6807 Kingswood Ln NE · Cedar Rapids, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.8/30.0
- ARV discount +11.9/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 5,830 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1971
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $274 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $194k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.5% in Cedar Rapids — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#134 in IA, #2,474 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, commute F.
- Cedar Rapids Community School District (urban): math 50% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #265 of 289 in IA (top 92%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Nixon Elementary School (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #462 of 616 statewide, top 79%, 289 students, 67% FRL); Harding Middle School (math 61% / reading 69%, grade A-, #154 of 246 statewide, top 63%, 713 students, 43% FRL); John F Kennedy High School (math 63% / reading 77%, grade B+, #146 of 336 statewide, top 45%, 1,714 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 47% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.0%/yr); 286 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,023 units permitted in Linn County in 2024 (456 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Linn County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $135k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.87%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $221,502
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6812 Kelburn Ln NE | 0.03mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,518 (-8%) | 2mo | $220,450 | $145 | 75 |
| 6509 Mosswood Ln NE | 0.32mi | 4/1.5 | 1,670 (+1%) | 7mo | $223,000 | $134 | 73 |
| 6825 Arbor Ln NE | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,685 (+2%) | 12mo | $225,000 | $134 | 72 |
| 7016 Parkdale Ln | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,522 (-8%) | 8mo | $231,000 | $152 | 66 |
| 6505 Brookview Lane Ln | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,660 (+0%) | 8mo | $192,000 | $116 | 65 |
| 6715 Kelburn Ln NE | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 | 1,437 (-13%) | 11mo | $220,000 | $153 | 65 |
| 1312 Prairieview Dr NE | 0.27mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,787 (+8%) | 12mo | $295,000 | $165 | 59 |
| 6706 Boxwood Ln NE | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,492 (-10%) | 10mo | $225,000 | $151 | 58 |
| 6701 Stonybrook Ln NE | 0.31mi | 4/1.0 | 1,890 (+14%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $103 | 54 |
| 1803 Waterbrook Ln NE | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,852 (+12%) | 10mo | $230,000 | $124 | 54 |
| 1101 Boyson Rd NE | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,540 (-7%) | 13mo | $130,000 | $84 | 51 |
| 970 Dry Run Creek Ct | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,433 (-13%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $129 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-3,538
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.27×
- Total profit
- $71,340
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52402
- Rents YoY
- 11.0%
- Active inventory
- 286
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,151 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$294 /mo · $3,528/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$452
- Net cashflow
- $274
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 419 Cimarron Dr Hiawatha, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1680 | $2,650 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 663 Boyson Rd NE Cedar Rapids, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,765 | $1.31 | 13d | 1 | 0.83mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-04status Pending
-
2026-03-18status Active
-
2026-01-09status Pending
-
2025-12-19$199,900 Active
-
2019-05-20soldstatus $135,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,528 · $294/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,528 · $294/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,811
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$3,528
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,065
- − Management
- −$2,065
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable income
- $141
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$34
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,250/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cedar Rapids Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1906540
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,568
- Composite
- 46.82/100
- National rank
- #2378
- State rank
- #265 of 289 in IA
Livability — Cedar Rapids
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #134
- US rank
- #2474
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cedar Rapids, IA
- County
- Linn County · 179,860 people
- City population
- 137,154
- Metro
- Cedar Rapids, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,938
- Household income
- $73,439
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 971.0
Population outlook (Linn County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 239,589 people
- By 2030
- 248,587 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 264,817 · +10.5%
- By 2050
- 278,685 · +16.3%
- By 2075
- 311,754 · +30.1%
- By 2100
- 336,773 · +40.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Two or more races 7% Black 6% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Philippines, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Linn
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.9) · D 54.2% · R 44.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: 21.5pp · 2024: 9.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.9 2020: D+13.7 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+17.6 2008: D+21.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -133.31%
- Current HPI
- 201.7061
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.97%
- Metro
- Cedar Rapids, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+48.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-04 Pending — CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2026-03-18 Relisted — CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2026-01-09 Pending — CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2025-12-19 Listed $199,900 CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2019-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,528 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…