax cash flow
$5,283/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Itta Bena

Score
57/100
State rank
#280
US rank
#21568

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Itta Bena, MS
Population (ZIP)
3,478

Population outlook (Leflore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
27,008 people
By 2030
25,362 · -6.1%
By 2040
22,049 · -18.4%
By 2050
19,188 · -29.0%
By 2075
13,543 · -49.9%
By 2100
8,913 · -67.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 10% Two or more races 1%
Foreign-born
2%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Leflore

2024 margin
Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.7% · R 30.3%
2008→2024 swing
+1.7pp toward D · 2008: 36.8pp · 2024: 38.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+38.5 2020: D+41.5 2016: D+41.0 2012: D+45.8 2008: D+36.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -4.57%
Current HPI
76.7465
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+49.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $59,900 NCMBR
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $59,900 MLSU
  • 2025-08-01 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2025-02-01 Listed $40,000 MLSU
  • 1980-06-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-19.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $361 · +18.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…