515 N Lampasas St · Bertram, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 64.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +1.8/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Possible owner financing available. Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled on a peaceful corner lot in Bertram. Shaded by beautiful mature trees, this property offers a quiet retreat with plenty of potential. Inside, you’ll find an inviting living room filled with natural light from large windows, a stylish barn door, and easy-care vinyl flooring. Ceiling fans add comfort throughout, while the durable metal roof provides peace of mind for years to come. Whether you’re looking for a cozy move-in ready space or envisioning a home to make uniquely your own, this property offers the perfect canvas. With its understated charm and serene setting, it’s a place to settle in and enjoy the simple comforts of small-town living. Agent Owner
Key facts
- Vinyl flooring
- Metal roof
- Natural light
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $183 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.5% in Bertram — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#170 in TX, #4,466 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Burnet CISD (rural): math 36% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #465 of 826 in TX (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 356 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 891 units permitted in Burnet County in 2024 (76 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Burnet County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 260 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1934 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 260 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1934 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.89%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $229,495
- List price
- $160,000
- Delta
- -30.28%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 518 W Vaughan St | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 | 1,000 (+2%) | 17mo | $270,000 | $270 | 63 |
| 420 N Grange | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 | 1,098 (+12%) | 24mo | $245,000 | $223 | 59 |
| 415 Brooks Mill Rd | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+12%) | 8mo | $245,000 | $223 | 57 |
| 104 Easy St | 0.66mi | 2/1.5 | 960 (-2%) | 20mo | $132,000 | $138 | 46 |
| 679 W South St | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,111 (+13%) | 13mo | $260,000 | $234 | 38 |
| 560 Live Oak Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,109 (+13%) | 7mo | $280,000 | $252 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-14,257
- Equity at exit
- $23,857
- IRR
- 0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $2,707
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78605
- Home prices YoY
- -2.1%
- Active inventory
- 356
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,650 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$215 /mo · $2,581/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$346
- Net cashflow
- $183
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 Huge Oak St Bertram, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 996 | $1,650 | $1.66 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $160,000 Active 260 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $160,000 Active 259 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $160,000 Active 258 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $160,000 Active 246 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $160,000 Active 245 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $160,000 Active 244 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 243 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 242 DOM
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2026-04-18price $170,000 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (773 chars)
Possible owner financing available. Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled on a peaceful corner lot in Bertram. Shaded by beautiful mature trees, this property offers a quiet retreat with plenty of potential. Inside, you’ll find an inviting living room filled with natural light from large windows, a stylish barn door, and easy-care vinyl flooring. Ceiling fans add comfort throughout, while the durable metal roof provides peace of mind for years to come. Whether you’re looking for a cozy move-in ready space or envisioning a home to make uniquely your own, this property offers the perfect canvas. With its understated charm and serene setting, it’s a place to settle in and enjoy the simple comforts of small-town living. Agent Owner
-
2026-01-09status Active 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (773 chars)
Possible owner financing available. Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled on a peaceful corner lot in Bertram. Shaded by beautiful mature trees, this property offers a quiet retreat with plenty of potential. Inside, you’ll find an inviting living room filled with natural light from large windows, a stylish barn door, and easy-care vinyl flooring. Ceiling fans add comfort throughout, while the durable metal roof provides peace of mind for years to come. Whether you’re looking for a cozy move-in ready space or envisioning a home to make uniquely your own, this property offers the perfect canvas. With its understated charm and serene setting, it’s a place to settle in and enjoy the simple comforts of small-town living. Agent Owner
-
2026-01-02historical Active Under Contract 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (773 chars)
Possible owner financing available. Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled on a peaceful corner lot in Bertram. Shaded by beautiful mature trees, this property offers a quiet retreat with plenty of potential. Inside, you’ll find an inviting living room filled with natural light from large windows, a stylish barn door, and easy-care vinyl flooring. Ceiling fans add comfort throughout, while the durable metal roof provides peace of mind for years to come. Whether you’re looking for a cozy move-in ready space or envisioning a home to make uniquely your own, this property offers the perfect canvas. With its understated charm and serene setting, it’s a place to settle in and enjoy the simple comforts of small-town living. Agent Owner
-
2025-12-11price $175,000 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (773 chars)
Possible owner financing available. Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled on a peaceful corner lot in Bertram. Shaded by beautiful mature trees, this property offers a quiet retreat with plenty of potential. Inside, you’ll find an inviting living room filled with natural light from large windows, a stylish barn door, and easy-care vinyl flooring. Ceiling fans add comfort throughout, while the durable metal roof provides peace of mind for years to come. Whether you’re looking for a cozy move-in ready space or envisioning a home to make uniquely your own, this property offers the perfect canvas. With its understated charm and serene setting, it’s a place to settle in and enjoy the simple comforts of small-town living. Agent Owner
-
2025-12-03price $180,000 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (773 chars)
Possible owner financing available. Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled on a peaceful corner lot in Bertram. Shaded by beautiful mature trees, this property offers a quiet retreat with plenty of potential. Inside, you’ll find an inviting living room filled with natural light from large windows, a stylish barn door, and easy-care vinyl flooring. Ceiling fans add comfort throughout, while the durable metal roof provides peace of mind for years to come. Whether you’re looking for a cozy move-in ready space or envisioning a home to make uniquely your own, this property offers the perfect canvas. With its understated charm and serene setting, it’s a place to settle in and enjoy the simple comforts of small-town living. Agent Owner
-
2025-11-18price $183,500 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (773 chars)
Possible owner financing available. Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled on a peaceful corner lot in Bertram. Shaded by beautiful mature trees, this property offers a quiet retreat with plenty of potential. Inside, you’ll find an inviting living room filled with natural light from large windows, a stylish barn door, and easy-care vinyl flooring. Ceiling fans add comfort throughout, while the durable metal roof provides peace of mind for years to come. Whether you’re looking for a cozy move-in ready space or envisioning a home to make uniquely your own, this property offers the perfect canvas. With its understated charm and serene setting, it’s a place to settle in and enjoy the simple comforts of small-town living. Agent Owner
-
2025-10-01$185,000 Active 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (773 chars)
Possible owner financing available. Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled on a peaceful corner lot in Bertram. Shaded by beautiful mature trees, this property offers a quiet retreat with plenty of potential. Inside, you’ll find an inviting living room filled with natural light from large windows, a stylish barn door, and easy-care vinyl flooring. Ceiling fans add comfort throughout, while the durable metal roof provides peace of mind for years to come. Whether you’re looking for a cozy move-in ready space or envisioning a home to make uniquely your own, this property offers the perfect canvas. With its understated charm and serene setting, it’s a place to settle in and enjoy the simple comforts of small-town living. Agent Owner
-
2020-08-10soldstatus
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2020-08-06soldstatus Sold 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Great location in Bertram! Vacant and ready for quick move in. Needs TLC. Great 2 car carport! Sold AS-IS. Two bedroom and 1 bathroom, plus office area and laundry room. Great lot and tons of potential!FEMA - Unknown Restrictions: Yes
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2020-06-30status Pending - Taking Backups 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Great location in Bertram! Vacant and ready for quick move in. Needs TLC. Great 2 car carport! Sold AS-IS. Two bedroom and 1 bathroom, plus office area and laundry room. Great lot and tons of potential!FEMA - Unknown Restrictions: Yes
-
2020-06-24$105,000 Active 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Great location in Bertram! Vacant and ready for quick move in. Needs TLC. Great 2 car carport! Sold AS-IS. Two bedroom and 1 bathroom, plus office area and laundry room. Great lot and tons of potential!FEMA - Unknown Restrictions: Yes
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2016-06-30soldstatus
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2010-09-10soldstatus
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2010-06-03soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,581 · $215/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,928 · $244/mo
- Expected delta
- +$347/yr (+$29/mo · 13.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$2,581
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,584
- − Management
- −$1,584
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable loss
- −$366
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$88
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,280/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Burnet CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4812220
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,890
- Composite
- 32.09/100
- National rank
- #5811
- State rank
- #465 of 826 in TX
Livability — Bertram
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #170
- US rank
- #4466
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bertram, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,632
Population outlook (Burnet County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 50,492 people
- By 2030
- 52,995 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 57,528 · +13.9%
- By 2050
- 61,444 · +21.7%
- By 2075
- 71,098 · +40.8%
- By 2100
- 74,634 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 19% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Romanian 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 20%
Political lean MEDSL · Burnet
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.7) · D 21.7% · R 77.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: -44.1pp · 2024: -55.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.7 2020: R+53.1 2016: R+56.8 2012: R+54.6 2008: R+44.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -6.46%
- Current HPI
- 296.8166
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+61.9% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Price Changed $170,000 Unlock MLS
- 2026-01-09 Relisted — Unlock MLS
- 2026-01-02 Contingent — Unlock MLS
- 2025-12-11 Price Changed $175,000 Unlock MLS
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $180,000 Unlock MLS
- 2025-11-18 Price Changed $183,500 Unlock MLS
- 2025-10-01 Listed $185,000 Unlock MLS
- 2020-08-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-08-06 Sold (MLS) — Unlock MLS
- 2020-06-30 Pending — Unlock MLS
- 2020-06-24 Listed $105,000 Unlock MLS
- 2016-06-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2010-09-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2010-06-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+14.1%/yrLatest (2026): $2,581 · -13.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…