🏷️ Likely Rental
3605 Ganges St · Gulfport, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$78,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity... currently rented for $1,000 per month under lease (that must be honored) until November 2026. 3 bedroom / 1 bath home not far from Hwy 49, the beach, or I-10. Newer floors, electric range, central heat and air, electric water heater. Tenant occupied, please allow 24 hours to view home out of respect for the tenants.
Key facts
- Electric range
- Central heat and air
- Newer floors
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $427 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
- Recommended offer: $69k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Harrison County School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #14 of 130 in MS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.5%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $539 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.47%
- DSCR
- 2.04
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $100,759
- List price
- $78,000
- Delta
- -22.59%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3508 Sabine St | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,020 (+1%) | 14mo | $79,900 | $78 | 81 |
| 4620 Redstart Dr | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,053 (+4%) | 7mo | $95,900 | $91 | 78 |
| 3502 Meadowlark Dr | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,100 (+8%) | 9mo | $130,000 | $118 | 63 |
| 16258 Hudson St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,030 (+2%) | 20mo | $82,500 | $80 | 60 |
| 4011 Sierra Dr | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (+3%) | 14mo | $95,000 | $91 | 56 |
| 3802 Anita Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,134 (+12%) | 8mo | $131,000 | $116 | 52 |
| 3918 Monterey Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 1,075 (+6%) | 11mo | $102,000 | $95 | 49 |
| 3902 Monterey Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,075 (+6%) | 17mo | $123,500 | $115 | 49 |
| 3820 Monterey Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,134 (+12%) | 19mo | $118,000 | $104 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $20,698
- Equity at exit
- $11,630
- IRR
- 32.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.71×
- Total profit
- $80,957
- Equity at exit
- $6,744
Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39501
- Home prices YoY
- -34.5%
- Rents YoY
- 10.5%
- Active inventory
- 252
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,162 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$409
- Tax from tax record
- −$49 /mo · $590/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $427
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,500
- Closing costs
- $2,340
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4605 Michigan Ave Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 4609 Michigan Ave Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $825 | $1.03 | 13d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 3625 Meadowlark Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1315 | $1,200 | $0.91 | 13d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 3712 37th Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,175 | $1.03 | 13d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3008 50th Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1054 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2317 30th St Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1164 | $2,150 | $1.85 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3401 54th Ave Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 767 | $895 | $1.17 | 13d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $78,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $78,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $78,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $78,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $78,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $78,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $78,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $78,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $78,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $78,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $78,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $78,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $78,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $78,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-01-09$78,000 Active 349-char remark
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
Great investment opportunity... currently rented for $1,000 per month under lease (that must be honored) until November 2026. 3 bedroom / 1 bath home not far from Hwy 49, the beach, or I-10. Newer floors, electric range, central heat and air, electric water heater. Tenant occupied, please allow 24 hours to view home out of respect for the tenants.
-
2025-12-31historical
-
2025-07-21price $79,000
-
2025-04-05status Active
-
2025-03-18historical
-
2024-10-15$85,000 Active
-
2021-10-01historical
-
2015-07-16soldstatus
-
2015-07-15soldstatus
-
2015-06-08$24,900
-
2014-07-15$24,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $590 · $49/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $616 · $51/mo
- Expected delta
- +$27/yr (+$2/mo · 4.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,943
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,369
- − Property taxes
- −$590
- − Insurance
- −$390
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,115
- − Management
- −$1,115
- − Depreciation
- −$2,269
- Taxable income
- $4,094
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$983
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,144/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrison County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801770
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,504
- Composite
- 41.66/100
- National rank
- #3419
- State rank
- #14 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gulfport
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #5010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gulfport, MS
- County
- Harrison County · 178,171 people
- City population
- 96,188
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,565
- Household income
- $34,758
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1516.0
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.16%
- Current HPI
- 208.998
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.49%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+218.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-09 Listed $78,000 MLSU
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-07-21 Price Changed $79,000 MLSU
- 2025-04-05 Relisted — MLSU
- 2025-03-18 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2024-10-15 Listed $85,000 MLSU
- 2021-10-01 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2015-07-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-07-15 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2015-06-08 Listed $24,900 MLSU
- 2014-07-15 Listed $24,500 MLSU
Property tax history
-0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $590 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…