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C Composite 55.96
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.8/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$192,250

None · Swansboro, NC 28539
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,024 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 2000 5,663 sqft lot Est $229k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this beautifully maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom duplex perfectly situated just minutes from the gates of Camp Lejeune and a short drive from the stunning beaches of Emerald Isle. Inside, you will find a bright, open-concept layout featuring new paint and appliances, a modern kitchen with granite countertops that flows effortlessly into a spacious living area, alongside a private primary suite with its own en-suite bathroom. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors seeking a low-maintenance property, this move-in-ready gem combines coastal convenience with everyday comfort. Schedule your private tour today, as this incredible opportunity will not last long! Inv

Key facts

  • En-suite bathroom
  • Modern kitchen
  • Granite countertops

Tags

MODERN KITCHENGRANITE COUNTERTOPSOPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTPRIVATE PRIMARY SUITEEN-SUITE BATHROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: R-10; Lot dimensions approximately 42 x 134 (0.13 acres); Paved road access; Subdivision: Foxtrace Point

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 total parking spaces; Attached front-facing 2-car garage on paved driveway
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Water available
  • Home design: Duplex; Single-story, entry level 1; Single Family Residence
  • Construction: Built with vinyl siding and frame construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Patio; Back yard fencing; Shingle roof; Has a view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric cooktop; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Unfurnished; Smoke detector(s); No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric water heater

Heating & cooling

  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $192k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $177 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (12.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $168k (12.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.5% in Swansboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#32 in NC, #3,124 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Onslow County Schools (other): math 42% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #84 of 178 in NC (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Sand Ridge Elementary (math 57% / reading 54%, grade C, #293 of 1,410 statewide, top 21%, 581 students, 58% FRL); Swansboro Middle (math 52% / reading 55%, grade C+, #87 of 475 statewide, top 19%, 967 students, 43% FRL); Swansboro High (math 77% / reading 68%, grade B+, #104 of 535 statewide, top 19%, 1,115 students, 38% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 60% at this address vs 46% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Onslow County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 322 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,246 units permitted in Onslow County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $167,505 (12.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
7.40%
Cash-on-cash
3.95%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$229,376
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
405 Hooks Ln 0.35mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,052 (+3%) 2mo $236,500 $225 72
183 Parnell Rd 0.41mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,040 (+2%) 2mo $269,500 $259 72
412 Foxtrace Ln 0.24mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,085 (+6%) 3mo $238,400 $220 72
142 Parnell Rd 0.40mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,050 (+2%) 2mo $235,000 $224 71
81 Crown Point Rd 0.41mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,000 (-2%) 4mo $212,000 $212 67
104 Crown Point Rd 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,089 (+6%) 2mo $207,500 $191 66
166 Glenwood Dr 0.55mi 2/1.0 1,009 (-2%) 4mo $210,000 $208 65
502 Waldorf Ct 0.25mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,139 (+11%) 3mo $253,000 $222 62
127 Glenwood Dr 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,051 (+3%) 1mo $250,000 $238 62
203 Inman Ct 0.32mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,138 (+11%) 3mo $243,000 $214 59
105 Marina Leigh Dr 0.68mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,089 (+6%) 3mo $249,000 $229 50
201 Michel Ct 0.75mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,103 (+8%) 0mo $247,000 $224 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.6%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-20,606
Equity at exit
$28,665
10-year hold
IRR
-1.8%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-6,427
Equity at exit
$16,622

Cash invested: $53,830 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28539

Home prices YoY
-23.9%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
322
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,675 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,008
Tax from tax record
$58 /mo · $693/yr
Insurance
$80
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$352
Net cashflow
$177

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,451
Max offer price $192,250
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,062
Closing costs
$5,768
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
400 Dayrell Dr Hubert, NC 3.0 2.0 1267 $1,800 $1.42 20d 1 0.22mi
212 W Volant St Hubert, NC 3.0 2.0 1223 $1,750 $1.43 20d 1 0.33mi
136 Byrum Run Hubert, NC 3.0 2.0 1164 $1,800 $1.55 20d 1 1.32mi
104 Parrot Landing Dr Hubert, NC 2.0 2.5 1300 $1,650 $1.27 20d 1 1.35mi
104 Parrot Landing Dr Unit 104 Hubert, NC 2.0 2.5 1300 $1,650 $1.27 20d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $192,250 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $192,250 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $192,250 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $192,250 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $192,250 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-14
    listed $192,250 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$693 · $58/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,576 · $131/mo
Expected delta
+$883/yr (+$74/mo · 127.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,101
− Mortgage interest
−$10,769
− Property taxes
−$693
− Insurance
−$961
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,608
− Management
−$1,608
− Depreciation
−$5,593
Taxable loss
−$1,132
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$272
After-tax cash flow
$2,398/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Onslow County Schools
NCES district ID
3703450
Math proficiency
42% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$46,076
Composite
38.66/100
National rank
#4148
State rank
#84 of 178 in NC

Livability — Swansboro

Score
77/100
State rank
#32
US rank
#3124

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Onslow County · 164,453 people
Metro
Jacksonville, NC
Population (ZIP)
18,351
Household income
$66,976
Rent vs Own
23.8% rent · 76.2% own
Severe rent burden
602.0

Population outlook (Onslow County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
189,789 people
By 2030
194,463 · +2.5%
By 2040
193,629 · +2.0%
By 2050
193,248 · +1.8%
By 2075
196,995 · +3.8%
By 2100
201,513 · +6.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onslow

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.5% · R 67.5% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-14.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.5pp · 2024: -35.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.9 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+34.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+21.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.68%
Current HPI
186.871
Rent YoY
▲ 2.61%
Metro
Jacksonville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+174.6% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Listed $192,250 Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $251,167 Public Records
  • 2021-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $209,000 Public Records
  • 2017-02-08 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2016-12-19 Listed $78,000 Hive MLS
  • 2016-08-24 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2016-04-14 Listed $90,000 Hive MLS
  • 2008-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
  • 2007-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2004-11-13 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2004-11-13 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2004-11-13 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2004-03-13 Listed $70,000 Hive MLS
  • 2004-03-13 Listed $70,000 Hive MLS
  • 2004-03-13 Listed $70,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $693 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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