1845 N Main St · Roxboro, NC
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +8.5/10.0
- Cash flow +7.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- DSCR +1.8/10.0
$239,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Built in 2024, this beautifully designed 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offer modern comfort with stylish open-concept layout perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen features elegant quartz countertops, stainless steel appliance, ample workspace for cooking and gathering. A dedicated laundry room adds convenience, while the durable metal roof provides long-lasting appeal and low maintenance. Connected to city utilities, this move-in ready home combines quality construction with contemporary finishes in a functional and inviting design.
Key facts
- City utilities
- Quartz countertops
- Metal roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: County: Person
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
- Home design: One-story house; Entry level: 1; Site-built home; HardiPlank-type siding; Facing direction not specified
- Construction: HardiPlank-type exterior; Block foundation; Metal roof; Built as site-built house
- Exterior features: Public-maintained road access; Lot of approximately 0.23 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating and cooling; Electric heat; Forced air; Heat pump; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator; Luxury vinyl flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $239k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-279 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $199k (16.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (27.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $174k (27.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#649 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Person County Schools (rural): math 39% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #110 of 178 in NC (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Person High (math 45% / reading 44%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 1,079 students, 60% FRL).
- Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 113 units permitted in Person County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $18k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (7.0% local appreciation)).
- Person County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($232k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $190k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.00%
- DSCR
- 0.78
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.01% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $65,821
- Equity at exit
- $165,726
- IRR
- 14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.06×
- Total profit
- $204,649
- Equity at exit
- $314,899
Cash invested: $66,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27573
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,738 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,253
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$299 /mo · $3,585/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$365
- Net cashflow
- $-279
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-114 | -5% $-196 | +0% $-279 | +5% $-361 | +10% $-444 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-416 | -5% $-348 | +0% $-279 | +5% $-210 | +10% $-142 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-159 | -0.5pp $-218 | base $-279 | +0.5pp $-341 | +1.0pp $-404 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,750
- Closing costs
- $7,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
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2026-06-21days on market $239,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $239,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $239,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $239,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $239,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $239,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $239,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $239,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $239,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $239,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $239,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $239,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $239,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $239,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $239,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $239,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-05-15$239,000 Active
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2025-07-01soldstatus $190,000
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2025-05-19historical
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2025-04-20price $239,900
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2025-02-18price $249,900
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2025-01-17price $259,900
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2024-11-20price $269,900
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2024-10-25price $279,900
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2024-09-03$299,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,853
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,388
- − Property taxes
- −$3,585
- − Insurance
- −$1,195
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,668
- − Management
- −$1,668
- − Depreciation
- −$6,953
- Taxable loss
- −$7,604
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,825
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,521/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Person County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703630
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,729
- Composite
- 34.3/100
- National rank
- #5242
- State rank
- #110 of 178 in NC
Livability — Roxboro
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #649
- US rank
- #23536
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roxboro, NC
- City population
- 11,954
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,954
Population outlook (Person County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,577 people
- By 2030
- 37,847 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 35,740 · -7.4%
- By 2050
- 32,683 · -15.3%
- By 2075
- 24,979 · -35.2%
- By 2100
- 15,779 · -59.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Black 36% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 11% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Person
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.7) · D 37.7% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: -8.5pp · 2024: -23.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.7 2020: R+21.6 2016: R+17.3 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+8.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.01%
- Current HPI
- 286.1496
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
-20.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $239,000 TMLS
- 2025-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
- 2025-05-19 Listing Removed — TMLS
- 2025-04-20 Price Changed $239,900 TMLS
- 2025-02-18 Price Changed $249,900 TMLS
- 2025-01-17 Price Changed $259,900 TMLS
- 2024-11-20 Price Changed $269,900 TMLS
- 2024-10-25 Price Changed $279,900 TMLS
- 2024-09-03 Listed $299,900 TMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…