1829 Main St · Keokuk, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located in the heart of Keokuk, this 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers an incredible opportunity for a savvy investor or a DIY-enthusiast. Situated on Main Street, the property boasts a desirable and highly convenient location. Imagine being able to walk to doctor's offices, a variety of restaurants, and shopping destinations—all just steps from your front door. The home features a durable metal roof, providing long-term peace of mind and protection from the elements. While the interior is in need of some TLC, it is ready for a transformation. This property is a blank canvas, perfect for someone with a vision to create a beautiful family home or a lucrative rental property in a high-demand area. This property is being sold "as-is" and is priced to reflect the work needed. Schedule a showing today and bring your ideas to life!
Key facts
- Durable metal roof
- High-demand area
- 5,227 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $707 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 40.2% vs local median 8.2% in Keokuk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#166 in IA, #3,002 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, employment F.
- Keokuk Community School District (town): math 48% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #282 of 289 in IA (top 98%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 301 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (34%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1891 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 301 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1891 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 40.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 121.24%
- DSCR
- 6.39
- GRM
- 1.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $95,615
- List price
- $25,000
- Delta
- -73.85%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1821 Johnson St | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 | 1,960 (+11%) | 7mo | $24,000 | $12 | 72 |
| 1409 Des Moines St | 0.47mi | 4/2.5 | 1,708 (-3%) | 4mo | $85,000 | $50 | 67 |
| 1322 Blondeau St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,648 (-7%) | 1mo | $169,000 | $103 | 67 |
| 1613 Des Moines St | 0.39mi | 4/1.0 | 1,899 (+8%) | 5mo | $17,500 | $9 | 61 |
| 1616 High St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,568 (-11%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $80 | 58 |
| 515 Hickory Ter | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,656 (-6%) | 5mo | $138,000 | $83 | 55 |
| 906 Morgan St | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 | 1,664 (-6%) | 5mo | $32,000 | $19 | 53 |
| 2017 Palean St | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,618 (-8%) | 8mo | $58,000 | $36 | 52 |
| 825 Bank St | 0.74mi | 4/1.5 | 1,640 (-7%) | 3mo | $134,000 | $82 | 50 |
| 1220 Leighton | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 | 1,512 (-14%) | 10mo | $85,000 | $56 | 36 |
| 902 S 14th St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,558 (-12%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $42 | 36 |
| 776 Eicher St | 0.68mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (-15%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $73 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.86×
- Total profit
- $41,006
- Equity at exit
- $3,728
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 14.39×
- Total profit
- $93,763
- Equity at exit
- $2,162
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52632
- Home prices YoY
- -25.5%
- Active inventory
- 71
- Price-to-rent
- 1.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,107 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax from tax record
- −$26 /mo · $310/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$232
- Net cashflow
- $707
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $25,000 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $25,000 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $25,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $25,000 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $25,000 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $25,000 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $25,000 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $25,000 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $25,000 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $25,000 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $25,000 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $25,000 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $25,000 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $25,000 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $25,000 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-04-14status Active 853-char remark
Show marketing remark (853 chars)
Located in the heart of Keokuk, this 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers an incredible opportunity for a savvy investor or a DIY-enthusiast. Situated on Main Street, the property boasts a desirable and highly convenient location. Imagine being able to walk to doctor's offices, a variety of restaurants, and shopping destinations—all just steps from your front door. The home features a durable metal roof, providing long-term peace of mind and protection from the elements. While the interior is in need of some TLC, it is ready for a transformation. This property is a blank canvas, perfect for someone with a vision to create a beautiful family home or a lucrative rental property in a high-demand area. This property is being sold "as-is" and is priced to reflect the work needed. Schedule a showing today and bring your ideas to life!
-
2026-04-08historical Active Under Contract 853-char remark
Show marketing remark (853 chars)
Located in the heart of Keokuk, this 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers an incredible opportunity for a savvy investor or a DIY-enthusiast. Situated on Main Street, the property boasts a desirable and highly convenient location. Imagine being able to walk to doctor's offices, a variety of restaurants, and shopping destinations—all just steps from your front door. The home features a durable metal roof, providing long-term peace of mind and protection from the elements. While the interior is in need of some TLC, it is ready for a transformation. This property is a blank canvas, perfect for someone with a vision to create a beautiful family home or a lucrative rental property in a high-demand area. This property is being sold "as-is" and is priced to reflect the work needed. Schedule a showing today and bring your ideas to life!
-
2026-02-19price $25,000 853-char remark
Show marketing remark (853 chars)
Located in the heart of Keokuk, this 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers an incredible opportunity for a savvy investor or a DIY-enthusiast. Situated on Main Street, the property boasts a desirable and highly convenient location. Imagine being able to walk to doctor's offices, a variety of restaurants, and shopping destinations—all just steps from your front door. The home features a durable metal roof, providing long-term peace of mind and protection from the elements. While the interior is in need of some TLC, it is ready for a transformation. This property is a blank canvas, perfect for someone with a vision to create a beautiful family home or a lucrative rental property in a high-demand area. This property is being sold "as-is" and is priced to reflect the work needed. Schedule a showing today and bring your ideas to life!
-
2025-12-15price $30,000 853-char remark
Show marketing remark (853 chars)
Located in the heart of Keokuk, this 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers an incredible opportunity for a savvy investor or a DIY-enthusiast. Situated on Main Street, the property boasts a desirable and highly convenient location. Imagine being able to walk to doctor's offices, a variety of restaurants, and shopping destinations—all just steps from your front door. The home features a durable metal roof, providing long-term peace of mind and protection from the elements. While the interior is in need of some TLC, it is ready for a transformation. This property is a blank canvas, perfect for someone with a vision to create a beautiful family home or a lucrative rental property in a high-demand area. This property is being sold "as-is" and is priced to reflect the work needed. Schedule a showing today and bring your ideas to life!
-
2025-08-21$38,000 Active 853-char remark
Show marketing remark (853 chars)
Located in the heart of Keokuk, this 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers an incredible opportunity for a savvy investor or a DIY-enthusiast. Situated on Main Street, the property boasts a desirable and highly convenient location. Imagine being able to walk to doctor's offices, a variety of restaurants, and shopping destinations—all just steps from your front door. The home features a durable metal roof, providing long-term peace of mind and protection from the elements. While the interior is in need of some TLC, it is ready for a transformation. This property is a blank canvas, perfect for someone with a vision to create a beautiful family home or a lucrative rental property in a high-demand area. This property is being sold "as-is" and is priced to reflect the work needed. Schedule a showing today and bring your ideas to life!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $310 · $26/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $351 · $29/mo
- Expected delta
- +$41/yr (+$3/mo · 13.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,285
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$310
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,063
- − Management
- −$1,063
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $8,597
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,063
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,424/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Keokuk Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1915630
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,973
- Composite
- 42.35/100
- National rank
- #3249
- State rank
- #282 of 289 in IA
Livability — Keokuk
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #166
- US rank
- #3002
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Keokuk, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,904
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,813 people
- By 2030
- 32,835 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 30,690 · -9.2%
- By 2050
- 28,777 · -14.9%
- By 2075
- 25,568 · -24.4%
- By 2100
- 21,983 · -35.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.8) · D 35.0% · R 62.9% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -43.8pp toward R · 2008: 16.0pp · 2024: -27.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.8 2020: R+19.3 2016: R+16.1 2012: D+16.0 2008: D+16.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.80%
- Current HPI
- 122.2866
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-34.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Relisted — IAR
- 2026-04-08 Contingent — IAR
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $25,000 IAR
- 2025-12-15 Price Changed $30,000 IAR
- 2025-08-21 Listed $38,000 IAR
Property tax history
-4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $310 · -49.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…