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4284 E Alabama Ln
B+ Composite 77.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

4284 E Alabama Ln · Hernando, FL 34442
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 864 sqft · Manufactured public records · 47 Days on market
Built 1997 6,245 sqft lot Est $135k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fresh Updates! This charming 1997 home has just undergone a major refresh—brand-new vinyl plank flooring throughout adds a modern style and easy maintenance. The roof and WELL equipment were both replaced in 2022, giving peace of mind for years to come. Priced to Sell thanks to its vintage, yet well-maintained structure. Hurry, this is an excellent price for a beautiful location. ALL REASONABLE OFFERS CONSIDERED! THIS IS REAL PROPERTY, NOT A MOBILE HOME PARK! The owner will hold the mortgage with a proper down payment. call your agent today for details.

Key facts

  • 6,245 sq ft lot
  • Built 1997
  • Listed 47 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete driveway
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured home (Single wide); Residential property; Located in Hernando City Heights
  • Construction: Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Shed(s); Level lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Laminate counters; Open floor plan; High-speed internet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $513 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 5.7% in Hernando — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#402 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hernando Elementary School (math 47% / reading 51%, grade D, #1,134 of 2,144 statewide, top 54%, 813 students, 71% FRL); Inverness Middle School (math 52% / reading 48%, grade C, #254 of 571 statewide, top 45%, 1,017 students, 60% FRL); Citrus High School (math 34% / reading 51%, grade F, #264 of 667 statewide, top 41%, 1,503 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools at 62% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 447 active listings in the ZIP; 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $92,150 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.57%
Cap rate
12.77%
Cash-on-cash
23.12%
DSCR
2.03
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$134,784
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4294 E Van Ness Rd 0.05mi 2/2.0 864 (0%) 2mo $165,000 $191 91
4232 E Alabama Ln 0.05mi 3/1.0 (+1) 912 (+6%) 3mo $84,700 $93 81
1635 N Arkansas Ter 0.10mi 2/1.5 784 (-9%) 6mo $83,000 $106 73
1805 N Paul Dr 0.38mi 2/1.5 784 (-9%) 2mo $123,000 $157 63
1420 N Sylvan Pt 0.54mi 2/2.0 840 (-3%) 7mo $95,000 $113 60
3960 E David St 0.49mi 2/1.0 844 (-2%) 19mo $132,000 $156 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.1%
Equity multiple
1.65×
Total profit
$17,283
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
24.8%
Equity multiple
3.15×
Total profit
$57,209
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34442

Home prices YoY
-21.9%
Active inventory
447
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,495 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$131 /mo · $1,567/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$314
Net cashflow
$513

Break-even live

Break-even rent $846
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $566 -5% $539 +0% $513 +5% $486 +10% $459
Rent -10% $394 -5% $454 +0% $513 +5% $572 +10% $631
Rate -1.0pp $560 -0.5pp $537 base $513 +0.5pp $488 +1.0pp $463

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    status $95,000 Pending 47 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 47 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 46 DOM
  4. 2026-05-30
    days on market $95,000 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-05-14
    price $95,000
  6. 2026-04-16
    listed $100,000 Active
  7. 2026-04-08
    soldstatus $84,000
  8. 2026-03-31
    soldstatus $84,000 Closed 565-char remark
    Show marketing remark (565 chars)

    Fresh Updates! This charming 1997 home has just undergone a major refresh—brand-new vinyl plank flooring throughout adds a modern style and easy maintenance. The roof and WELL equipment were both replaced in 2022, giving peace of mind for years to come. Priced to Sell thanks to its vintage, yet well-maintained structure. Hurry, this is an excellent price for a beautiful location. ALL REASONABLE OFFERS CONSIDERED! THIS IS REAL PROPERTY, NOT A MOBILE HOME PARK! The owner will hold the mortgage with a proper down payment. call your agent today for details.

  9. 2026-02-26
    status Pending 565-char remark
    Show marketing remark (565 chars)

    Fresh Updates! This charming 1997 home has just undergone a major refresh—brand-new vinyl plank flooring throughout adds a modern style and easy maintenance. The roof and WELL equipment were both replaced in 2022, giving peace of mind for years to come. Priced to Sell thanks to its vintage, yet well-maintained structure. Hurry, this is an excellent price for a beautiful location. ALL REASONABLE OFFERS CONSIDERED! THIS IS REAL PROPERTY, NOT A MOBILE HOME PARK! The owner will hold the mortgage with a proper down payment. call your agent today for details.

  10. 2026-01-22
    price $94,900 565-char remark
    Show marketing remark (565 chars)

    Fresh Updates! This charming 1997 home has just undergone a major refresh—brand-new vinyl plank flooring throughout adds a modern style and easy maintenance. The roof and WELL equipment were both replaced in 2022, giving peace of mind for years to come. Priced to Sell thanks to its vintage, yet well-maintained structure. Hurry, this is an excellent price for a beautiful location. ALL REASONABLE OFFERS CONSIDERED! THIS IS REAL PROPERTY, NOT A MOBILE HOME PARK! The owner will hold the mortgage with a proper down payment. call your agent today for details.

  11. 2025-12-02
    status Active 565-char remark
    Show marketing remark (565 chars)

    Fresh Updates! This charming 1997 home has just undergone a major refresh—brand-new vinyl plank flooring throughout adds a modern style and easy maintenance. The roof and WELL equipment were both replaced in 2022, giving peace of mind for years to come. Priced to Sell thanks to its vintage, yet well-maintained structure. Hurry, this is an excellent price for a beautiful location. ALL REASONABLE OFFERS CONSIDERED! THIS IS REAL PROPERTY, NOT A MOBILE HOME PARK! The owner will hold the mortgage with a proper down payment. call your agent today for details.

  12. 2025-12-02
    price $104,900 565-char remark
    Show marketing remark (565 chars)

    Fresh Updates! This charming 1997 home has just undergone a major refresh—brand-new vinyl plank flooring throughout adds a modern style and easy maintenance. The roof and WELL equipment were both replaced in 2022, giving peace of mind for years to come. Priced to Sell thanks to its vintage, yet well-maintained structure. Hurry, this is an excellent price for a beautiful location. ALL REASONABLE OFFERS CONSIDERED! THIS IS REAL PROPERTY, NOT A MOBILE HOME PARK! The owner will hold the mortgage with a proper down payment. call your agent today for details.

  13. 2025-11-06
    status Pending 565-char remark
    Show marketing remark (565 chars)

    Fresh Updates! This charming 1997 home has just undergone a major refresh—brand-new vinyl plank flooring throughout adds a modern style and easy maintenance. The roof and WELL equipment were both replaced in 2022, giving peace of mind for years to come. Priced to Sell thanks to its vintage, yet well-maintained structure. Hurry, this is an excellent price for a beautiful location. ALL REASONABLE OFFERS CONSIDERED! THIS IS REAL PROPERTY, NOT A MOBILE HOME PARK! The owner will hold the mortgage with a proper down payment. call your agent today for details.

  14. 2025-10-03
    status Active 565-char remark
    Show marketing remark (565 chars)

    Fresh Updates! This charming 1997 home has just undergone a major refresh—brand-new vinyl plank flooring throughout adds a modern style and easy maintenance. The roof and WELL equipment were both replaced in 2022, giving peace of mind for years to come. Priced to Sell thanks to its vintage, yet well-maintained structure. Hurry, this is an excellent price for a beautiful location. ALL REASONABLE OFFERS CONSIDERED! THIS IS REAL PROPERTY, NOT A MOBILE HOME PARK! The owner will hold the mortgage with a proper down payment. call your agent today for details.

  15. 2025-10-03
    price $114,900 565-char remark
    Show marketing remark (565 chars)

    Fresh Updates! This charming 1997 home has just undergone a major refresh—brand-new vinyl plank flooring throughout adds a modern style and easy maintenance. The roof and WELL equipment were both replaced in 2022, giving peace of mind for years to come. Priced to Sell thanks to its vintage, yet well-maintained structure. Hurry, this is an excellent price for a beautiful location. ALL REASONABLE OFFERS CONSIDERED! THIS IS REAL PROPERTY, NOT A MOBILE HOME PARK! The owner will hold the mortgage with a proper down payment. call your agent today for details.

  16. 2025-10-02
    historical 565-char remark
    Show marketing remark (565 chars)

    Fresh Updates! This charming 1997 home has just undergone a major refresh—brand-new vinyl plank flooring throughout adds a modern style and easy maintenance. The roof and WELL equipment were both replaced in 2022, giving peace of mind for years to come. Priced to Sell thanks to its vintage, yet well-maintained structure. Hurry, this is an excellent price for a beautiful location. ALL REASONABLE OFFERS CONSIDERED! THIS IS REAL PROPERTY, NOT A MOBILE HOME PARK! The owner will hold the mortgage with a proper down payment. call your agent today for details.

  17. 2025-09-27
    price $99,900 565-char remark
    Show marketing remark (565 chars)

    Fresh Updates! This charming 1997 home has just undergone a major refresh—brand-new vinyl plank flooring throughout adds a modern style and easy maintenance. The roof and WELL equipment were both replaced in 2022, giving peace of mind for years to come. Priced to Sell thanks to its vintage, yet well-maintained structure. Hurry, this is an excellent price for a beautiful location. ALL REASONABLE OFFERS CONSIDERED! THIS IS REAL PROPERTY, NOT A MOBILE HOME PARK! The owner will hold the mortgage with a proper down payment. call your agent today for details.

  18. 2025-09-10
    listed $117,900 Active 565-char remark
    Show marketing remark (565 chars)

    Fresh Updates! This charming 1997 home has just undergone a major refresh—brand-new vinyl plank flooring throughout adds a modern style and easy maintenance. The roof and WELL equipment were both replaced in 2022, giving peace of mind for years to come. Priced to Sell thanks to its vintage, yet well-maintained structure. Hurry, this is an excellent price for a beautiful location. ALL REASONABLE OFFERS CONSIDERED! THIS IS REAL PROPERTY, NOT A MOBILE HOME PARK! The owner will hold the mortgage with a proper down payment. call your agent today for details.

  19. 2021-07-06
    soldstatus $59,000
  20. 1981-09-01
    soldstatus $49,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,567 · $131/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,567 · $131/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,939
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,567
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,435
− Management
−$1,435
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$4,941
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,186
After-tax cash flow
$4,965/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Citrus
NCES district ID
1200270
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,618
Composite
41.28/100
National rank
#3519
State rank
#44 of 73 in FL

Livability — Hernando

Score
71/100
State rank
#402
US rank
#7137

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hernando, FL
County
Citrus County · 111,314 people
City population
17,281
Metro
Homosassa Springs, FL
Population (ZIP)
17,281
Household income
$57,259
Rent vs Own
12.9% rent · 87.1% own
Severe rent burden
314.0

Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
138,622 people
By 2030
136,886 · -1.3%
By 2040
132,009 · -4.8%
By 2050
125,196 · -9.7%
By 2075
108,570 · -21.7%
By 2100
84,454 · -39.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Citrus

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
2008→2024 swing
-29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -76.70%
Current HPI
273.3262
Rent YoY
Metro
Homosassa Springs, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+93.9% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $95,000 RACC
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $100,000 RACC
  • 2026-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $84,000 Public Records
  • 2026-03-31 Sold (MLS) $84,000 RACC
  • 2026-02-26 Pending RACC
  • 2026-01-22 Price Changed $94,900 RACC
  • 2025-12-02 Relisted RACC
  • 2025-12-02 Price Changed $104,900 RACC
  • 2025-11-06 Pending RACC
  • 2025-10-03 Relisted RACC
  • 2025-10-03 Price Changed $114,900 RACC
  • 2025-10-02 Delisted RACC
  • 2025-09-27 Price Changed $99,900 RACC
  • 2025-09-10 Listed $117,900 RACC
  • 2021-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
  • 1981-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+32.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,567 · +13.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…