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21201 NE 58th St #46
C+ Composite 63.11
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$147,500

21201 NE 58th St #46 · Camas, WA 98682
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,560 sqft · Manufactured public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1989 $95/sqft · 38% above area Est $107k · 38% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Bright, inviting floor plan featuring vaulted ceilings and abundant natural light! The primary suite sits just off the living room, while the additional bedrooms are located off the family room, which includes a slider to the front. A garden shed out back offers a charming space for flowers or vegetables. Located in a 55+ community for over 40 years. Space rent is $800+ and includes carport and shed maintenance, plus water and septic. No dogs or rentals allowed. Conveniently located just 10 minutes from I-205 and the 192nd corridor for shopping, dining, and Costco.

Key facts

  • Vaulted ceilings
  • Garden shed
  • Conveniently located

Tags

VAULTED CEILINGSABUNDANT NATURAL LIGHTGARDEN SHEDSLIDER TO THE FRONTCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $148k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $148k).
  • Cap rate 18.4% vs local median 1.7% in Camas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#181 in WA, #4,740 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Evergreen School District (Clark) (urban): math 41% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #164 of 291 in WA (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 461 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,547 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (1,361 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($100k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clark County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $147,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.06%
Cap rate
18.42%
Cash-on-cash
43.29%
DSCR
2.93
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$107,000
List price
$147,500
Delta
37.85%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
21201 NE 58th St #45 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,476 (-5%) 3mo $107,000 $72 88

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.5%
Equity multiple
2.55×
Total profit
$63,895
Equity at exit
$21,993
10-year hold
IRR
42.9%
Equity multiple
4.63×
Total profit
$150,033
Equity at exit
$12,753

Cash invested: $41,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98682

Rents YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
461
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,042 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$774
Tax from tax record
$78 /mo · $937/yr
Insurance
$61
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$639
Net cashflow
$1,490

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,156
Max offer price $147,500
Occupancy floor 46%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,875
Closing costs
$4,425
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
21912 NE 68th St Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.5 1552 $3,600 $2.32 2d 1 0.72mi
9333 N Incline Dr Camas, WA 3.0 2.0 1800 $3,495 $1.94 22d 1 1.13mi
7021 N 89th Ave Camas, WA 3.0 2.5 1601 $3,024 $1.89 2d 31 1.23mi
6439 N 87th Ct Camas, WA 4.0 2.5 1922 $3,295 $1.71 20d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $147,500 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $147,500 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $147,500 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $147,500 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $147,500 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on marketlisting id $147,500 Active 1 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $147,500 Active 99 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $147,500 Active 98 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $147,500 Active 97 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $147,500 Active 93 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $147,500 Active 92 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $147,500 Active 91 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $147,500 Active 90 DOM
  14. 2026-03-02
    listed $147,500 Active 571-char remark
    Show marketing remark (571 chars)

    Bright, inviting floor plan featuring vaulted ceilings and abundant natural light! The primary suite sits just off the living room, while the additional bedrooms are located off the family room, which includes a slider to the front. A garden shed out back offers a charming space for flowers or vegetables. Located in a 55+ community for over 40 years. Space rent is $800+ and includes carport and shed maintenance, plus water and septic. No dogs or rentals allowed. Conveniently located just 10 minutes from I-205 and the 192nd corridor for shopping, dining, and Costco.

  15. 2021-06-28
    soldstatus $133,000 Sold 484-char remark
    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    Nice floor plan boasts vaulted ceilings & lots of natural light! Freshly painted inside. Master suite off living room, other bedrooms off family room with slider to front. Garden shed around back with lovely little area for flowers or veggies. Family owned & operated 55+ Park for over 40 years! Space rent $490 includes carport & shed maintenance, water/septic. NO DOGS or rentals. Only 10 min to 205, 192nd corridor for shopping, restaurants, Costco. Quiet location!

  16. 2021-06-01
    status Pending 484-char remark
    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    Nice floor plan boasts vaulted ceilings & lots of natural light! Freshly painted inside. Master suite off living room, other bedrooms off family room with slider to front. Garden shed around back with lovely little area for flowers or veggies. Family owned & operated 55+ Park for over 40 years! Space rent $490 includes carport & shed maintenance, water/septic. NO DOGS or rentals. Only 10 min to 205, 192nd corridor for shopping, restaurants, Costco. Quiet location!

  17. 2021-05-27
    listed $137,500 Active 484-char remark
    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    Nice floor plan boasts vaulted ceilings & lots of natural light! Freshly painted inside. Master suite off living room, other bedrooms off family room with slider to front. Garden shed around back with lovely little area for flowers or veggies. Family owned & operated 55+ Park for over 40 years! Space rent $490 includes carport & shed maintenance, water/septic. NO DOGS or rentals. Only 10 min to 205, 192nd corridor for shopping, restaurants, Costco. Quiet location!

  18. 2016-10-28
    soldstatus $80,000 Sold
  19. 2016-10-18
    status Pending
  20. 2016-08-24
    status Active
  21. 2016-08-16
    status Pending
  22. 2016-08-08
    price $84,950
  23. 2016-07-20
    listed $89,950 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$937 · $78/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,446 · $120/mo
Expected delta
+$509/yr (+$42/mo · 54.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,503
− Mortgage interest
−$8,262
− Property taxes
−$937
− Insurance
−$738
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,920
− Management
−$2,920
− Depreciation
−$4,291
Taxable income
$16,435
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,944
After-tax cash flow
$13,936/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Evergreen School District (Clark)
NCES district ID
5302700
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$59,418
Composite
42.53/100
National rank
#6859
State rank
#164 of 291 in WA

Livability — Camas

Score
74/100
State rank
#181
US rank
#4740

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Clark County · 513,189 people
City population
35,867
Metro
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
Population (ZIP)
68,305
Household income
$99,918
Rent vs Own
29.6% rent · 70.4% own
Severe rent burden
1618.0

Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
529,610 people
By 2030
563,242 · +6.4%
By 2040
625,905 · +18.2%
By 2050
681,558 · +28.7%
By 2075
805,967 · +52.2%
By 2100
877,450 · +65.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 13% Asian 6% Black 2% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Subsaharan African 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Clark

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.0) · D 52.1% · R 45.1% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
+0.9pp no change · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 7.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.0 2020: D+5.1 2016: D+0.1 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -303.95%
Current HPI
307.0529
Rent YoY
▲ 0.63%
Metro
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+64.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $147,500 RMLS
  • 2021-06-28 Sold (MLS) $133,000 RMLS
  • 2021-06-01 Pending RMLS
  • 2021-05-27 Listed $137,500 RMLS
  • 2016-10-28 Sold (MLS) $80,000 RMLS
  • 2016-10-18 Pending RMLS
  • 2016-08-24 Relisted RMLS
  • 2016-08-16 Pending RMLS
  • 2016-08-08 Price Changed $84,950 RMLS
  • 2016-07-20 Listed $89,950 RMLS

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $937 · +14.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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