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17403 Goddard St
D Composite 42.46
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$20,000

17403 Goddard St · Detroit, MI 48212
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,382 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 324 Days on market
Built 1926 3,049 sqft lot $14/sqft · 64% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This Detroit Land Bank-owned property is ready for the right investor to restore its full potential. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,382 square feet of living space, this home offers a solid footprint for your next rehab project. Located in a revitalizing neighborhood, this property is full of possibilities—bring your vision and bring this home back to life! This property is being sold as is. Please note that the DLBA is entitled to a tax capture for the 5 tax years subsequent to transferring ownership of the property. The tax capture may be incompatible with tax abatement that are otherwise available to the selected purchaser. DLBA will review requests to waive its tax capture rights and may require a payment in lieu of taxes to approve such requests.

Key facts

  • 3,049 sq ft lot
  • Built 1926
  • Listed 324 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $867 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
  • Recommended offer: $18k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 58.3% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 166 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $600 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 324 days — a 12% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.5% of price; built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $17,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 324 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
6.68%
Cap rate
58.33%
Cash-on-cash
185.85%
DSCR
9.27
GRM
1.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$56,308
List price
$20,000
Delta
-64.48%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17428 Goddard St 0.03mi 3/1.5 1,409 (+2%) 13mo $75,000 $53 82
17496 Saint Aubin St 0.17mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,377 (-0%) 5mo $25,000 $18 80
17520 Goddard Street St 0.12mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,302 (-6%) 3mo $54,900 $42 74
18101 Marx St 0.48mi 3/1.5 1,291 (-7%) 2mo $37,500 $29 62
17803 Saint Aubin St 0.23mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,518 (+10%) 6mo $50,001 $33 59
18025 Brinker St 0.43mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,416 (+2%) 10mo $40,000 $28 59
18057 Fleming st St 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,250 (-10%) 7mo $127,000 $102 51
18051 Orleans St 0.49mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,300 (-6%) 9mo $39,000 $30 51
18559 Brinker St 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,514 (+10%) 10mo $28,000 $18 47
18615 Orleans St 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,516 (+10%) 3mo $86,500 $57 47
18532 Riopelle St 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,248 (-10%) 9mo $64,000 $51 46
18522 Joseph Campau St 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,237 (-10%) 11mo $106,000 $86 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
10.29×
Total profit
$52,048
Equity at exit
$2,982
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
21.83×
Total profit
$116,656
Equity at exit
$1,729

Cash invested: $5,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48212

Home prices YoY
-34.2%
Active inventory
166
Price-to-rent
1.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,336 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$105
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $898/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$867

Break-even live

Break-even rent $238
Max offer price $20,000
Occupancy floor 30%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,000
Closing costs
$600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18551 Saint Aubin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 962 $1,200 $1.25 16d 1 0.59mi
18629 Fleming St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 900 $1,150 $1.28 24d 1 0.63mi
18503 Riopelle St Highland Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1254 $1,250 $1.00 5d 1 0.67mi
18666 Joseph Campau St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 16d 1 0.70mi
18882 Marx St Highland Park, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 43d 1 0.79mi
18557 Wexford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1216 $1,250 $1.03 24d 1 0.86mi
101 Stevens St Highland Park, MI 3.0 1.5 1152 $1,600 $1.39 17d 1 1.18mi
19360 Revere St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,250 $1.19 24d 1 1.19mi
168 Beresford St Highland Park, MI 4.0 1.0 1541 $1,475 $0.96 17d 1 1.27mi
19450 Norwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 5d 1 1.28mi
19694 Gallagher St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 15d 1 1.32mi
19458 Binder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1550 $1,500 $0.97 3d 1 1.37mi
19995 Goddard St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1292 $1,400 $1.08 22d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $20,000 Active 324 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $20,000 Active 323 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $20,000 Active 321 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $20,000 Active 319 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $20,000 Active 318 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $20,000 Active 315 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $20,000 Active 314 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $20,000 Active 313 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $20,000 Active 310 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $20,000 Active 309 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $20,000 Active 307 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $20,000 Active 306 DOM
  13. 2025-07-29
    listed $20,000 Active 786-char remark
    Show marketing remark (782 chars)

    This Detroit Land Bank-owned property is ready for the right investor to restore its full potential. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,382 square feet of living space, this home offers a solid footprint for your next rehab project. Located in a revitalizing neighborhood, this property is full of possibilities - bring your vision and bring this home back to life! This property is being sold as is. Please note that the DLBA is entitled to a tax capture for the 5 tax years subsequent to transferring ownership of the property. The tax capture may be incompatible with tax abatement that are otherwise available to the selected purchaser. DLBA will review requests to waive its tax capture rights and may require a payment in lieu of taxes to approve such requests.

  14. 2025-07-29
    listed $20,000 Active 782-char remark
    Show marketing remark (782 chars)

    This Detroit Land Bank-owned property is ready for the right investor to restore its full potential. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,382 square feet of living space, this home offers a solid footprint for your next rehab project. Located in a revitalizing neighborhood, this property is full of possibilities - bring your vision and bring this home back to life! This property is being sold as is. Please note that the DLBA is entitled to a tax capture for the 5 tax years subsequent to transferring ownership of the property. The tax capture may be incompatible with tax abatement that are otherwise available to the selected purchaser. DLBA will review requests to waive its tax capture rights and may require a payment in lieu of taxes to approve such requests.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$898 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$898 · $75/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,030
− Mortgage interest
−$1,120
− Property taxes
−$898
− Insurance
−$100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,282
− Management
−$1,282
− Depreciation
−$582
Taxable income
$10,765
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,584
After-tax cash flow
$7,824/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
43,384
Household income
$38,186
Rent vs Own
38.3% rent · 61.7% own
Severe rent burden
1175.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 43% Asian 29% Black 19% Two or more races 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Subsaharan African 1% American 1%
Foreign-born
41%
Languages at home
36% English-only · Other Indo-European 28% Arabic 28% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -152.41%
Current HPI
292.9126
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-07-29 Listed $20,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-07-29 Listed $20,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $898 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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