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1338 Washington Blvd
B Composite 74.56
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

1338 Washington Blvd · Baltimore, MD 21230
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,075 sqft · Townhouse public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1900 896 sqft lot Est $185k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity to own a well maintained home in Washington Village. Great for a first time home buyer or investor. Featuring 2 beds, 1 baths, spacious living. Recently updated Kitchen and bathroom and plumbing. Close to Inner Harbor, M & T Stadium, Camden Yard & more! Schedule today!

Key facts

  • Built 1900

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fee simple ownership

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric cooling fuel; Natural gas for heating and hot water
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse
  • Construction: Brick construction; Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Located within city limits (Baltimore City); No tidal water on the lot; Above-grade and below-grade other structures

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (all upper levels total: 1)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric); Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Basement present (type: Other); Not in a federal flood zone; Two or more exit points for accessibility

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $585 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 362 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (34%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $115k implies a 77% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $115,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.61%
Cap rate
12.39%
Cash-on-cash
21.79%
DSCR
1.97
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$184,900
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1125 Bayard St 0.05mi 1/2.0 (-1) 1,032 (-4%) 0mo $120,000 $116 82
1244 Carroll St 0.12mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,140 (+6%) 0mo $213,900 $188 77
1145 W Cross St 0.28mi 2/1.5 1,172 (+9%) 2mo $121,900 $104 68
1226 W Pratt St 0.38mi 2/1.5 1,000 (-7%) 2mo $80,000 $80 67
1404 Lemmon St 0.44mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,100 (+2%) 1mo $189,000 $172 66
703 Dover St 0.65mi 2/2.0 1,008 (-6%) 1mo $225,000 $223 55
1607 Lemmon St 0.52mi 1/1.0 (-1) 974 (-9%) 1mo $20,000 $21 55
538 Eislen St 0.69mi 2/1.0 1,170 (+9%) 1mo $345,000 $295 52
509 Otterbein St 0.46mi 2/2.0 1,215 (+13%) 2mo $232,500 $191 51
1110 W Lombard St 0.45mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,206 (+12%) 1mo $180,000 $149 47
121 Parkin St 0.52mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,208 (+12%) 0mo $175,000 $145 46
640 Dover St 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 936 (-13%) 2mo $220,000 $235 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.8%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$13,254
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
17.1%
Equity multiple
2.21×
Total profit
$38,844
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21230

Rents YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
362
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,851 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$227 /mo · $2,719/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$389
Net cashflow
$585

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,111
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1127 S Carey St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1340 $1,900 $1.42 4d 1 0.07mi
1303 James St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1160 $1,350 $1.16 24d 1 0.08mi
1259 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1232 $2,999 $2.43 4d 1 0.08mi
1243 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1148 $1,950 $1.70 43d 1 0.10mi
1101 S Carey St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1400 $1,200 $0.86 22d 1 0.10mi
1253 Sargeant St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,695 $1.41 24d 1 0.11mi
1432 Carroll St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 912 $1,900 $2.08 43d 1 0.12mi
1262 Glyndon Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 3.0 1258 $1,850 $1.47 24d 1 0.15mi
1215 James St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 960 $1,500 $1.56 43d 1 0.15mi
1163 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 1012 $1,700 $1.68 12d 1 0.18mi
1205 Cleveland St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1232 $1,900 $1.54 43d 1 0.18mi
1160 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 960 $1,575 $1.64 24d 1 0.20mi
1127 Sargeant St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1080 $1,275 $1.18 24d 1 0.22mi
1142 Sargeant St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1080 $1,601 $1.48 2d 1 0.22mi
1132 Nanticoke St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 1500 $1,875 $1.25 24d 1 0.27mi
853 Reinhart St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 780 $1,800 $2.31 43d 1 0.33mi
305 S Calhoun St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 22d 1 0.34mi
923 McHenry St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,625 $1.61 43d 1 0.37mi
1125 Wicomico St Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1068 $1,955 $1.83 24d 1 0.37mi
508 Wyeth St Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1234 $1,850 $1.50 43d 1 0.38mi
847 McHenry St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 952 $1,795 $1.89 4d 1 0.40mi
709 Scott St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1448 $2,500 $1.73 24d 1 0.41mi
709 Scott St Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1448 $2,500 $1.73 14d 1 0.41mi
805 Washington Blvd Unit B Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1106 $1,650 $1.49 20d 1 0.42mi
805 Washington Blvd Unit A Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,650 $1.57 43d 1 0.42mi
1108 Sterrett St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1400 $2,300 $1.64 24d 1 0.43mi
104 S Carrollton Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 4.0 1232 $2,400 $1.95 4d 1 0.44mi
519 Scott St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 800 $2,000 $2.50 43d 1 0.44mi
1115 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1468 $2,100 $1.43 43d 1 0.45mi
1111 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,295 $1.08 4d 1 0.45mi
776 Washington Blvd Unit 3F Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 800 $1,000 $1.25 43d 1 0.46mi
1324 W Lombard St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 24d 1 0.49mi
1324 W Lombard St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,450 $1.32 43d 1 0.49mi
913 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1452 $1,600 $1.10 24d 1 0.50mi
1315 Hollins St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1096 $1,950 $1.78 12d 1 0.53mi
1315 Hollins St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1096 $1,860 $1.70 4d 1 0.53mi
812 S Paca St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 990 $1,500 $1.52 12d 1 0.54mi
748 McHenry St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1288 $2,100 $1.63 4d 1 0.55mi
1000 Hollins St Unit 1000 Hollins Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1472 $2,600 $1.77 44d 1 0.56mi
10 S Carey St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1140 $1,550 $1.36 24d 1 0.58mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    statusdays on market $115,000 Active 1 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    listed $115,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,719 · $227/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,719 · $227/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,210
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$2,719
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,777
− Management
−$1,777
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$5,575
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,338
After-tax cash flow
$5,677/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
32,977
Household income
$91,842
Rent vs Own
49.3% rent · 50.7% own
Severe rent burden
1463.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -311.43%
Current HPI
284.338
Rent YoY
▼ -1.00%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+475.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Coming Soon $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-07-25 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-07-03 Listed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-06-30 Rental Removed $1,300 BUILDIUM
  • 2024-06-11 Listed for Rent $1,300 BUILDIUM
  • 2021-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2021-01-28 Sold (MLS) $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-01-08 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-12-20 Listed $79,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1994-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,719 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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