8216 Quail Meadow Trce · West Palm Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$432,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PERFECT SEASONAL HOME IN MINT CONDITION. EXTERIOR JUST PAINTED. MAGNIFICENT GOLF COURSE VIEWS, SCREENED IN HEATED POOL/ TILE THROUGHOUT. NICELY FURNISHED. PRICED TO SELL!!
Key facts
- 4,986 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $432k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $387 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $432k).
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.8% in West Palm Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#75 in FL, #1,255 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Pierce Hammock Elementary School (math 69% / reading 73%, grade A-, #320 of 2,144 statewide, top 15%, 468 students, 35% FRL); Western Pines Community Middle (math 66% / reading 64%, grade A-, #99 of 571 statewide, top 17%, 991 students, 42% FRL); Seminole Ridge Community High School (math 36% / reading 56%, grade D-, #220 of 667 statewide, top 33%, 2,262 students, 36% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 392 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($130k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $228k; list at $432k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.84%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.85% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-41,003
- Equity at exit
- $64,487
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $14,485
- Equity at exit
- $37,395
Cash invested: $121,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33412
- Home prices YoY
- -18.2%
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 392
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,769 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,268
- Tax from tax record
- −$280 /mo · $3,361/yr
- Insurance
- −$180
- HOA
- −$652
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,001
- Net cashflow
- $387
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $632 | -5% $510 | +0% $387 | +5% $265 | +10% $142 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $10 | -5% $199 | +0% $387 | +5% $575 | +10% $764 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $605 | -0.5pp $497 | base $387 | +0.5pp $275 | +1.0pp $161 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $108,125
- Closing costs
- $12,975
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8316 Quail Meadow Way West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2118 | $14,000 | $6.61 | 19d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 8176 Quail Meadow Way West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2146 | $12,500 | $5.82 | 25d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 8307 Quail Meadow Way West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2146 | $18,250 | $8.50 | 8d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 8407 Quail Meadow Way West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2047 | $14,000 | $6.84 | 25d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 8161 Quail Meadow Way West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1632 | $11,000 | $6.74 | 25d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 8193 Sandpiper Way West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1367 | $13,000 | $9.51 | 23d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 8189 Sandpiper Way West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1842 | $10,500 | $5.70 | 12d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 8232 Heritage Club Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2248 | $16,500 | $7.34 | 0d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 8180 Sandpiper Way West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1866 | $12,500 | $6.70 | 25d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 8141 Sandpiper Way West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1842 | $10,500 | $5.70 | 11d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 8300 Ibis Reserve Cir West Palm Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1162 | $2,874 | $2.47 | 0d | 26 | 0.60mi |
| 10732 Grande Blvd West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $11,000 | $5.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 10836 Grande Blvd West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1973 | $5,000 | $2.53 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 10156 Orchid Reserve Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1964 | $16,000 | $8.15 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $652 · $7,824/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-03-25status Pending
-
2026-03-19$432,500 Active
-
2012-01-31historical
-
2011-02-01$228,400
-
1999-05-03soldstatus $227,500
-
1999-04-30soldstatus $227,500 171-char remark
Show marketing remark (171 chars)
PERFECT SEASONAL HOME IN MINT CONDITION. EXTERIOR JUST PAINTED. MAGNIFICENT GOLF COURSE VIEWS, SCREENED IN HEATED POOL/ TILE THROUGHOUT. NICELY FURNISHED. PRICED TO SELL!!
-
1999-04-01historical 171-char remark
Show marketing remark (171 chars)
PERFECT SEASONAL HOME IN MINT CONDITION. EXTERIOR JUST PAINTED. MAGNIFICENT GOLF COURSE VIEWS, SCREENED IN HEATED POOL/ TILE THROUGHOUT. NICELY FURNISHED. PRICED TO SELL!!
-
1998-11-16$234,900 171-char remark
Show marketing remark (171 chars)
PERFECT SEASONAL HOME IN MINT CONDITION. EXTERIOR JUST PAINTED. MAGNIFICENT GOLF COURSE VIEWS, SCREENED IN HEATED POOL/ TILE THROUGHOUT. NICELY FURNISHED. PRICED TO SELL!!
-
1996-04-23soldstatus $226,500
-
1993-12-14soldstatus $226,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,361 · $280/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,590 · $299/mo
- Expected delta
- +$229/yr (+$19/mo · 6.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $57,228
- − Mortgage interest
- −$24,227
- − Property taxes
- −$3,361
- − Insurance
- −$2,162
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,578
- − Management
- −$4,578
- − HOA
- −$7,824
- − Depreciation
- −$12,582
- Taxable loss
- −$2,085
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$500
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,146/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — West Palm Beach
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #75
- US rank
- #1255
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Palm Beach, FL
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 222,012
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,859
- Household income
- $130,225
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 81.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% German 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.82%
- Current HPI
- 358.0854
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.85%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+90.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-19 Listed $432,500 Beaches MLS
- 2012-01-31 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2011-02-01 Listed $228,400 Beaches MLS
- 1999-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $227,500 Public Records
- 1999-04-30 Sold (MLS) $227,500 Beaches MLS
- 1999-04-01 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 1998-11-16 Listed $234,900 Beaches MLS
- 1996-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $226,500 Public Records
- 1993-12-14 Sold (Public Records) $226,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,361 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…