8122 Royal Breeze Dr · Cypress, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Cash flow +4.5/30.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Like-new and move-in ready—this 2023-built 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Cypress is in pristine condition! Located in the sought-after master-planned community of Marvida. The open layout showcases the high ceilings. The spacious primary suite includes a bay window extension, creating the perfect retreat, along with a spa-like bathroom featuring a soaking tub, walk-in shower, and generous closet space. Already equipped with a $3,500 whole-home water filtration system. Residents enjoy resort-style amenities including a lazy river, gym, sand volleyball, pickleball, and more.
Key facts
- 5,174 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-770 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $204k (32.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $238k (20.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $204k (32.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Cypress-Fairbanks ISD (suburban): math 45% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #161 of 826 in TX (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Postma El (math 45% / reading 59%, grade C-, #742 of 4,322 statewide, top 19%, 1,247 students, 45% FRL); Rowe Middle (math 26% / reading 44%, grade F, #842 of 1,662 statewide, top 51%, 1,310 students, 80% FRL); Cypress-Fairbanks J J A E P (12 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.3%/yr); 2594 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($273k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- -11.00%
- DSCR
- 0.51
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $324,454
- List price
- $299,999
- Delta
- -7.54%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21642 Coral Mist Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,548 (-4%) | 2mo | $298,668 | $193 | 87 |
| 21803 Honey Scent Ln | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,631 (+1%) | 0mo | $318,705 | $195 | 85 |
| 21819 Honey Scent Ln | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,601 (-0%) | 1mo | $299,255 | $187 | 84 |
| 8234 Blue Shell Ln | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,535 (-5%) | 0mo | $314,990 | $205 | 84 |
| 21830 Honey Scent Ln | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,631 (+1%) | 1mo | $313,805 | $192 | 82 |
| 8118 Copper Meadows Ln | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,555 (-3%) | 1mo | $304,890 | $196 | 77 |
| 8203 Blue Shell Ln | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 | 1,725 (+7%) | 1mo | $334,990 | $194 | 75 |
| 21839 Canyon Moon Ln | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,612 (+0%) | 1mo | $337,238 | $209 | 72 |
| 8122 Kay Harbor Dr | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,744 (+8%) | 2mo | $346,990 | $199 | 71 |
| 7715 Basil Ridge Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,631 (+1%) | 0mo | $351,475 | $215 | 63 |
| 8007 Orchid Greenery Dr | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,840 (+14%) | 1mo | $316,760 | $172 | 52 |
| 21127 Dolphin Bay Ln | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,802 (+12%) | 1mo | $315,000 | $175 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -40.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.24×
- Total profit
- $-104,245
- Equity at exit
- $44,731
- IRR
- -98.2%
- Equity multiple
- -1.13×
- Total profit
- $-179,273
- Equity at exit
- $25,938
Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 105 active · 49 under contract
- Months of supply
- 8.1 mo (12%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $328,990 ($194/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 51 d
- This list price
- 14% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +3.9% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 77433
- Home prices YoY
- -28.5%
- Rents YoY
- -1.3%
- Active inventory
- 2594
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,376 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$849 /mo · $10,187/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$100
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$499
- Net cashflow
- $-770
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-600 | -5% $-685 | +0% $-770 | +5% $-855 | +10% $-940 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-958 | -5% $-864 | +0% $-770 | +5% $-676 | +10% $-583 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-619 | -0.5pp $-694 | base $-770 | +0.5pp $-848 | +1.0pp $-927 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,000
- Closing costs
- $9,000
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7950 Fijian Cypress Dr Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2098 | $2,595 | $1.24 | 36d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 7911 Tuscan Cypress Dr Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1730 | $2,475 | $1.43 | 92d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 21323 Bering Reach Dr Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2012 | $2,298 | $1.14 | 30d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 7546 Coral Terrace Dr Cypress, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2050 | $2,699 | $1.32 | 92d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 7558 Magnolia Orchid Ln Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1743 | $2,390 | $1.37 | 16d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 21114 Montego Bay Dr Cypress, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2124 | $2,499 | $1.18 | 92d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 21054 Montego Breeze Ln Cypress, TX | 3.0–5.0 | 2.0–3.5 | 1935 | $2,199 | $1.14 | 15d | 34 | 0.71mi |
| 21054 Montego Breeze Ln Unit 315 Cypress, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1382 | $2,564 | $1.86 | 16d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 21050 Montego Breeze Ln Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $2,596 | $1.63 | 19d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 21038 Treasure Gate Ln Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1804 | $2,676 | $1.48 | 16d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 21019 Montego Breeze Ln Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2157 | $2,768 | $1.28 | 19d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 21010 Montego Breeze Ln Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1804 | $2,565 | $1.42 | 19d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 21006 Montego Breeze Ln Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $2,596 | $1.63 | 19d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 21010 Treasure Gate Ln Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2157 | $2,768 | $1.28 | 92d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 21235 Catalina Palm Dr Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1756 | $2,600 | $1.48 | 92d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 20739 Dickinson Manor Ln Cypress, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,675 | $0.99 | 12d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 20736 Desert Shadows Ln Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2094 | $1,500 | $0.72 | 4d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 21034 Shore Oak Dr Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2110 | $2,477 | $1.17 | 19d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 21034 Shore Oak Dr Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2110 | $2,950 | $1.40 | 92d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 20731 Desert Shadows Ln Cypress, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1822 | $1,845 | $1.01 | 31d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 21038 Bay Village Dr Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1904 | $2,491 | $1.31 | 92d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 21026 Bay Village Dr Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2110 | $2,477 | $1.17 | 16d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 21014 Bay Village Dr Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1643 | $2,259 | $1.37 | 16d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 21027 Bay Village Dr Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1643 | $2,259 | $1.37 | 19d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 7322 Coconut Bay Dr Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $2,307 | $1.42 | 19d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 21010 Bay Village Dr Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1904 | $2,388 | $1.25 | 16d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 7310 Coconut Bay Dr Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $2,307 | $1.42 | 92d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 21054 Breezeway Cove Dr Bridgeland, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.5–3.5 | 1784 | $2,450 | $1.37 | 0d | 36 | 1.14mi |
| 22025 Avalon Landing Ln Cypress, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 954 | $2,666 | $2.79 | 1d | 17 | 1.15mi |
| 20515 Rustic Rail Ct Cypress, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1980 | $2,000 | $1.01 | 38d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 20519 Keegans Ledge Ln Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1907 | $2,100 | $1.10 | 92d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 21447 FM 529 Rd Cypress, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 996 | $2,104 | $2.11 | 0d | 30 | 1.21mi |
| 20634 Longenbaugh Rd Unit 219 Cypress, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1112 | $1,713 | $1.54 | 0d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 20634 Longenbaugh Rd Unit 315 Cypress, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1438 | $2,273 | $1.58 | 0d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 21815 Sunshine Cove Ln Cypress, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1780 | $2,650 | $1.49 | 92d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 6918 Scarlet Sagebrush St Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1258 | $1,779 | $1.41 | 2d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 20551 Prairie Cypress Dr Cypress, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1945 | $2,000 | $1.03 | 42d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 9743 Avalon View Dr Cypress, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1830 | $2,495 | $1.36 | 42d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 21079 Southern Colony Ct Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1741 | $1,900 | $1.09 | 16d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 6747 Scarlet Sagebrush St Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1530 | $2,300 | $1.50 | 92d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Marvida HOA Association with $1,200 annual feeCommunity pool
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectric service
- Home design
- Residential propertySingle-story (all main rooms listed on first floor)
- Construction
- Built in 2023Brick and stone exteriorComposition roofSlab foundation
- Exterior features
- Subdivision lot
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherGas cooktopGas ovenMicrowaveDisposal
- Bedrooms
- Primary bedroom (First floor, approx. 15 x 15)Bedroom (First floor, approx. 12 x 10)Bedroom (First floor, approx. 12 x 10)
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features
- Ceiling fan(s)Washer hookup
- Laundry & utility
- Washer hookup
HOA detail $100/mo · $1,200/yr
- Likely covers
- watergym
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $299,999 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $299,999 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $299,999 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $299,999 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $299,999 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $299,999 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $299,999 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $299,999 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $299,999 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $299,999 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $299,999 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $299,999 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $299,999 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $299,999 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $299,999 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $299,999 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $299,999 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $299,999 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $299,999 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $299,999 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $299,999 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $299,999 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $299,999 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $299,999 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $299,999 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $299,999 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $299,999 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $299,999 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $299,999 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $299,999 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $299,999 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $299,999 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $299,999 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $299,999 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $299,999 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $299,999 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $299,999 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $299,999 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $299,999 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $299,999 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,999 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $299,999 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,999 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,999 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $299,999 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $299,999 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,999 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,999 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,999 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $299,999 Active 44 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $10,187 · $849/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,187 · $849/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,510
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,805
- − Property taxes
- −$10,187
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,281
- − Management
- −$2,281
- − HOA
- −$1,200
- − Depreciation
- −$8,727
- Taxable loss
- −$14,471
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,473
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,770/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2023-built home in Marvida is move-in ready with excellent condition and a pristine exterior. It offers a spacious primary suite, modern kitchen, and a well-maintained landscaping.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both furniture — improves the home's livability and appeal ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cypress-Fairbanks ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4816110
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,025
- Composite
- 43.63/100
- National rank
- #2968
- State rank
- #161 of 826 in TX
Livability — Cypress
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Harris County · 5,571,493 people
- City population
- 212,884
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 116,550
- Household income
- $143,934
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16% of renters
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 39% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 17% Two or more races 14% Asian 13%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 4% Vietnamese 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.83%
- Current HPI
- 220.2136
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.27%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-4.8% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $299,999 HARMLS
- 2026-04-21 Listed $315,000 HARMLS
- 2026-04-21 Coming Soon $315,000 HARMLS
- 2026-02-08 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $289,000 HARMLS
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $293,000 HARMLS
- 2026-01-19 Price Changed $295,000 HARMLS
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $299,000 HARMLS
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $299,990 HARMLS
- 2026-01-06 Price Changed $305,000 HARMLS
- 2026-01-02 Price Changed $308,000 HARMLS
- 2025-12-15 Price Changed $309,000 HARMLS
- 2025-12-08 Price Changed $311,000 HARMLS
- 2025-11-29 Price Changed $312,000 HARMLS
- 2025-11-25 Price Changed $313,000 HARMLS
- 2025-11-19 Price Changed $314,000 HARMLS
- 2025-11-04 Listed $315,000 HARMLS
- 2025-11-03 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-10-29 Price Changed $304,000 HARMLS
- 2025-10-21 Price Changed $305,000 HARMLS
- 2025-10-15 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2025-10-15 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-10-09 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-10-07 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-09-27 Price Changed $306,000 HARMLS
- 2025-08-18 Price Changed $310,000 HARMLS
- 2025-07-24 Listed $315,000 HARMLS
Property tax history
+189.4%/yrLatest (2025): $10,187 · -3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…