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3543 Lower Honoapiilani Rd Unit B-401 18A
D- Composite 38.36
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +1.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$12,900

3543 Lower Honoapiilani Rd Unit B-401 18A · Napili-Honokowai, HI 96761
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 851 sqft · Timeshare · 1385 Days on market
Built 1977 12 ac lot $15/sqft · 24% above area Est $10k · 24% over $192/mo HOA · 6% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

A rare, fee simple sale where the timeshare owner also gets to own the land. Well-appointed top floor 1 bed condo w/ loft that was remodeled in 2013. Breathtaking views off the lanai offer cool morning dining, whale watching and divine sunsets. The owner’s locker is equipped with beach chairs, snorkel gear, putters, games, etc. One of Maui's popular vacation spots, Papakea is well known for the many amenities that are available to owners and visitors which include two separate spacious pool areas with B B Q's, two covered clubhouses that are available for entertaining your guest. two large jacuzzi’s, two 12-hole putting greens and on-site security make this a vacation destinatio

Key facts

  • 12.28 acre lot
  • Pool
  • Built 1977

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Papakea Resort with clubhouse; Lot is part of approximately 12.283 acres; Zoned A-2 (Apartment District)
  • Financial info: Fee simple lease terms; Property listed as residential income
  • HOA & community: Annual association fee; Association fee amount not provided in this section

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking details not provided
  • Security: Security details not provided
  • Utilities: Public/county water; Public sewer; Underground electric; Phone connected; Cable connected
  • Home design: Residential income property; High-rise (4+ stories); Ocean view
  • Construction: Built in 1977, effectively updated in 2013; Stone and concrete construction; Monier tile roof
  • Exterior features: Covered lanai/deck; Tennis courts; Barbecue; Putting green; Beachfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Details not provided
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Furnished; Cable TV; Drapes
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath timeshare listed at $13k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $13k).
  • Recommended offer: $11k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 637 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 906 units permitted in Maui County in 2024 (289 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($101k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $89 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $387 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Maui County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 1385 days — a 12% lower offer ($11k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $669/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone VE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $11,352 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 1385 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
23.22%
Cap rate
200.26%
Cash-on-cash
692.73%
DSCR
31.82
GRM
0.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$10,395
List price
$12,900
Delta
24.10%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
26.37×
Total profit
$91,628
Equity at exit
$1,923
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
59.31×
Total profit
$210,612
Equity at exit
$1,115

Cash invested: $3,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
37 Tenant-Leaning
State Hawaii
37 Tenant-Leaning · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Honolulu has source-of-income protections; warranty of habitability strong.

ZIP-level market 96761

Home prices YoY
-1.9%
Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
637
Price-to-rent
0.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,995 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$68
Tax est. 1.5%
$16 /mo · $194/yr
Insurance
$5
Flood insurance flood zone
−$669 /mo · $8,028/yr
HOA
$192
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$629
Net cashflow
$1,416

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,203
Max offer price $12,900
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,425 -5% $1,421 +0% $1,416 +5% $1,412 +10% $1,407
Rent -10% $1,179 -5% $1,298 +0% $1,416 +5% $1,534 +10% $1,653
Rate -1.0pp $1,423 -0.5pp $1,419 base $1,416 +0.5pp $1,413 +1.0pp $1,409

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$3,225
Closing costs
$387
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3559 Lower Honoapiilani Rd Lahaina, HI 1.0 1.0 562 $2,600 $4.63 25d 1 0.11mi
3626 Lower Honoapiilani Rd Lahaina, HI 2.0 1.0 620 $2,650 $4.27 3d 16 0.24mi
3676 Lower Honoapiilani Rd Unit D102 Lahaina, HI 2.0 1.0 658 $2,700 $4.10 18d 1 0.33mi
3702 Lower Honoapiilani Rd Unit A-33 Lahaina, HI 1.0 1.0 607 $2,700 $4.45 45d 1 0.37mi
3740 Lower Honoapiilani Rd Lahaina, HI 1.0 1.0 476 $2,500 $5.25 4d 2 0.46mi
3740 Lower Honoapiilani Rd Lahaina, HI 1.0 1.0 476 $2,500 $5.25 4d 2 0.46mi
3788 Lower Honoapiilani Rd Unit C102 Lahaina, HI 2.0 2.0 1122 $3,750 $3.34 45d 1 0.54mi
2348 Aina Mahiai Pl Lahaina, HI 2.0 2.0 1015 $7,500 $7.39 45d 1 1.18mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$192 · $2,304/yr
Likely covers
poolsecurity

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $12,900 Active 1385 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $12,900 Active 1382 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $12,900 Active 1381 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $12,900 Active 1379 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $12,900 Active 1377 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $12,900 Active 1376 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $12,900 Active 1374 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $12,900 Active 1373 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $12,900 Active 1372 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $12,900 Active 1371 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $12,900 Active 1368 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $12,900 Active 1367 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $12,900 Active 1366 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $12,900 Active 1365 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $12,900 Active 1364 DOM
  16. 2022-09-05
    listed $12,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone VE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,943
− Mortgage interest
−$723
− Property taxes
−$194
− Insurance
−$8,092
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,875
− Management
−$2,875
− HOA
−$2,304
− Depreciation
−$375
Taxable income
$18,504
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,441
After-tax cash flow
$12,552/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hawaii Department Of Education
NCES district ID
1500030
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$69,005
Composite
37.07/100
National rank
#4504
State rank
#1 of 1 in HI

Livability — Napili-Honokowai

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Napili-Honokowai, HI
County
Maui County · 114,195 people
Metro
Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina, HI
Population (ZIP)
20,952
Household income
$101,123
Rent vs Own
39.2% rent · 60.8% own
Severe rent burden
835.0

Population outlook (Maui County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
185,013 people
By 2030
194,315 · +5.0%
By 2040
210,917 · +14.0%
By 2050
226,396 · +22.4%
By 2075
270,475 · +46.2%
By 2100
316,825 · +71.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.78)
Race & ethnicity
White 35% Asian 29% Two or more races 25% Hispanic / Latino 13% Pacific Islander 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Russian 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
74% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 12% Tagalog/Filipino 6% Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Maui

2024 margin
Strong D (+25.9) · D 61.9% · R 36.0% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-29.3pp toward R · 2008: 55.2pp · 2024: 25.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+25.9 2020: D+35.5 2016: D+38.6 2012: D+50.3 2008: D+55.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -7.68%
Current HPI
389.2894
Rent YoY
▲ 3.97%
Metro
Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina, HI
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2022-09-05 Listed $12,900 RAM MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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