6008 Elliott Ct · Nolensville, TN
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +8.3/10.0
- Cash flow +7.5/30.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- ARV discount +5.2/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
$1,247,272
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This home will include a fully finished basement, and we currently have only 2 basement homesites left. Estimated completion is November 2026. This is a to‑be‑built home. The attached floor plan reflects the A Elevation. . 3 car side load garage, included fully sodded front, sides and rear yard and full irrigation system! This home features a wide selection of beautiful, designer‑chosen upgrades throughout—carefully curated to deliver both style and functionality.
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- 3 garage spots
- Built 2026
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with quarterly fee; Quarterly HOA fee of $164; Community amenities include pickleball courts, tennis courts, and sidewalks; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: 3 covered parking spaces; 3-car garage with side-facing garage
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; STEP sewer system; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable connected
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Three or more levels; New construction
- Construction: Brick, fiber cement, and frame construction; New construction; Slab foundation; Newly built
- Exterior features: Located on a cul-de-sac
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in gas oven; Dishwasher; Disposal; Ice maker; Microwave; Stainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms total; 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Finished basement; Built-in gas oven, dishwasher, disposal, ice maker, microwave, and stainless steel appliances; Wood flooring; Smoke detectors; Thermostat and sealed ducting for improved energy efficiency
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Slab foundation (utility access)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $1.25M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-18k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.03M (17.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $904k (27.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $904k (27.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 2.2% in Nolensville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#2 in TN, #2,317 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, commute F, cost of living F.
- Williamson County (rural): math 58% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #1 of 139 in TN (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Sunset Elementary School (math 62% / reading 57%, grade B-, #60 of 952 statewide, top 7%, 623 students, 0% FRL); Fred J Page Middle School (math 63% / reading 60%, grade B+, #5 of 333 statewide, top 2%, 1,249 students, 0% FRL); Fred J Page High School (math 17% / reading 69%, grade F, #20 of 332 statewide, top 6%, 1,284 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,994 units permitted in Williamson County in 2024 (637 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $90k of equity ($9k loan paydown + $82k appreciation (6.5% local appreciation)).
- Williamson County population projected at +59% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$144k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.21M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.27%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,187,058
- List price
- $1,247,272
- Delta
- 5.07%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6025 Elliott Ct | 0.22mi | 5/5.5 | 4,494 (-1%) | 1mo | $1,617,795 | $360 | 82 |
| 5809 Luke Ct | 0.24mi | 5/4.5 | 4,494 (-1%) | 5mo | $1,405,205 | $313 | 81 |
| 5120 High Park Hill Dr | 0.07mi | 6/4.5 (+1) | 4,272 (-6%) | 1mo | $1,250,000 | $293 | 79 |
| 5155 High Park Hill Dr | 0.17mi | 5/5.5 | 4,706 (+4%) | 1mo | $1,560,325 | $332 | 79 |
| 5901 Luke Ct | 0.24mi | 5/5.5 | 4,460 (-2%) | 5mo | $1,610,062 | $361 | 76 |
| 5159 High Park Hill Dr | 0.17mi | 5/6.0 | 4,325 (-5%) | 2mo | $1,350,000 | $312 | 75 |
| 5900 Luke Ct | 0.24mi | 5/5.0 | 4,321 (-5%) | 4mo | $1,351,309 | $313 | 74 |
| 5912 Luke Ct | 0.08mi | 5/5.5 | 4,113 (-9%) | 2mo | $1,444,570 | $351 | 73 |
| 6009 Elliott Ct | 0.28mi | 5/5.5 | 4,402 (-3%) | 5mo | $1,400,137 | $318 | 72 |
| 6013 Elliott Ct | 0.24mi | 5/5.5 | 4,266 (-6%) | 6mo | $1,476,520 | $346 | 68 |
| 5918 Luke Ct | 0.03mi | 5/5.5 | 3,916 (-14%) | 2mo | $1,299,990 | $332 | 68 |
| 5151 High Park Hill Dr | 0.17mi | 5/5.5 | 4,960 (+9%) | 6mo | $1,533,550 | $309 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.54% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.87×
- Total profit
- $303,222
- Equity at exit
- $827,261
- IRR
- 13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.75×
- Total profit
- $959,324
- Equity at exit
- $1,538,954
Cash invested: $349,236 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37014
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $9,040 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$6,541
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1,559 /mo · $18,709/yr
- Insurance
- −$520
- HOA
- −$55
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,898
- Net cashflow
- $-1,533
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-671 | -5% $-1,102 | +0% $-1,533 | +5% $-1,964 | +10% $-2,395 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-2,247 | -5% $-1,890 | +0% $-1,533 | +5% $-1,176 | +10% $-819 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-905 | -0.5pp $-1,216 | base $-1,533 | +0.5pp $-1,856 | +1.0pp $-2,185 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $311,818
- Closing costs
- $37,418
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6605 Goshawk Ct Arrington, TN | 5.0 | 5.5 | 5835 | $11,900 | $2.04 | 19d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1301 Ashby Valley Ln Arrington, TN | 4.0 | 4.5 | 4282 | $6,500 | $1.52 | 25d | 1 | 0.93mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $55 · $660/yr
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $1,247,272 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,247,272 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,247,272 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,247,272 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,247,272 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,247,272 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,247,272 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,247,272 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,247,272 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,247,272 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,247,272 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,247,272 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,247,272 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-05-01price $1,247,272 473-char remark
-
2026-04-25$1,237,272 Active 473-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $108,478
- − Mortgage interest
- −$69,867
- − Property taxes
- −$18,709
- − Insurance
- −$6,236
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,678
- − Management
- −$8,678
- − HOA
- −$660
- − Depreciation
- −$36,284
- Taxable loss
- −$40,635
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$9,752
- After-tax cash flow
- $-8,646/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Williamson County
- NCES district ID
- 4704530
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $103,392
- Composite
- 54.94/100
- National rank
- #1307
- State rank
- #1 of 139 in TN
Livability — Nolensville
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #2
- US rank
- #2317
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 24,409
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,633
Population outlook (Williamson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 275,925 people
- By 2030
- 308,630 · +11.9%
- By 2040
- 374,403 · +35.7%
- By 2050
- 438,644 · +59.0%
- By 2075
- 592,763 · +114.8%
- By 2100
- 691,828 · +150.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 6% Two or more races 3% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 12% Slovak 1% English 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Williamson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.4) · D 33.0% · R 65.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -39.5pp · 2024: -32.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.4 2020: R+26.1 2016: R+35.5 2012: R+46.8 2008: R+39.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.54%
- Current HPI
- 498.4505
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
||
| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+0.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $1,247,272 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-25 Listed $1,237,272 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…