22899 Byron Rd #88 · Crestline, CA 92325

$147,900

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,183 sqft · Manufactured · 20 Days on market

Built 2024 Good condition ↓ 22% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.7/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +3.7/5.0
• Livability +2.8/5.0
• Schools +2.1/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Escape to the mountains in this charming BRAND NEW 2-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled in a peaceful family-friendly community surrounded by towering pine trees and breathtaking natural beauty. This cozy retreat features an inviting open floor plan, modern kitchen, and relaxing outdoor space perfect for enjoying fresh mountain air and scenic surroundings. Whether you’re looking for a full-time residence or weekend getaway, this home offers the perfect blend of comfort, charm, and affordability with low space rent of just $1,049/month. Chattel Loan financing available for qualified buyers.

Key facts

• 2 parking spots
• Built 2024
• Listed 19 days

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Community clubhouse; Property located in Valley of Enchantment (subdivision)

Exterior

• Parking: 2 parking spaces
• Utilities: Sewer connected
• Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story
• Construction: Cement siding
• Exterior features: Concrete roof; Has a view; Clubhouse in the community

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Gas Range
• Bedrooms: Up to 2 possible bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Interior features: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Gas Range; Gas water heater; Has heating (Forced Air, Natural Gas)
• Laundry & utility: Laundry in a common area

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $148k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $448 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $148k).
• Recommended offer: $146k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 3.9% in Crestline — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 56/100 on livability (#805 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: commute D, schools D-, crime F.
• Rim Of The World Unified (town): math 13% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #415 of 517 in CA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $145,681 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.37% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.94%
• Cash-on-cash: 16.60%
• DSCR: 1.74
• GRM: 6.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $79,261
• Comps found: 3

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
22899 Byron Rd #19	0.15mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,064 (-10%)	4mo	$65,000	$61	64
22899 Byron Rd #105	0.15mi	2/2.0	1,040 (-12%)	22mo	$133,900	$129	54
22899 Byron Rd #65	0.15mi	2/2.0	1,344 (+14%)	21mo	$90,000	$67	52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 4.9%
• Equity multiple: 1.19×
• Total profit: $8,070
• Equity at exit: $22,052

10-year hold

• IRR: 16.0%
• Equity multiple: 2.42×
• Total profit: $58,650
• Equity at exit: $12,788

Cash invested: $41,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State California: 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 92325

• Rents YoY: 4.7%
• Active inventory: 252
• Price-to-rent: 6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,019 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$776
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$185 /mo · $2,218/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$424
• Net cashflow: $448

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,452

Max offer price $147,900

Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $550	-5% $499	+0% $448	+5% $397	+10% $346
Rent	-10% $288	-5% $368	+0% $448	+5% $528	+10% $607
Rate	-1.0pp $522	-0.5pp $485	base $448	+0.5pp $409	+1.0pp $371

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $36,975
• Closing costs: $4,437
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 9 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
22858 Lupin Ln Cedarpines Park, CA	3.0	2.0	1176	$2,000	$1.70	0d	1	0.27mi
686 Ca-138 Crestline, CA	2.0	1.0	720	$1,800	$2.50	5d	1	0.92mi
767 Woodland Rd Unit 1 Crestline, CA	2.0	1.0	1100	$1,700	$1.55	3d	1	0.96mi
794 Woodland Rd Crestline, CA	3.0	2.0	1372	$1,400	$1.02	18d	1	1.04mi
23654 Lake Dr Crestline, CA	2.0	1.0	720	$1,995	$2.77	0d	1	1.13mi
23855 Zuger Dr Unit B Crestline, CA	3.0	1.0	1300	$1,995	$1.53	20d	1	1.31mi
23882 Springwater Rd Crestline, CA	3.0	1.0	1133	$2,500	$2.21	20d	1	1.37mi
198 Mile High Rd Crestline, CA	3.0	2.5	850	$2,300	$2.71	0d	1	1.37mi
979 Venus Way Crestline, CA	2.0	2.0	800	$2,500	$3.12	22d	1	1.44mi

Listing history 15 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $147,900 Active 20 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $147,900 Active 19 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $147,900 Active 18 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $147,900 Active 17 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $147,900 Active 15 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $147,900 Active 14 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $147,900 Active 11 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $147,900 Active 10 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $147,900 Active 9 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $147,900 Active 6 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $147,900 Active 5 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $147,900 Active 4 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    remarks 590-char remark
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $147,900 Active 3 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $147,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone A · 21% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 3 d/yr ≥89°F today · 8 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 31 unhealthy d/yr today · 41 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,230
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,285
• − Property taxes: −$2,218
• − Insurance: −$2,242
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,938
• − Management: −$1,938
• − Depreciation: −$4,303
• Taxable income: $3,305
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$793
• After-tax cash flow: $4,581/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This charming, well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath home in a peaceful community offers a blend of comfort and charm with low space rent and potential for further value enhancement through minor updates.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more potential buyers/tenants.
• Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal to potential buyers.
• Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase convenience and appeal to both buyers and tenants.
• Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A more efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and reduce energy costs, attracting more buyers/tenants.
• Both Adding a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve comfort and energy efficiency, attracting more buyers/tenants.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more potential buyers/tenants. ↑
• Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal to potential buyers. ↑
• Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase convenience and appeal to both buyers and tenants. ↑
• Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A more efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and reduce energy costs, attracting more buyers/tenants. ↑
• Both Adding a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve comfort and energy efficiency, attracting more buyers/tenants. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Rim Of The World Unified
• NCES district ID: 0632610
• Math proficiency: 13% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 34% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $55,860
• Composite: 21.29/100
• National rank: #8389
• State rank: #415 of 517 in CA

Livability — Crestline

• Score: 56/100
• State rank: #805
• US rank: #22821

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D Cost of living F Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Crestline, CA
• County: San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
• City population: 9,065
• Metro: Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
• Population (ZIP): 9,065
• Household income: $70,563
• Rent vs Own: 25.3% rent · 74.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 179.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,300,329 people
• By 2030: 2,378,907 · +3.4%
• By 2040: 2,523,137 · +9.7%
• By 2050: 2,642,388 · +14.9%
• By 2075: 2,880,769 · +25.2%
• By 2100: 2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (68%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 68% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 20% Black 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 21%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 5% Slovak 5% Lithuanian 4%
• Foreign-born: 9% · Canada
• Languages at home: 85% English-only · Spanish 12% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -255.88%
• Current HPI: 352.6512
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.65%
• Metro: Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.21%
• F500 in state: 116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	27	$1,492B
▸Financial Services	3	$174B
▸Retail	3	$44B
▸Insurance	3	$26B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$115B
▸Pharmaceuticals / Biotech	2	$62B

Price history

-22.1% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-29 Listed $147,900 SDMLS
• 2025-12-04 Relisted — SDMLS
• 2025-10-06 Pending — SDMLS
• 2025-10-06 Listing Removed — SDMLS
• 2025-09-12 Price Changed $179,900 SDMLS
• 2025-02-08 Price Changed $184,900 SDMLS
• 2025-01-22 Listed $189,900 SDMLS