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29 Beckett Ln
D Composite 40.24
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.0/15.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$319,900

29 Beckett Ln · Clayhatchee, AL 36352
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,140 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 58 Days on market
Built 2023 0.45 ac lot $149/sqft · 10% above area Est $291k · 10% over $37/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in a newer development within the highly sought after Wicksburg school district, this 4 bedroom, 2 bath home offers the perfect blend of modern construction and everyday convenience. Built in 2023 and ideally situated between Dothan and Enterprise, you'll enjoy an easy commute in either direction while also being just minutes from Fort Rucker. This clean, move in ready home offers a functional and inviting layout designed for comfortable everyday living. From the moment you step inside, you'll appreciate the well maintained condition and the easy flow between living spaces, making it ideal for both relaxing and entertaining. One of the standout features of this home is the large backyard, complete with beautiful trees that provide shade, privacy, and a peaceful setting to enjoy the outdoors. Whether it's gatherings, kids playing, or simply unwinding at the end of the day, this space offers plenty of room to make it your own. Located in a neighborhood that includes a community park, this home combines location, lifestyle, and value. If you've been looking for a well kept, newer home in a convenient location with room to enjoy both inside and out, this one is a must see.

Key facts

  • Modern construction
  • Large backyard
  • Community park

Tags

WICKSBURG SCHOOL DISTRICTLARGE BACKYARDCOMMUNITY PARKMODERN CONSTRUCTIONEASY COMMUTE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $320k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-24 ($-290/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $316k (1.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (25.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $240k (25.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#329 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D, schools F.
  • Houston County (rural): math 25% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #38 of 129 in AL (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 463 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
  • Houston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $90k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($310k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $240,000 (25.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
6.20%
Cash-on-cash
-0.32%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$291,020
List price
$319,900
Delta
9.92%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
108 Magnolia Ln 0.41mi 4/2.0 2,233 (+4%) 1mo $340,000 $152 68
28 Beckett Ln 0.03mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,851 (-14%) 3mo $290,000 $157 64
209 David Hussey Rd 0.36mi 4/2.0 2,055 (-4%) 10mo $299,000 $145 64
1226 Sandbed Rd 0.36mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,251 (+5%) 3mo $284,000 $126 63
1220 Sandbed Rd 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,059 (-4%) 6mo $297,500 $144 62
1220 Sandbed Rd 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,059 (-4%) 6mo $297,500 $144 62
70 Beckett Ln 0.05mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,845 (-14%) 7mo $275,000 $149 60
224 David Hussey Rd 0.32mi 4/2.0 1,954 (-9%) 10mo $325,000 $166 59
1017 Sandbed Rd 0.22mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,855 (-13%) 7mo $294,380 $159 52
1017 Sandbed Rd 0.22mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,855 (-13%) 7mo $294,380 $159 52
292 Adkinson Rd 0.73mi 4/2.5 1,927 (-10%) 3mo $312,000 $162 41
251 Adkinson Rd 0.65mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,849 (-14%) 1mo $287,500 $155 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.5%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$51,041
Equity at exit
$158,935
10-year hold
IRR
11.5%
Equity multiple
2.86×
Total profit
$166,773
Equity at exit
$257,384

Cash invested: $89,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36352

Home prices YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
60
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,400 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,678
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $868/yr
Insurance
$133
HOA
$37
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$504
Net cashflow
$-24

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,431
Max offer price $315,625
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $157 -5% $66 +0% $-24 +5% $-115 +10% $-205
Rent -10% $-214 -5% $-119 +0% $-24 +5% $71 +10% $165
Rate -1.0pp $137 -0.5pp $57 base $-24 +0.5pp $-107 +1.0pp $-191

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$79,975
Closing costs
$9,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19 Mockingbird Trl , AL 3.0 2.0 1849 $2,400 $1.30 45d 1 1.19mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$37 · $444/yr

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    price $319,900 1195-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1195 chars)

    Located in a newer development within the highly sought after Wicksburg school district, this 4 bedroom, 2 bath home offers the perfect blend of modern construction and everyday convenience. Built in 2023 and ideally situated between Dothan and Enterprise, you'll enjoy an easy commute in either direction while also being just minutes from Fort Rucker. This clean, move in ready home offers a functional and inviting layout designed for comfortable everyday living. From the moment you step inside, you'll appreciate the well maintained condition and the easy flow between living spaces, making it ideal for both relaxing and entertaining. One of the standout features of this home is the large backyard, complete with beautiful trees that provide shade, privacy, and a peaceful setting to enjoy the outdoors. Whether it's gatherings, kids playing, or simply unwinding at the end of the day, this space offers plenty of room to make it your own. Located in a neighborhood that includes a community park, this home combines location, lifestyle, and value. If you've been looking for a well kept, newer home in a convenient location with room to enjoy both inside and out, this one is a must see.

  2. 2026-05-01
    price $322,400 1195-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1195 chars)

    Located in a newer development within the highly sought after Wicksburg school district, this 4 bedroom, 2 bath home offers the perfect blend of modern construction and everyday convenience. Built in 2023 and ideally situated between Dothan and Enterprise, you'll enjoy an easy commute in either direction while also being just minutes from Fort Rucker. This clean, move in ready home offers a functional and inviting layout designed for comfortable everyday living. From the moment you step inside, you'll appreciate the well maintained condition and the easy flow between living spaces, making it ideal for both relaxing and entertaining. One of the standout features of this home is the large backyard, complete with beautiful trees that provide shade, privacy, and a peaceful setting to enjoy the outdoors. Whether it's gatherings, kids playing, or simply unwinding at the end of the day, this space offers plenty of room to make it your own. Located in a neighborhood that includes a community park, this home combines location, lifestyle, and value. If you've been looking for a well kept, newer home in a convenient location with room to enjoy both inside and out, this one is a must see.

  3. 2026-03-26
    listed $324,900 Active 1195-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1195 chars)

    Located in a newer development within the highly sought after Wicksburg school district, this 4 bedroom, 2 bath home offers the perfect blend of modern construction and everyday convenience. Built in 2023 and ideally situated between Dothan and Enterprise, you'll enjoy an easy commute in either direction while also being just minutes from Fort Rucker. This clean, move in ready home offers a functional and inviting layout designed for comfortable everyday living. From the moment you step inside, you'll appreciate the well maintained condition and the easy flow between living spaces, making it ideal for both relaxing and entertaining. One of the standout features of this home is the large backyard, complete with beautiful trees that provide shade, privacy, and a peaceful setting to enjoy the outdoors. Whether it's gatherings, kids playing, or simply unwinding at the end of the day, this space offers plenty of room to make it your own. Located in a neighborhood that includes a community park, this home combines location, lifestyle, and value. If you've been looking for a well kept, newer home in a convenient location with room to enjoy both inside and out, this one is a must see.

  4. 2023-11-30
    soldstatus $289,500 Closed
  5. 2023-08-25
    status Pending
  6. 2023-08-16
    historical
  7. 2023-08-14
    listed $289,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$868 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,312 · $109/mo
Expected delta
+$444/yr (+$37/mo · 51.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,800
− Mortgage interest
−$17,919
− Property taxes
−$868
− Insurance
−$1,600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,304
− Management
−$2,304
− HOA
−$444
− Depreciation
−$9,306
Taxable loss
−$5,945
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,427
After-tax cash flow
$1,136/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston County
NCES district ID
0101770
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -33.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$40,530
Composite
31.01/100
National rank
#6092
State rank
#38 of 129 in AL

Livability — Clayhatchee

Score
59/100
State rank
#329
US rank
#19985

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,762

Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
110,280 people
By 2030
112,668 · +2.2%
By 2040
116,149 · +5.3%
By 2050
117,805 · +6.8%
By 2075
118,577 · +7.5%
By 2100
110,940 · +0.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Black 6% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Iranian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Houston

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.7% · R 73.5%
2008→2024 swing
-7.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.8pp · 2024: -47.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.8 2020: R+42.7 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+40.3 2008: R+40.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.83%
Current HPI
239.5672
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+10.5% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $319,900 SAMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $322,400 SAMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $324,900 SAMLS
  • 2023-11-30 Sold (MLS) $289,500 SAMLS
  • 2023-08-25 Pending SAMLS
  • 2023-08-16 Delisted SAMLS
  • 2023-08-14 Listed $289,500 SAMLS

Property tax history

+74.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $868 · +774.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…