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8241 State Route 52
D- Composite 37.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +5.1/30.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$106,500

8241 State Route 52 · Narrowsburg, NY 12764
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 876 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 49 Days on market
Built 1951 1.57 ac lot $122/sqft · 66% below area ↓ 27% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Set along Route 52 in Narrowsburg, this single-level ranch offers a straightforward layout with natural flow between the living room, dining area, and centrally located kitchen. The home has a solid footprint that's easy to make your own, giving the next owner room to personalize without taking on a full renovation. Three bedrooms and a full bath sit along the hall, and the large front room adds a flexible bonus space that can serve as a second living area, office, or creative setup. The existing features provide a clean starting point, and the layout makes updates simple for anyone who wants to fine-tune the home over time. The property sits on open land with a few trees toward the back, offering a comfortable sense of space while keeping you close to town, the Delaware River, and local shops. With no HOA and plenty of room to shape the property to your liking, this is a practical option in the Narrowsburg market for buyers looking for single-level living with the opportunity to add their own touch.

Key facts

  • Flexible bonus space
  • Open land
  • Close to town

Tags

SINGLE LEVEL RANCHFLEXIBLE BONUS SPACEOPEN LANDCLOSE TO TOWN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; No carport
  • Utilities: Septic tank; No listed utilities
  • Home design: Single family residence; Measured living area per public records
  • Construction: Wood siding construction; Measured building area
  • Exterior features: Wood siding; Shed(s); Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range
  • Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes bedroom on first floor)
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; Front porch
  • Laundry & utility: No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $106k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-247 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $87k (18.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $91k (14.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (18.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 3.5% vs local median 1.7% in Narrowsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,108 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Sullivan West Central School District (rural): math 45% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #436 of 590 in NY (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Sullivan West Elementary School (math 41% / reading 48%, grade F, #1,277 of 2,108 statewide, top 64%, 571 students, 37% FRL); Sullivan West High School At Lake Huntington (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #974 of 1,100 statewide, top 91%, 477 students, 39% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 739 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($736 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Sullivan County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $86,800 (18.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
3.51%
Cash-on-cash
-9.95%
DSCR
0.56
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$326,168
List price
$106,500
Delta
-67.35%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
32 Wood Oak Dr 0.69mi 2/1.0 800 (-9%) 16mo $419,000 $524 40
20 Wood Oak Dr 0.68mi 2/1.0 772 (-12%) 13mo $410,000 $531 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.4%
Equity multiple
2.42×
Total profit
$42,405
Equity at exit
$95,944
10-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
5.61×
Total profit
$137,569
Equity at exit
$206,906

Cash invested: $29,820 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12764

Home prices YoY
15.3%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$908 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$558
Tax from tax record
$362 /mo · $4,340/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$191
Net cashflow
$-247

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,221
Max offer price $86,800
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,625
Closing costs
$3,195
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $106,500 Active 49 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $106,500 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $106,500 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $106,500 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $106,500 Active 44 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $106,500 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $106,500 Active 40 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $106,500 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $106,500 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $106,500 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    pricedays on market $106,500 Active 34 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $114,900 Active 33 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $114,900 Active 32 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $114,900 Active 31 DOM
  15. 2026-05-14
    listed $114,900 Active 1015-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1015 chars)

    Set along Route 52 in Narrowsburg, this single-level ranch offers a straightforward layout with natural flow between the living room, dining area, and centrally located kitchen. The home has a solid footprint that's easy to make your own, giving the next owner room to personalize without taking on a full renovation. Three bedrooms and a full bath sit along the hall, and the large front room adds a flexible bonus space that can serve as a second living area, office, or creative setup. The existing features provide a clean starting point, and the layout makes updates simple for anyone who wants to fine-tune the home over time. The property sits on open land with a few trees toward the back, offering a comfortable sense of space while keeping you close to town, the Delaware River, and local shops. With no HOA and plenty of room to shape the property to your liking, this is a practical option in the Narrowsburg market for buyers looking for single-level living with the opportunity to add their own touch.

  16. 2026-04-30
    listed $114,900 Active 1021-char remark
  17. 2025-07-18
    historical
  18. 2025-04-01
    price $105,000
  19. 2025-03-30
    price $119,000
  20. 2025-03-25
    listed $130,000 Active
  21. 2025-03-04
    historical
  22. 2025-02-11
    price $199,000
  23. 2025-01-17
    listed $234,000 Active
  24. 2006-11-16
    soldstatus $145,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,340 · $362/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,340 · $362/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,894
− Mortgage interest
−$5,966
− Property taxes
−$4,340
− Insurance
−$532
− Repairs & maintenance
−$872
− Management
−$872
− Depreciation
−$3,098
Taxable loss
−$4,785
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,148
After-tax cash flow
$-1,819/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sullivan West Central School District
NCES district ID
3600023
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$56,078
Composite
40.05/100
National rank
#3817
State rank
#436 of 590 in NY

Livability — Narrowsburg

Score
56/100
State rank
#1108
US rank
#22694

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,827

Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,974 people
By 2030
65,609 · -4.9%
By 2040
58,878 · -14.6%
By 2050
52,500 · -23.9%
By 2075
39,941 · -42.1%
By 2100
28,880 · -58.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Danish 4% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Mexico
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan

2024 margin
R (+16.7) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 9.5pp · 2024: -16.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.7 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.7 2012: D+10.4 2008: D+9.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 55.78%
Current HPI
420.1391
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-26.6% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Price Changed $106,500 PWMLS
  • 2026-06-03 Price Changed $106,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $114,900 PWMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $114,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-18 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-01 Price Changed $105,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-30 Price Changed $119,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-25 Listed $130,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-04 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-11 Price Changed $199,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-17 Listed $234,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,340 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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