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1422 E 36th Ave
B+ Composite 78.41
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0

$79,000

1422 E 36th Ave · Gary, IN 46409
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 950 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1956 5,635 sqft lot Est $100k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Property has tons of potential! Let your creativity bring this property back to life !

Key facts

  • 5,635 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1956

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $425 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
  • Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 76 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.58%
Cap rate
12.76%
Cash-on-cash
23.08%
DSCR
2.03
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$99,750
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1407 E 36th Ave 0.03mi 3/1.0 (+1) 950 (0%) 3mo $55,100 $58 87
3624 Georgia St 0.43mi 3/2.0 (+1) 954 (+0%) 7mo $77,000 $81 69
3820 Swift St 0.32mi 2/1.0 840 (-12%) 3mo $210,000 $250 59
3790 Swift St 0.28mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,036 (+9%) 6mo $85,000 $82 58
4055 Kentucky St 0.62mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (+5%) 1mo $50,000 $50 53
3422 California St 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (+1%) 4mo $157,000 $164 51
3372 Iowa St 0.64mi 2/1.0 896 (-6%) 9mo $119,000 $133 49
4069 W 39th Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 925 (-3%) 9mo $195,000 $211 47
4125 Alabama St 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 925 (-3%) 9mo $96,850 $105 45
3979 Howard St 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 884 (-7%) 2mo $175,000 $198 44
3540 Pennsylvania St 0.74mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,035 (+9%) 3mo $68,000 $66 41
4171 W 39th Ave 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,084 (+14%) 1mo $95,000 $88 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.85% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.2%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$16,698
Equity at exit
$11,779
10-year hold
IRR
27.9%
Equity multiple
3.70×
Total profit
$59,665
Equity at exit
$6,830

Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46409

Home prices YoY
-2.0%
Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,252 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$414
Tax from tax record
$116 /mo · $1,395/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$425

Break-even live

Break-even rent $713
Max offer price $79,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $470 -5% $448 +0% $425 +5% $403 +10% $381
Rent -10% $327 -5% $376 +0% $425 +5% $475 +10% $524
Rate -1.0pp $465 -0.5pp $446 base $425 +0.5pp $405 +1.0pp $384

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,750
Closing costs
$2,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
816 E 35th Ct Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 810 $1,075 $1.33 2d 1 0.40mi
801 E 32nd Ave Unit 2 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 2d 1 0.58mi
4456 Connecticut St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1044 $1,300 $1.25 3d 1 1.33mi
3708 Harrison St Gary, IN 3.0 1.5 904 $1,400 $1.55 3d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-03-29
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-26
    listed $79,000 Active
  3. 2015-07-26
    historical
  4. 2015-03-14
    listed $12,500
  5. 2008-10-18
    historical
  6. 2007-10-17
    listed $65,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,395 · $116/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,395 · $116/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,021
− Mortgage interest
−$4,425
− Property taxes
−$1,395
− Insurance
−$395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,202
− Management
−$1,202
− Depreciation
−$2,298
Taxable income
$4,104
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$985
After-tax cash flow
$4,120/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gary Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803870
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,739
Composite
4.98/100
National rank
#10039
State rank
#299 of 301 in IN

Livability — Gary

Score
73/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#5592

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gary, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
63,701
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
7,184
Household income
$44,667
Rent vs Own
55.5% rent · 44.5% own
Severe rent burden
516.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (68%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 68% Two or more races 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% White 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -3.91%
Current HPI
190.6724
Rent YoY
▲ 4.85%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+21.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-29 Pending NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $79,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-07-26 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-03-14 Listed $12,500 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-10-18 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-10-17 Listed $65,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,395 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…