1301 Repoll Rd · Mobile, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.0/30.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- DSCR +2.1/10.0
- 1% rule +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
USDA 100% financing available! Welcome to this tastefully renovated, 4-bedroom, 3-bath home featuring two spacious primary suites—perfect for multi-generational living or guest privacy. Enjoy peace of mind with a 2017 roof, 2022 HVAC, and low-maintenance vinyl siding. Inside, you’ll find new flooring and fresh paint, a stylish kitchen with granite countertops, new appliances, and an open flow into the living spaces. (all improvements per seller) The cozy den offers a fireplace for relaxing evenings. The main primary suite includes a large walk-in closet, dual vanities, a soaking tub, and a walk-in shower. Sitting on a generous ½-acre fenced lot, there’s plenty of room for outdoor living, pets, or play. Foreclosure, may be subject to 1 year right of redemption.
Key facts
- 2022 hvac
- New flooring
- 2017 roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-278 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $226k (17.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (37.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $171k (37.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment D-.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 551 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 195 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $152k; list at $275k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 195 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.62% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.33%
- DSCR
- 0.81
- GRM
- 13.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $353,571
- List price
- $275,000
- Delta
- -22.22%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10530 Relic Rd S | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,835 (-2%) | 1mo | $316,900 | $173 | 67 |
| 10625 Relic Rd S | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,835 (-2%) | 2mo | $316,900 | $173 | 65 |
| 1230 Seven Hills Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 2,128 (+14%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $101 | 65 |
| 1609 Repoll Rd | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,829 (-2%) | 5mo | $264,600 | $145 | 64 |
| 10597 Relic Rd S | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,835 (-2%) | 6mo | $315,900 | $172 | 62 |
| 10550 Relic Rd S | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,706 (-9%) | 3mo | $306,900 | $180 | 58 |
| 10673 Relic Rd N | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,706 (-9%) | 0mo | $305,900 | $179 | 58 |
| 10605 Relic Rd S | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,706 (-9%) | 6mo | $305,900 | $179 | 56 |
| 10650 Relic Rd N | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,706 (-9%) | 2mo | $306,900 | $180 | 55 |
| 10659 Relic Rd N | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,706 (-9%) | 5mo | $306,900 | $180 | 54 |
| 10577 Relic Rd S | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,070 (+11%) | 3mo | $316,900 | $153 | 51 |
| 10280 Garris Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,694 (-10%) | 1mo | $209,000 | $123 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.12×
- Total profit
- $-67,405
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- -35.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.32×
- Total profit
- $-101,412
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36695
- Home prices YoY
- -30.9%
- Rents YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 551
- Price-to-rent
- 13.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,710 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $859/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$359
- Net cashflow
- $-278
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-122 | -5% $-200 | +0% $-278 | +5% $-356 | +10% $-433 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-413 | -5% $-345 | +0% $-278 | +5% $-210 | +10% $-143 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-139 | -0.5pp $-208 | base $-278 | +0.5pp $-349 | +1.0pp $-422 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9490 Cinder Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1783 | $1,800 | $1.01 | 14d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-03-24price $275,000 797-char remark
Show marketing remark (816 chars)
Welcome to this tastefully renovated, 4-bedroom, 3-bath home featuring two spacious primary suites—great for multi-generational living or guest privacy. Enjoy peace of mind with a 2017 roof, 2022 HVAC, and low-maintenance vinyl siding. Inside, you’ll find new flooring and fresh paint, a stylish kitchen with granite countertops, new appliances, and an open flow into the living spaces. (all improvements per seller) The cozy den offers a fireplace for relaxing evenings. The main primary suite includes a large walk-in closet, dual vanities, a soaking tub, and a walk-in shower. Sitting on a generous ½-acre fenced lot, there’s plenty of room for outdoor living, pets, or play. Foreclosure, may be subject to 1 year right of redemption. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2026-03-24price $275,000 816-char remark
Show marketing remark (816 chars)
Welcome to this tastefully renovated, 4-bedroom, 3-bath home featuring two spacious primary suites—great for multi-generational living or guest privacy. Enjoy peace of mind with a 2017 roof, 2022 HVAC, and low-maintenance vinyl siding. Inside, you’ll find new flooring and fresh paint, a stylish kitchen with granite countertops, new appliances, and an open flow into the living spaces. (all improvements per seller) The cozy den offers a fireplace for relaxing evenings. The main primary suite includes a large walk-in closet, dual vanities, a soaking tub, and a walk-in shower. Sitting on a generous ½-acre fenced lot, there’s plenty of room for outdoor living, pets, or play. Foreclosure, may be subject to 1 year right of redemption. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2026-02-04price $279,900 797-char remark
Show marketing remark (816 chars)
Welcome to this tastefully renovated, 4-bedroom, 3-bath home featuring two spacious primary suites—great for multi-generational living or guest privacy. Enjoy peace of mind with a 2017 roof, 2022 HVAC, and low-maintenance vinyl siding. Inside, you’ll find new flooring and fresh paint, a stylish kitchen with granite countertops, new appliances, and an open flow into the living spaces. (all improvements per seller) The cozy den offers a fireplace for relaxing evenings. The main primary suite includes a large walk-in closet, dual vanities, a soaking tub, and a walk-in shower. Sitting on a generous ½-acre fenced lot, there’s plenty of room for outdoor living, pets, or play. Foreclosure, may be subject to 1 year right of redemption. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2026-02-04price $279,900 816-char remark
Show marketing remark (816 chars)
Welcome to this tastefully renovated, 4-bedroom, 3-bath home featuring two spacious primary suites—great for multi-generational living or guest privacy. Enjoy peace of mind with a 2017 roof, 2022 HVAC, and low-maintenance vinyl siding. Inside, you’ll find new flooring and fresh paint, a stylish kitchen with granite countertops, new appliances, and an open flow into the living spaces. (all improvements per seller) The cozy den offers a fireplace for relaxing evenings. The main primary suite includes a large walk-in closet, dual vanities, a soaking tub, and a walk-in shower. Sitting on a generous ½-acre fenced lot, there’s plenty of room for outdoor living, pets, or play. Foreclosure, may be subject to 1 year right of redemption. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2025-11-14$284,900 Active 797-char remark
Show marketing remark (816 chars)
Welcome to this tastefully renovated, 4-bedroom, 3-bath home featuring two spacious primary suites—great for multi-generational living or guest privacy. Enjoy peace of mind with a 2017 roof, 2022 HVAC, and low-maintenance vinyl siding. Inside, you’ll find new flooring and fresh paint, a stylish kitchen with granite countertops, new appliances, and an open flow into the living spaces. (all improvements per seller) The cozy den offers a fireplace for relaxing evenings. The main primary suite includes a large walk-in closet, dual vanities, a soaking tub, and a walk-in shower. Sitting on a generous ½-acre fenced lot, there’s plenty of room for outdoor living, pets, or play. Foreclosure, may be subject to 1 year right of redemption. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2025-11-14$284,900 Active 816-char remark
Show marketing remark (816 chars)
Welcome to this tastefully renovated, 4-bedroom, 3-bath home featuring two spacious primary suites—great for multi-generational living or guest privacy. Enjoy peace of mind with a 2017 roof, 2022 HVAC, and low-maintenance vinyl siding. Inside, you’ll find new flooring and fresh paint, a stylish kitchen with granite countertops, new appliances, and an open flow into the living spaces. (all improvements per seller) The cozy den offers a fireplace for relaxing evenings. The main primary suite includes a large walk-in closet, dual vanities, a soaking tub, and a walk-in shower. Sitting on a generous ½-acre fenced lot, there’s plenty of room for outdoor living, pets, or play. Foreclosure, may be subject to 1 year right of redemption. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2018-02-09soldstatus $151,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $859 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,128 · $94/mo
- Expected delta
- +$268/yr (+$22/mo · 31.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,515
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$859
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,641
- − Management
- −$1,641
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable loss
- −$8,406
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,018
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,316/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Mobile
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #4262
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Mobile County · 246,577 people
- City population
- 205,729
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,690
- Household income
- $76,040
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1619.0
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Black 23% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -86.28%
- Current HPI
- 193.1651
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.41%
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+81.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $275,000 GCMLS AL
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $275,000 BCAR
- 2026-02-04 Price Changed $279,900 GCMLS AL
- 2026-02-04 Price Changed $279,900 BCAR
- 2025-11-14 Listed $284,900 GCMLS AL
- 2025-11-14 Listed $284,900 BCAR
- 2018-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $151,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $859 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…