956 43rd St · West Palm Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor/Builder Opportunity in West Palm Beach! Clean title (free & clear) and ready for your next project. This property is a full gut renovation or potential tear-down, depending on your vision. Renovate and bring it back to life, or start fresh and build your dream home. Great chance to create value in a growing area.
Key facts
- 6,000 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 164 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed with no restrictions
- HOA & community: No association amenities
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Three-phase electric; Sewer and water available
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Entry level living area; North-facing
- Construction: Built with fiber cement; Composition/shingle roof
- Exterior features: No waterfront; Lot approximately 6,098 sq ft
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Other
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling
- Interior features: Unfurnished; Other flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $163k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#75 in FL, #1,255 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Northmore Elementary School (math 34% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,841 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 628 students, 73% FRL); John F. Kennedy Middle School (math 28% / reading 29%, grade F, #482 of 571 statewide, top 85%, 826 students, 78% FRL); Palm Beach Lakes High School (math 17% / reading 26%, grade F, #546 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 2,688 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 52% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 305 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $160k (46%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $100k; list at $185k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.76% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.69%
- DSCR
- 2.41
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $57,421
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 34.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.15×
- Total profit
- $163,293
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33407
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 305
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,258 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$158 /mo · $1,900/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$684
- Net cashflow
- $1,368
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 932 31st St West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $3,000 | $3.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 933 30th Ct West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1085 | $3,100 | $2.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 401 42nd St West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $4,950 | $4.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 436 51st St West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $3,750 | $3.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 522 W 2nd St Riviera Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,895 | $3.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2585 Spruce Ave West Palm Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 841 | $3,225 | $3.83 | 1d | 122 | 1.27mi |
| 1104 State St Unit C West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $3,000 | $3.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-02-23price $185,000
-
2026-01-30price $190,000
-
2026-01-27price $199,000
-
2026-01-27status Active
-
2026-01-27historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-01-23price $210,000
-
2026-01-20price $220,000
-
2026-01-18price $230,000
-
2026-01-14price $240,000
-
2025-12-22price $245,500
-
2025-12-21$345,500 Active
-
2024-05-13soldstatus $99,900
-
2014-03-27price $41,000
-
2014-03-11historical
-
2014-03-11price $39,900
-
2014-02-25$43,000 Active
-
2014-01-30historical
-
2013-12-08price $29,930
-
2013-12-02price $36,500
-
2013-10-24price $39,500
-
2013-09-19price $44,500
-
2013-08-06$49,500 Active
-
1989-10-03soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,900 · $158/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,900 · $158/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,094
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$1,900
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,127
- − Management
- −$3,127
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $14,268
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,424
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,992/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — West Palm Beach
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #75
- US rank
- #1255
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Palm Beach, FL
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 222,012
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,851
- Household income
- $59,993
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2157.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 54% White 21% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 13% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 8% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -299.26%
- Current HPI
- 363.3995
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+362.5% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-23 Price Changed $185,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $190,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $199,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-27 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-27 Contingent — Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-23 Price Changed $210,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed $220,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-18 Price Changed $230,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $240,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-12-22 Price Changed $245,500 Beaches MLS
- 2025-12-21 Listed $345,500 Beaches MLS
- 2024-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $99,900 Public Records
- 2014-03-27 Price Changed $41,000 Beaches MLS
- 2014-03-11 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2014-03-11 Price Changed $39,900 Beaches MLS
- 2014-02-25 Listed $43,000 Beaches MLS
- 2014-01-30 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2013-12-08 Price Changed $29,930 Beaches MLS
- 2013-12-02 Price Changed $36,500 Beaches MLS
- 2013-10-24 Price Changed $39,500 Beaches MLS
- 2013-09-19 Price Changed $44,500 Beaches MLS
- 2013-08-06 Listed $49,500 Beaches MLS
- 1989-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,900 · -33.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…