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209 Aid Ave Multi-family
B Composite 70.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.6/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

209 Aid Ave · West Plains, MO 65775
None bd · None ba · 1,592 sqft · MultiFamily · 1016 Days on market
Built 1884 Poor condition $94/sqft · at area comps Est $157k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Downtown Historic West Plains. Located just off the square is your opportunity to own an income producing property. A four-unit multifamily apartment house you can continue to rent as is or rehab them and turn them into nightly or monthly rentals.

Key facts

  • Built 1884
  • Listed 1016 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a multifamily listed at $150k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.2% vs local median 3.1% in West Plains — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#34 in MO, #2,977 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime C-, commute C-, amenities D.
  • West Plains R-VII (rural): math 36% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #152 of 324 in MO (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: West Plains Elem. (math 41% / reading 40%, grade F, #525 of 1,115 statewide, top 47%, 766 students, 66% FRL); West Plains Middle (math 33% / reading 39%, grade F, #237 of 391 statewide, top 61%, 611 students, 58% FRL); West Plains Sr. High (math 27% / reading 65%, grade D-, #170 of 521 statewide, top 33%, 1,162 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 320 active listings in the ZIP; 53 units permitted in Howell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Howell County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 1016 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1884 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 1016 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1884 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.02%
Cap rate
17.19%
Cash-on-cash
38.91%
DSCR
2.73
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$157,288
List price
$150,000
Delta
-4.63%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
212 Worcester St 0.06mi 3/3.0 1,651 (+4%) 1mo $179,900 $109 90
211 Aid Ave Unit 1-4 0.03mi 4/4.0 1,664 (+4%) 16mo $150,000 $90 77

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.1%
Equity multiple
2.49×
Total profit
$62,475
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
41.9%
Equity multiple
4.96×
Total profit
$166,273
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65775

Home prices YoY
-16.4%
Active inventory
320
Price-to-rent
16.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,036 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax est. 1.5%
$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$638
Net cashflow
$1,362

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,312
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,465 -5% $1,414 +0% $1,362 +5% $1,310 +10% $1,258
Rent -10% $1,122 -5% $1,242 +0% $1,362 +5% $1,482 +10% $1,602
Rate -1.0pp $1,437 -0.5pp $1,400 base $1,362 +0.5pp $1,323 +1.0pp $1,283

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $3,036

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $150,000 Active 1016 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $150,000 Active 1015 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 1013 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 1012 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 1011 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 1010 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 1008 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $150,000 Active 1007 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 1004 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 1003 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 1002 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 1001 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $150,000 Active 998 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 997 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 996 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 995 DOM
  17. 2024-12-20
    status Active 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Downtown Historic West Plains. Located just off the square is your opportunity to own an income producing property. A four-unit multifamily apartment house you can continue to rent as is or rehab them and turn them into nightly or monthly rentals.

  18. 2024-06-17
    status Active 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Downtown Historic West Plains. Located just off the square is your opportunity to own an income producing property. A four-unit multifamily apartment house you can continue to rent as is or rehab them and turn them into nightly or monthly rentals.

  19. 2024-06-15
    historical 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Downtown Historic West Plains. Located just off the square is your opportunity to own an income producing property. A four-unit multifamily apartment house you can continue to rent as is or rehab them and turn them into nightly or monthly rentals.

  20. 2023-10-10
    status Active 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Downtown Historic West Plains. Located just off the square is your opportunity to own an income producing property. A four-unit multifamily apartment house you can continue to rent as is or rehab them and turn them into nightly or monthly rentals.

  21. 2023-08-29
    historical 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Downtown Historic West Plains. Located just off the square is your opportunity to own an income producing property. A four-unit multifamily apartment house you can continue to rent as is or rehab them and turn them into nightly or monthly rentals.

  22. 2023-07-21
    listed $150,000 Active 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Downtown Historic West Plains. Located just off the square is your opportunity to own an income producing property. A four-unit multifamily apartment house you can continue to rent as is or rehab them and turn them into nightly or monthly rentals.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,432
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,250
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,915
− Management
−$2,915
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$14,837
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,561
After-tax cash flow
$12,781/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive repairs and updates to become move-in ready. Significant investment is needed to improve its condition and increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Broken cabinets — Structural damage
  • Major Exposed plumbing — Safety hazard
  • Major Dirty tub — Hygiene concern
  • Major Exposed wiring and insulation — Structural damage
  • Major Peeling paint — Safety hazard
  • Major Broken windows — Safety hazard
  • Major Worn-out carpet — Safety hazard
  • Major Dirty walls — Hygiene concern
  • Major Exposed ductwork — Safety hazard
  • Major Overgrown lawn — Safety hazard

Value-add opportunities

  • Both New flooring — Improves safety and aesthetics
  • Both New cabinets and countertops — Improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both New windows — Improves safety and aesthetics
  • Both New HVAC system — Improves comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Improves safety and aesthetics

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Broken cabinets · Structural damage Major $15,000–50,000
Exposed plumbing · Safety hazard Major $15,000–50,000
Dirty tub · Hygiene concern Major $15,000–50,000
Exposed wiring and insulation · Structural damage Major $15,000–50,000
Peeling paint · Safety hazard Major $15,000–50,000
Broken windows · Safety hazard Major $15,000–50,000
Worn-out carpet · Safety hazard Major $15,000–50,000
Dirty walls · Hygiene concern Major $15,000–50,000
Exposed ductwork · Safety hazard Major $15,000–50,000
Overgrown lawn · Safety hazard Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 10 items $150,000–500,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both New flooring — Improves safety and aesthetics
  • Both New cabinets and countertops — Improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both New windows — Improves safety and aesthetics
  • Both New HVAC system — Improves comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Improves safety and aesthetics

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Plains R-VII
NCES district ID
2931680
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$32,206
Composite
33.59/100
National rank
#5419
State rank
#152 of 324 in MO

Livability — West Plains

Score
77/100
State rank
#34
US rank
#2977

Category grades

Amenities D Commute C- Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Plains, MO
Population (ZIP)
24,950

Population outlook (Howell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,462 people
By 2030
37,240 · -3.2%
By 2040
34,495 · -10.3%
By 2050
31,450 · -18.2%
By 2075
23,660 · -38.5%
By 2100
16,373 · -57.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Howell

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.8) · D 16.2% · R 83.0%
2008→2024 swing
-36.0pp toward R · 2008: -30.8pp · 2024: -66.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.8 2020: R+64.2 2016: R+63.2 2012: R+43.8 2008: R+30.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.99%
Current HPI
228.8763
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

6 events — show timeline
  • 2024-12-20 Relisted SOMO
  • 2024-06-17 Relisted SOMO
  • 2024-06-15 Delisted SOMO
  • 2023-10-10 Relisted SOMO
  • 2023-08-29 Delisted SOMO
  • 2023-07-21 Listed $150,000 SOMO

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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