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19435 Hickory Pl
C+ Composite 61.3
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.6/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

19435 Hickory Pl · Country Club Hills, IL 60478
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,050 sqft · Condo · 302 Days on market
Built 1987 $205/mo HOA · 9% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Regular sale. This great townhome offers 2 bedrooms plus a loft that could be the third bedroom, one and a half baths. Kitchen plus dinette all stainless steel appliances plus washer and dryer. Hardwood floors, and tiled kitchen floor. Furnance and central air not even a year old. Walk out to nice sized deck for all your summertime barbecues .Easy parking in attached garageDo not miss out make your appointment today.1

Key facts

  • $205 HOA
  • Garage
  • Built 1987

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Estimated living area; Possession: negotiable
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $205; Association fee covers parking, insurance, exterior maintenance, lawn care, trash (scavenger) and snow removal; Association management available Monday through Friday; Pets allowed with number limits; Association amenity: ceiling fan

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1-car)
  • Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan; Public sewer
  • Home design: Attached single, 2-story townhouse; Entry level: 1; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Building is approximately 31–40 years old; One unit in the building
  • Exterior features: Deck

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on second level (12 x 15) with full bath access; Second bedroom on second level (14 x 8); Loft on second level (15 x 12)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heat; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Six total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $356 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 7.4% in Country Club Hills — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#212 in IL, #3,963 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, schools F.
  • Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 302 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $150k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
Recommended offer $131,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 302 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
9.14%
Cash-on-cash
10.18%
DSCR
1.45
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.8%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-1,346
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
9.0%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$29,130
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60478

Home prices YoY
-27.3%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,254 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$371 /mo · $4,450/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$205
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$473
Net cashflow
$356

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,803
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4453 Provincetown Dr Country Club Hills, IL 3.0 2.5 1300 $2,500 $1.92 1d 1 0.93mi
2256 Windsor Ln Country Club Hills, IL 3.0 1.0 1212 $2,250 $1.86 1d 1 1.03mi
1153 Williamsburg Rd Country Club Hills, IL 2.0 1.5 1216 $1,900 $1.56 1d 1 1.03mi
4962 Bennett St Matteson, IL 2.0–3.0 2.5 1341 $2,400 $1.79 1d 7 1.36mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$205 · $2,460/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 302 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,900 Active 301 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,900 Active 300 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,900 Active 299 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,900 Active 297 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active 293 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 292 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 291 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,900 Active 288 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,900 Active 287 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 286 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 285 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 284 DOM
  14. 2025-08-18
    listed $149,900 Active
  15. 2016-10-13
    soldstatus $60,000
  16. 2016-10-12
    soldstatus $60,000 Closed Sale 421-char remark
    Show marketing remark (421 chars)

    Regular sale. This great townhome offers 2 bedrooms plus a loft that could be the third bedroom, one and a half baths. Kitchen plus dinette all stainless steel appliances plus washer and dryer. Hardwood floors, and tiled kitchen floor. Furnance and central air not even a year old. Walk out to nice sized deck for all your summertime barbecues .Easy parking in attached garageDo not miss out make your appointment today.1

  17. 2016-09-18
    status Pending 421-char remark
    Show marketing remark (421 chars)

    Regular sale. This great townhome offers 2 bedrooms plus a loft that could be the third bedroom, one and a half baths. Kitchen plus dinette all stainless steel appliances plus washer and dryer. Hardwood floors, and tiled kitchen floor. Furnance and central air not even a year old. Walk out to nice sized deck for all your summertime barbecues .Easy parking in attached garageDo not miss out make your appointment today.1

  18. 2016-08-06
    status Reactivated 421-char remark
    Show marketing remark (421 chars)

    Regular sale. This great townhome offers 2 bedrooms plus a loft that could be the third bedroom, one and a half baths. Kitchen plus dinette all stainless steel appliances plus washer and dryer. Hardwood floors, and tiled kitchen floor. Furnance and central air not even a year old. Walk out to nice sized deck for all your summertime barbecues .Easy parking in attached garageDo not miss out make your appointment today.1

  19. 2016-06-27
    status Pending 421-char remark
    Show marketing remark (421 chars)

    Regular sale. This great townhome offers 2 bedrooms plus a loft that could be the third bedroom, one and a half baths. Kitchen plus dinette all stainless steel appliances plus washer and dryer. Hardwood floors, and tiled kitchen floor. Furnance and central air not even a year old. Walk out to nice sized deck for all your summertime barbecues .Easy parking in attached garageDo not miss out make your appointment today.1

  20. 2016-05-24
    listed $64,900 New 421-char remark
    Show marketing remark (421 chars)

    Regular sale. This great townhome offers 2 bedrooms plus a loft that could be the third bedroom, one and a half baths. Kitchen plus dinette all stainless steel appliances plus washer and dryer. Hardwood floors, and tiled kitchen floor. Furnance and central air not even a year old. Walk out to nice sized deck for all your summertime barbecues .Easy parking in attached garageDo not miss out make your appointment today.1

  21. 2015-05-12
    historical
  22. 2015-05-04
    listed New
  23. 2012-04-27
    soldstatus $27,660 Closed Sale
  24. 2012-02-09
    status Pending
  25. 2012-02-01
    status Reactivated
  26. 2012-01-31
    status Pending
  27. 2012-01-20
    listed $32,000 New
  28. 2011-09-18
    historical
  29. 2011-08-18
    price Price Change
  30. 2010-12-02
    status Reactivated
  31. 2010-11-29
    historical
  32. 2010-09-25
    listed New
  33. 1996-09-05
    soldstatus $87,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,450 · $371/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,450 · $371/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,043
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$4,450
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,163
− Management
−$2,163
− HOA
−$2,460
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable income
$2,299
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$552
After-tax cash flow
$3,720/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rich Twp Hsd 227
NCES district ID
1733420
Math proficiency
5% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$56,056
Composite
8.93/100
National rank
#9885
State rank
#577 of 620 in IL

Livability — Country Club Hills

Score
75/100
State rank
#212
US rank
#3963

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Country Club Hills, IL
City population
16,549
Population (ZIP)
16,549

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (87%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 87% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.73%
Current HPI
212.3917
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+72.3% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2025-08-18 Listed $149,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2016-10-12 Sold (MLS) $60,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-09-18 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-08-06 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-27 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-24 Listed $64,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-05-12 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-05-04 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-04-27 Sold (MLS) $27,660 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-02-09 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-02-01 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-01-31 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-01-20 Listed $32,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-09-18 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-08-18 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-12-02 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-11-29 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-09-25 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1996-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2023): $4,450 · +87.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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