1516 NE 5th Pl · Gainesville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.2/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Seller Motivated . .. . GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY !!! This 3 Bed, 1 Bath 1,170 sqft. Home is Ready for the right vision, it can be transformed into a comfortable, stylish residence with notable resale value. Being sold as-is. The home features an open concept living/dining/kitchen area with a newer Roof 2022. Outside, a one-car carport provides ample covered parking in a . 22-acre lot space It is perfectly situated to enjoy the best of Gainesville, with quick access to UF, lively entertainment, and a variety of great restaurants and shopping. Don’t wait! Schedule your showing today and make it yours!
Key facts
- Covered parking
- Quick access to uf
- Newer roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $267 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#97 in FL, #1,480 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Alachua (urban): math 49% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #30 of 73 in FL (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 1,774 units permitted in Alachua County in 2024 (984 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Alachua County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 262 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $34k; list at $120k implies a 248% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 262 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.55%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-2,474
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $19,550
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32641
- Home prices YoY
- -10.6%
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,239 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$33 /mo · $390/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$260
- Net cashflow
- $267
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $120,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $120,000 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $120,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-04-27price $120,000 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
Seller Motivated . .. . GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY !!! This 3 Bed, 1 Bath 1,170 sqft. Home is Ready for the right vision, it can be transformed into a comfortable, stylish residence with notable resale value. Being sold as-is. The home features an open concept living/dining/kitchen area with a newer Roof 2022. Outside, a one-car carport provides ample covered parking in a . 22-acre lot space It is perfectly situated to enjoy the best of Gainesville, with quick access to UF, lively entertainment, and a variety of great restaurants and shopping. Don’t wait! Schedule your showing today and make it yours!
-
2026-04-20status Active 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
Seller Motivated . .. . GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY !!! This 3 Bed, 1 Bath 1,170 sqft. Home is Ready for the right vision, it can be transformed into a comfortable, stylish residence with notable resale value. Being sold as-is. The home features an open concept living/dining/kitchen area with a newer Roof 2022. Outside, a one-car carport provides ample covered parking in a . 22-acre lot space It is perfectly situated to enjoy the best of Gainesville, with quick access to UF, lively entertainment, and a variety of great restaurants and shopping. Don’t wait! Schedule your showing today and make it yours!
-
2026-04-15historical 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
Seller Motivated . .. . GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY !!! This 3 Bed, 1 Bath 1,170 sqft. Home is Ready for the right vision, it can be transformed into a comfortable, stylish residence with notable resale value. Being sold as-is. The home features an open concept living/dining/kitchen area with a newer Roof 2022. Outside, a one-car carport provides ample covered parking in a . 22-acre lot space It is perfectly situated to enjoy the best of Gainesville, with quick access to UF, lively entertainment, and a variety of great restaurants and shopping. Don’t wait! Schedule your showing today and make it yours!
-
2026-03-31status Active 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
Seller Motivated . .. . GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY !!! This 3 Bed, 1 Bath 1,170 sqft. Home is Ready for the right vision, it can be transformed into a comfortable, stylish residence with notable resale value. Being sold as-is. The home features an open concept living/dining/kitchen area with a newer Roof 2022. Outside, a one-car carport provides ample covered parking in a . 22-acre lot space It is perfectly situated to enjoy the best of Gainesville, with quick access to UF, lively entertainment, and a variety of great restaurants and shopping. Don’t wait! Schedule your showing today and make it yours!
-
2026-03-27historical 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
Seller Motivated . .. . GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY !!! This 3 Bed, 1 Bath 1,170 sqft. Home is Ready for the right vision, it can be transformed into a comfortable, stylish residence with notable resale value. Being sold as-is. The home features an open concept living/dining/kitchen area with a newer Roof 2022. Outside, a one-car carport provides ample covered parking in a . 22-acre lot space It is perfectly situated to enjoy the best of Gainesville, with quick access to UF, lively entertainment, and a variety of great restaurants and shopping. Don’t wait! Schedule your showing today and make it yours!
-
2026-03-16status Active 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
Seller Motivated . .. . GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY !!! This 3 Bed, 1 Bath 1,170 sqft. Home is Ready for the right vision, it can be transformed into a comfortable, stylish residence with notable resale value. Being sold as-is. The home features an open concept living/dining/kitchen area with a newer Roof 2022. Outside, a one-car carport provides ample covered parking in a . 22-acre lot space It is perfectly situated to enjoy the best of Gainesville, with quick access to UF, lively entertainment, and a variety of great restaurants and shopping. Don’t wait! Schedule your showing today and make it yours!
-
2026-03-14historical 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
Seller Motivated . .. . GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY !!! This 3 Bed, 1 Bath 1,170 sqft. Home is Ready for the right vision, it can be transformed into a comfortable, stylish residence with notable resale value. Being sold as-is. The home features an open concept living/dining/kitchen area with a newer Roof 2022. Outside, a one-car carport provides ample covered parking in a . 22-acre lot space It is perfectly situated to enjoy the best of Gainesville, with quick access to UF, lively entertainment, and a variety of great restaurants and shopping. Don’t wait! Schedule your showing today and make it yours!
-
2026-02-02price $130,000 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
Seller Motivated . .. . GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY !!! This 3 Bed, 1 Bath 1,170 sqft. Home is Ready for the right vision, it can be transformed into a comfortable, stylish residence with notable resale value. Being sold as-is. The home features an open concept living/dining/kitchen area with a newer Roof 2022. Outside, a one-car carport provides ample covered parking in a . 22-acre lot space It is perfectly situated to enjoy the best of Gainesville, with quick access to UF, lively entertainment, and a variety of great restaurants and shopping. Don’t wait! Schedule your showing today and make it yours!
-
2026-01-30price $137,000 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
Seller Motivated . .. . GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY !!! This 3 Bed, 1 Bath 1,170 sqft. Home is Ready for the right vision, it can be transformed into a comfortable, stylish residence with notable resale value. Being sold as-is. The home features an open concept living/dining/kitchen area with a newer Roof 2022. Outside, a one-car carport provides ample covered parking in a . 22-acre lot space It is perfectly situated to enjoy the best of Gainesville, with quick access to UF, lively entertainment, and a variety of great restaurants and shopping. Don’t wait! Schedule your showing today and make it yours!
-
2026-01-12price $140,000 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
Seller Motivated . .. . GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY !!! This 3 Bed, 1 Bath 1,170 sqft. Home is Ready for the right vision, it can be transformed into a comfortable, stylish residence with notable resale value. Being sold as-is. The home features an open concept living/dining/kitchen area with a newer Roof 2022. Outside, a one-car carport provides ample covered parking in a . 22-acre lot space It is perfectly situated to enjoy the best of Gainesville, with quick access to UF, lively entertainment, and a variety of great restaurants and shopping. Don’t wait! Schedule your showing today and make it yours!
-
2025-11-07price $145,000 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
Seller Motivated . .. . GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY !!! This 3 Bed, 1 Bath 1,170 sqft. Home is Ready for the right vision, it can be transformed into a comfortable, stylish residence with notable resale value. Being sold as-is. The home features an open concept living/dining/kitchen area with a newer Roof 2022. Outside, a one-car carport provides ample covered parking in a . 22-acre lot space It is perfectly situated to enjoy the best of Gainesville, with quick access to UF, lively entertainment, and a variety of great restaurants and shopping. Don’t wait! Schedule your showing today and make it yours!
-
2025-10-13price $150,000 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
Seller Motivated . .. . GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY !!! This 3 Bed, 1 Bath 1,170 sqft. Home is Ready for the right vision, it can be transformed into a comfortable, stylish residence with notable resale value. Being sold as-is. The home features an open concept living/dining/kitchen area with a newer Roof 2022. Outside, a one-car carport provides ample covered parking in a . 22-acre lot space It is perfectly situated to enjoy the best of Gainesville, with quick access to UF, lively entertainment, and a variety of great restaurants and shopping. Don’t wait! Schedule your showing today and make it yours!
-
2025-10-06price $155,000 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
Seller Motivated . .. . GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY !!! This 3 Bed, 1 Bath 1,170 sqft. Home is Ready for the right vision, it can be transformed into a comfortable, stylish residence with notable resale value. Being sold as-is. The home features an open concept living/dining/kitchen area with a newer Roof 2022. Outside, a one-car carport provides ample covered parking in a . 22-acre lot space It is perfectly situated to enjoy the best of Gainesville, with quick access to UF, lively entertainment, and a variety of great restaurants and shopping. Don’t wait! Schedule your showing today and make it yours!
-
2025-09-18$160,000 Active 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
Seller Motivated . .. . GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY !!! This 3 Bed, 1 Bath 1,170 sqft. Home is Ready for the right vision, it can be transformed into a comfortable, stylish residence with notable resale value. Being sold as-is. The home features an open concept living/dining/kitchen area with a newer Roof 2022. Outside, a one-car carport provides ample covered parking in a . 22-acre lot space It is perfectly situated to enjoy the best of Gainesville, with quick access to UF, lively entertainment, and a variety of great restaurants and shopping. Don’t wait! Schedule your showing today and make it yours!
-
1984-02-01soldstatus $34,500
-
1980-11-01soldstatus $29,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $390 · $33/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $996 · $83/mo
- Expected delta
- +$606/yr (+$50/mo · 155.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,872
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$390
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,190
- − Management
- −$1,190
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $1,290
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$310
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,898/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alachua
- NCES district ID
- 1200030
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,683
- Composite
- 43.31/100
- National rank
- #3038
- State rank
- #30 of 73 in FL
Livability — Gainesville
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #97
- US rank
- #1480
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gainesville, FL
- City population
- 188,348
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,082
Population outlook (Alachua County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 289,834 people
- By 2030
- 305,873 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 335,246 · +15.7%
- By 2050
- 364,719 · +25.8%
- By 2075
- 436,665 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 482,920 · +66.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 68% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Alachua
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.0) · D 59.7% · R 38.8% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.6pp no change · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: 21.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.0 2020: D+27.2 2016: D+22.5 2012: D+17.3 2008: D+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.10%
- Current HPI
- 278.4167
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+313.8% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $120,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-15 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-31 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-27 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-16 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-14 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $130,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $137,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-12 Price Changed $140,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-07 Price Changed $145,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-13 Price Changed $150,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-06 Price Changed $155,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-18 Listed $160,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1984-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $34,500 Public Records
- 1980-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $390 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…